Leon Rose has finally gone all in with this Knicks team, and even had iHart’s hand broken for betraying the team, so now, in a tradition as beloved as never kicking anything to the curb, it is time to predict how many wins you think the Knicks will win this season.
Last year, I went for 53 wins, and this team is much better than the team I predicted to win 53. I was going to go 60, even, but I will pull back a bit and say 58. There is just too much talent here to lose many games. If Bridges were shooting better, and they had Precious healthy, I’d go 6o, but I’ll go 58 for now. Let’s hope I’m low!
Okay, that’s my pick, now I’ll open it up to all of you, along with a poll!
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38 replies on “The “How Many Wins Will The Knicks Have In 2024-25?” Prediction Thread”
Repost:
54.
Offensive rating: 2nd
Defensive rating: 11th
I think we’ll have some growing pains and the injury situation certainly won’t help in that department. We might be lucky to go .500 over our first 10 games. Pacome Dadiet turned 19 recently and might see the floor against the defending champs tonight. We need to iron some things out.
But we’ll hit a stride and look like arguably the best team in the NBA for long stretches.
looks like the betting on our win total for the season remains at 53.5…
the last few years have been a fairly easy guess on taking the over, that line though looks pretty good…
for the first time in a while, i would go for the under…
my guess is 52 wins for the season, another second round exit…
Edit:
Leon Rose has finally gone all in with this Knicks team, and even had iHart’s hand broken for betraying the team
now that’s some true new yorker stuff right there 🙂
Repost: 45 wins and a first-round or play-in exit. Bonus props:
-For no single game in the entire season will this team’s top six players all be healthy.
-One of OG or Towns will have a significant injury by Thanksgiving
-Bridges will shoot under 35% from 3 with reduced volume and will be handily outplayed by DDV.
-Hart will be under 8 PPG per36 and under 33% from 3
-Our defense will be below average due to lack of reliable rim protection or PF/C depth
50
Injury concerns and front court depth
This team is more talented and better positioned for the playoffs long term and needs to prioritize getting to the playoffs healthy
55 wins.
I want to take a moment to appreciate the fact that, after everything we’ve suffered as fans of this franchise, we’re finally legit title contenders. And by and large, Leon n Co did it the right way*: incrementally digging themselves out of the 20-year hole.
*when I say right way, I’m not talking about the general method they used (tanking/hybrid/etc). I’m talking about the fact they realized you can’t undo 20 years of #lolKnicks in one or two seasons.
In a non-parody league I feel this team would have 60 wins written all over it. Like many here, I’m weighing in injury concerns and time for the team to really jell. Within the “jelling” for me is finding out how many of our rooks can develop into bench pieces that can hold down playoff minutes. You have Deuce, Precious (as long as he comes back healthy) and probably Payne. I feel you only need one of the rooks to get there. I’ll take that bet.
48 and ECF
Too thin to endure injuries well, which we will have (OG and/or KAT likely to miss 15 games)
Defense a mess for a couple months and never rises to great, just good enough
Offense great from the start, but it’ll be even better late in the season
Assuming a healthy Mitch et alia for the playoffs, a dominant run and dog fight with the Celtics. Could see us winning it and losing in the Finals.
Repost:
50 wins because I think we’ll play .500 ball for the first roughly 20 games before we find our groove. BUT:
– I predict a top-3 offense
– two +5 BPM players (JB and KAT)
– top-3 team in attempted threes
– conference finals appearance
I think the defense can be great, but that comes with the return of Mitchell Robinson. A trio of Mitch, OG and Bridges has great defensive upside.
Conservative;
55 wins, ECF appearance v Boston and Boston takes it in 7
PURE STAN:
I’m at 56-60 wins with a Finals appearance against OKC and we lose that in 6.
Although I’m at the point now where I feel like next year will be the year the drought ends. The East is going to be murky with the CBA and we’re cap solid for at least 4 more seasons with this crew, picking up ring chaser vets next year that will put us over the top.
50 wins and no ECF.
I think this team’s going to take a long time to gel. I think Towns & OG will miss as many games as Towns & OG usually do. And I think we’ll get another Jekyll & Hyde season from Josh Hart.
But I also think Jalen Brunson will crush it again, so 50 wins.
Elsewhere I expect a resurgent Miami Heat to make the ECF vs the Celtics. I love the Cleveland over (48.5). I like the Timberwolves at +900 to win it all. And fuck Embiid.
– It’s Year 1 of at least a 3-years windows, players need to know each other and learn to play differently than before both on offense AND defense.
– Fragile/Injury prone players (OG, KAT, Mitch), who need careful management.
I hope Thibs will learn and trade RS wins for better health.
On the other hand Mikal, Deuce and Hart are kind of “ironmen”, my fear is that the Coach run them to the ground.
– Bench is less a sure thing than least year, a lot depends on how much Kolek, Dadiet and Huk could help in a relatively short time.
I go with 50 wins (last year 50 wins were enough to get the 2nd seed in the East) and a title contender if healthy in April-June.
I’m on the low end, mostly due to injury concern and time for the roster to jel, so I went with 52.
Meanwhile, very excited by this: https://sny.tv/articles/10-bold-predictions-2024-25-nba-season-knicks-nets
pretty skeptical of dadiet being able to contribute
Reports are that Sims will be the backup center and “might start at times.”
Went with 50-52, up from 48 in the last thread that was depressed by all the depressing posts. My thinking is pretty much exactly what Rama wrote above. Struggles during the regular season, ends in the ECF.
54 wins.
I went for 53. I love the team and I think it’s going to be very strong, but there will be growing pains until everyone settles into their roles, and injuries will probably play a part. I think this team will grow post all-star break and end up on the ECF, and then its a crapshoot what happens.
Dadiet having a bigger role than expected is more of a bug than a feature. With Precious out our bench has no player over 6’6″ besides Sims (sucks) and Hukporti (probably sucks). With 12 players rostered and two of them hurt bar for a 19-year old to get playing time will be as low as it’s ever been for a good team in NBA history.
I will predict a win total for the knicks of whatever the highest number put forth on this thread is, plus 1. You all have a good team now, embrace it!
Shams says we have serious interest in Matt Ryan to fill the Shamet role:
https://x.com/ShamsCharania/status/1848808723457970612
Matt Ryan is listed as only 6’6″. Pags says no.
As a replacement for Shamet I approve. Plus, I find it amusing that he’s 40% from 3 for his career but 35% from 2.
Literally never heard of Matt Ryan before this moment
Also, feels really really weird to be a relative pessimist after so many years of relative optimism
47 Wins (4 or 5 seed) and 2nd round exit
Team takes longer to gel due to mainly Thibs stubbornness and injuries. They don’t “figure it out” until ~ February and then they look really scary but low seeding forces Boston match up in 2nd round and they loose in 7.
Ryan’s two inches taller than Shamet. But, like Rama, I’d never heard of him before just now. Though I’ve heard of other Matts Ryan, like the quarterback and the guy who played John Constantine on Legends of Tomorrow.
I’m going with 48.
I think we are going to get off to a slow start in part because of the schedule, in part because there are so many new players (I include OG in that to some degree) and in part because of C depth with Precious and Mitch both out to start. Even though I think we solved the backup PG issues, I don’t think we have enough depth at PF/C. IMO there will be other times where this comes into play during the season.
The playoffs are another story. At 100% I think we might be the 3rd-4th best team in the NBA and close enough to Boston pull off an upset and win it all.
50 wins in a more competitive EC, slow start, and more games lost to injuries. Biggest surprising leap, Precious. Knicks gel at season’s end and make ECFs.
Man I could have sworn I was called an idiot all day for not thinking this team is much better than last year. Guess I’m surrounded by fellow idiots.
Matt Ryan wouldn’t be at the top of my list..
56 wins!
I feel so validated! See guys!? I’m not crazy!
The QB from the Falcons?
Im not gonna fall for the usual baits because I’m a changed man, but this is a thread predicting regular season wins, not overall success. I’ll still argue this team is much better positioned for a title run than last year’s team, but that doesn’t necessarily means more regular season wins.
Are we not counting the guy (Dadiet) from the previous sentence? He’s basically 6’8″ w/o shoes.
We also have Toppin at 6’9″ (probably closer to Dadiet w/o shoes).
Do we even need someone over 6’6″ off our bench? We have KAT and Hart capable of playing PF. It’s the regular season. We’re fine and can sign someone if we’re not.
Guys…we won 50 games last year. There was obviously a pretty hard cap on how much we could improve on that. The reason people, including the people tasked with keeping Las Vegas financially viable, think this team is better is because it is perceived to be better built for playoff success.
Agree with that, disagree with that (and get rich in the process), whatever. But we don’t have to pretend we don’t know that a, say, 53 win team can in fact be much, much better in the ways that matter than a 50 win team.
This was my post from the previous thread^^
I’ll revise it up to 52 because I think Mikal steps up if KAT misses time.
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