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Knicks Morning News (2025.05.03)
05/03/2025 10:00:33
05/03/2025 06:08:20
05/03/2025 02:53:46
05/03/2025 01:43:25
05/03/2025 01:48:00
05/03/2025 01:43:57
05/03/2025 01:53:46
05/03/2025 01:37:00
05/03/2025 00:12:00
05/02/2025 23:33:00
39 replies on “Knicks Morning News (2025.05.03)”
Great tweet from Tommy Beer on Brunson in the clutch
https://x.com/tommybeer/status/1918637196115919066?s=46&t=0wqff4cNt-sCGcDs-uMExw
when okc went up 3-1 on the 73-9 warriors in his third season, steven adams had already won four playoff series. sunday he goes for #5. the knicks won one playoff series in 22 years before jalen. complete list of teams that won a series in all 3 jalen years: celtics. knicks. maybe the nuggets. ring the bells that still can ring. or in this case, probably can’t.
So happy to not be stressing over a game 7 on a Saturday. I had predicted the Knicks in 6 but didn’t expect the games to all be nail-biters.
Great tweet, Owen! And yet sort of unsurprising that JB carries almost the entire scoring load for the team in the clutch?
…
Saw today that LeBron has a team option and imagined (for fun) what our lineup would look like next year if 41 y/o LeBron took a team friendly deal with the Knicks.
It’s not a good thing exactly, but Jalen is.
Although that stat about him being the worst defender left in the playoffs was sobering
You know LeBron has won pretty much every award imaginable but he has not won 6th man of the year. Take a team friendly deal with the Knicks to be our super 6th man for the next two seasons. Without it going back to Cleveland or riding the coattails of OKC, we would be his best chance to get another ring. And if he helped bring a title to the Knicks after a 50 year drought he would cement his goat status. He could also start and you move hart to the bench but hart could still carry the minutes load for most of the regular season to keep him fresh for the playoffs
I know it’s a pipe dream but it would be just the kind of rabbit out of the hat move that Leon needs to make in order to take us to the next level.
I mean, it’s so freaking cool that they’re in the second round, ya know?
You never know until the games happen how a series will turn out. The Knicks could totally surprise everyone and win this series, and wouldn’t that be hilariously awesome?
BC, you like to live dangerously….
I mean any player can win a poker tournament in theory but old man coffee plays a strategy that forecloses even most kinds of extreme luck as an avenue to win. Unfortunately that’s who coaches this team…
Really good article by Fred on how much more physically Mikal Bridges has been since playoffs started: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6330407/2025/05/03/mikal-bridges-defense-knicks-celtics-nba-playoffs/
Dan Harrington did quite well with an OMC strategy for decades…
Oh sure, the odds aren’t good, but even being here is awesome. 22 other NBA teams would love to be here.
Hey…. We’re an anyone, aren’t we?
Harrington played standard tight aggressive, OMC plays weak tight. Plenty of players have won playing like Harrington over the years, none have won playing like Thibs
Harrington’s strategy would never be considered TAG by today’s standards, He seldom bluffed without equity other than a standard squeeze. He never 2X or 3X bluffed rivers when his opponent’s range was capped.
A really great screenwriter once told me that the only real movie magic is movie stars. We know how every story ever told is going to go. Usually after page 3. The enchantment is in the way it’s played this time.
https://x.com/funakistats/status/1918544087390543930
I want him on my team
Harrington’s heyday was 30 years ago. These are modern strategies that no one was using back then, they are not the dividing line between TAG and OMC.
As with Thibs, perhaps the game has passed him by seeing as the guy is 80. But he was absolutely not OMC in 1995.
So..I had the most random thought about Sinners.
*spoiler alert for those who haven’t seen it yet*
I wonder why Cornbread just didn’t sing his song when he was trying to convince them to let him back in the jook joint. You know:
I’m the Rashiki smokin the lick-licky
10 freaky girls inside the Chin Tiki
When you see me girl, you better believe me
This ain’t a game and pimpin ain’t easy
Anything goes when it comes to hoes
I’m the kingpin when it comes to flows
You better ask someone if you don’t know
When you see me girl, say “What up doe?”
Ten freaky girls
Ten ten ten freaky girls
Ok I’m gone lol
Have a great Saturday
The title odds are +4600, which equates to 2%. Not exactly “a puncher’s chance.”
Maybe as coach? He’s demonstrating a higher level of understanding playoff basketball than Thibs ever has.
This was pretty surprising to me but it might be because of the psychological impact of the blowout losses to the Celtics
Thibs needs to take a long look at video from the Magic series. Boston averaged 31.2 three point attempts in that series vs. 48.2 in the regular season. Not that Orlando shut them down or anything, but limiting the Celtics’ 3 point shot attempts should be a major focus of the Knicks coaching staff.
Buster Douglas was 42-1 vs Mike Tyson, and we all know how that worked out…. the quintessential puncher’s chance. 🙂
Right! All we need to do is replicate the biggest upset in the history of a sport that goes back hundreds of years. Should be no problemo!
Actually, Buster had BETTER odds than the Knicks do against the Celtics. Which makes sense, actually. It’s a lot easier for the extreme longshot to have one good night than it is to have four good nights out of seven.
The title odds in betting markets are generally overstated for teams like ours with large fanbases. See: the Lakers having probably the 4th best odds coming into the postseason but losing to the 6th seed in a gentleman’s sweep. Basketball-Reference does it purely based on SRS and gives us 0.7%.
That’s with us going all out to win in the regular season and Boston cruising, so even that figure is overstated. There’s also the factor that our SRS plummeted as the season wore on so it’s further inflated by our 2024 success. Real title odds are probably somewhere between 500-1 and 1000-1, with our winning cases involving things like injuries to multiple core players on each opponent.
Even then we would be lucky to win any upcoming series. Even losing Tatum + KP would leave BOS a lot stronger than DET and a lineup of Pritchard/Holiday/White/Brown/Horford would destroy us easily by simply putting Brown on KAT, hunting Brunson every possession on offense, and making more threes than we even attempt.
You fellas are pretty funny, After spending five years parsing the definition of a “mezzanine”, now you want to argue what a “puncher’s chance” is? Fine…. have at it!
You guys are using title odds to beat the Celtics. We don’t win the title if we beat the Celtics.
Based on FanDuel and a no-vig calculator, the Knicks have a 14.34% chance to win the series
I think all of us agree we are not very likely to beat the Celtics.
Don’t take betting advice from this guy!
To be fair, he’s the Great Clown, not the Great Prophet.
I pretty clearly used title odds to state our title odds.
sooooo Nuggets or Clips?
Hmmm…it’s a non-zero chance.
I’m going Nuggets, but my prediction track record isn’t good.
I guess I’d like the Nuggets to win because they beat OKC twice this season. I like both teams though, I don’t really have a rooting interest
because it’s not the lakers, I’m okay going with the hometownish clips…
with the added bonus of a clippers’ win including all the nonsensical talk about which nba team reigns supreme in LA…
I turned on the game in time to hear the announcers give props to Jeff van Gundy for how he has helped the Clippers defense.
If only we had an asst coach for the offense who could get similar props ….
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