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159 replies on “Knicks Morning News (2023.05.16)”
This is worth a read. It’s on how teams are defending Randle in the playoffs and his efficiency with certain players on and off the court.
https://arielpacheco.substack.com/p/the-julius-randle-conundrum
Now that I am a bit less loopy from the anesthesia, let me paraphrase a conversation I’ve been having with Tommy Beer over on Twitter:
If you had to trade one of Julius or RJ this offseason, which would it be?
Factors:
1)Age. RJ is younger and theoretically has more room to improve, where Julius is what he is.
2)Salary. RJ makes a bit less than Julius on the new deal, but we know Julius is a good value based on his production, where RJ is only worth what he’ll be paid if Playoff RJ is real.
3)Value around the league. You trade one because they’re not an ideal pairing, esp with the rest of this starting group. But you want to use them to get an upgrade on our current roster, or at least someone of equal value who is a better fit. Whom do you think other GMs would give up more for?
4)Aesthesic/emotional appeal (or lack thereof). Even if you think Julius is a safer bet to be the better player over the lives of these contracts, some of you may understandably be sick of watching the inconsistent effort and other brain farts. Or you may be more exasperated by RJ’s tunnel vision and Maple Mamba mentality.
So, choose. Which would you rather stay and which would you rather go?
idk, if you think the guy you trade for can make you a real title contender next year than you trade RJ, if you are trying to get long term improvement while you wait for a mega-start to want to come to the Knicks I guess you move Randle.
And obviously it really depends on who is coming back. We could replace RJ with Grimes/Hart and be fine, maybe even better if the team would wise up and go with a full time Brunson/IQ backcourt.
I’d probably trade Randle because of his age relative to the rest of the team and I don’t think we’re winning the title next year anyhow. But I don’t really know who is going to be available.
Yeah, it’s really difficult to answer that in a vacuum. Totally depends on who is joining the team and which one of them becomes (more) redundant.
Everything else being equal, I think I’d rather get rid of Randle. But we’d need a defensive PF to replace him. I love Obi, but he ain’t that guy and he ain’t ready.
DRed, if you start Quickley, you need another point guard off the bench who can actually initiate the offense and not lead to six minutes of us crapping the bed on that end until one of Brunson or IQ is rested. See what happened when Deuce had to play in Game 6. Maybe he becomes that guy down the road, but he’s definitely not there now. IQ as a sixth man who plays close to 30 minutes a night and usually closes games makes the most sense to me, especially since Grimes is a better fit as a low-usage, good spacing guy in a starting group that has, for the moment, RJ, Julius, and Jalen in it.
Oh, other Question of the Day:
Which of the teams picking below Dallas would you be most okay with jumping into the Top 4?
We want one of them to do it, and preferably they get the third or fourth pick, so they don’t get Victor or Scoot. I guess OKC, since they’re in the other conference, and also because they might at some point need to start doing a consolidation trade with some of their young talent.
Happy Wenbanyama Day to all!
Very hard to answer in a vacuum, I agree. I just don’t believe RJ will ever score efficiently enough or defend well enough to matter and if there is any shine on him now that could get us a solid return than I would do that.
Randle also can’t defend but if you have Mitchenstein, Hart, Grimes, IQ out there with him it can be ok.
I would love for our FO to figure out a way to draft Zach Edey by buying or trading for a pick.
Definitely, but once you trade one of RJ or Julius that’s potentially not a problem.
Z-man, I’ve seen Twitter scuttlebutt that we’re going to buy a pick — and/or trade Rokas, Deuce, or something — if the Dallas pick doesn’t convey. Just so we have a new young player to work into the pipeline at the start of the salary curve.
Against all odds, it appears that Grimes has somehow managed to become even more theoretical and grown even more in stature with his playoff bumbling.
It might be beneficial at this point to Google the term, “falsifiable.”
Here’s the right answer to the question, “Who do you trade, RJ or Julius??”:
Mitch
Dallas bumbling into having to convey the pick anyway would be phenomenal. Then the hope would be that it would just be used, rather than pissed away.
I’d even think seriously into trading way up in this draft, and would definitely spend assets to do it. Getting the Dallas pick would be a massive assist. That’s a better idea than blowing the farm on a veteran with issues.
Randle IMO definitely has more value. RJ is 22, but he’s locked into long term money that is a major overpay if he doesn’t get better. He’s an old 22 too not just because he’s about to be 23 but because he’s had a lot of NBA minutes, over 3 times the similarly aged Quentin Grimes. The “getting his NBA sea legs” portion of his career is over. Randle has had a lot of volatility in his career, but over the last 3 years he’s been a very high impact player central to the success of two pretty good teams. There aren’t very many players about whom you can say that, and at minimum, that background is cover for a bad GM who’s motivated more by job security than optimizing for team success.
If we were in the middle of RJ’s 3rd season rather than the end of RJ’s 4th, the pedigree and cheap 1.5 years would probably make him more valuable, but not now.
Now if you’re asking who you should trade, it’s still Barrett. You’re gonna get more bang for your buck in terms of win now talent by trading with a rebuilding team, and a rebuilding team isn’t going to want Julius Randle. RJ at least you can sell as young and a potential future piece. RJ also won’t mess up your draft pick by winning your games.
If I’m GM, I’m looking at the roster for players who could benefit from bigger roles and dramatically increase their values either to us or in trade. Those players are Grimes and Toppin. So my goal then is to create minutes for Toppin and shots for Grimes. Both benefit from a faster pace with more passing, so I’m looking for players who can play faster and in a more dynamic offense. I’m not gonna go through a list of possibilities because I don’t think the specific player is all that important as long as you get something near fair value and you don’t create wacky roster imbalances.
I get tthe trade-up idea conceptually, E, but is this really the draft to do it in? It’s not a particularly stellar draft class after Wemby and Scoot, and we don’t want to blow our draft pick wad (so to speak) on a young unproven player. There are just not really many “home runs” in this draft. Well, actually, as with all drafts, no one is really a home run. (See Holmgren, Chet and Williamson. Zion.) I guess overall I’m saying that unfortunately this particular draft doesn’t line up very well with us using our stash, so we should probably try to use them on a proven veteran instead.
Obi will not get more minutes on this team with this coach if Randle isn’t traded. So if Julius is staying, I would sadly insist we move Obi, both for his sake and for the team’s. But mostly for his sake.
I’m thinking Scoot for the tradeup. If he’s ungettable, he’s ungettable — but he’s the guy I’d target.
What team is trading a top 2 pick in this draft for anything we have to offer?
Lol
I think latke mostly nailed it. Randle has more value, but there’s probably more demand for RJ because of his age and, well, lower value. For that reason the return-on-productivity-traded is likely higher with RJ.
Whatever you think of the guy, if you trade Randle a whole lot of our present production is going out the door. That doesn’t mean you don’t do it, but you damn well better be getting a good player(s) back unless you’re prepared to get worse (we aren’t).
With RJ, we could trade him without losing much in the way of present production AND still possibly get a nice return. It’s an intriguing option if the opportunity arises.
Zach Edey just ran a faster 3/4 court sprint at the combine than Brook Lopez or Rudy Gobert. In this draft, he’s the guy I’d pursue. He will absolutely be a starter in the NBA. See: Walker Kessler
Looks like people are getting totally out over their skiis about Quentin Grimes again, so much so that it continues to not even be worth it to cite one (1) example of someone actually doing so.
It would cost a fortune to trade up for Scoot and he’ll probably take at least a season or two to even be productive. Why would we do that?
I think we should trade up for Wenbanyama. Why stop at Scoot?
Again, the feeling on Grimes here is that he is cromulent. He plays defense and looks like a guy who could end up a solid rotation piece. That is kind of it.
IQ should be starting next year and we should bring Rokas over this year to serve as the backup PG. He’s posted pretty good stats in the ACB and Euroleague (about 13 points, 45% from 2 when combining his ACB and Euroleague stats, 37% from 3, 4.5 rebounds, 6.5 assists, and a steal vs. 2.5 TOS per 36) and acquitted himself well in the playoffs. If he’s not ready then we mix and match minutes with him, Deuce, and IQ leading the second unit.
He’s also a lefty! Which means we’re moving ever closer to the all-lefty doom lineup.
Ujiri is probably too smart to go for it, but the obvious trade is RJ + assets for OG + a maybe a bad contract. Maybe a DeJounte type haul gets it done…2 unprotected plus a protected? Anything less than that is a no-brainer for us. Alas, the issue is that I think our FO values RJ too much to go for that deal. They probably think it should be straight up.
Look’s like Doc’s been fired, as expected.
Personally, I don’t see an NBA player in Rokas but maybe another team does, and would consider him an asset in a trade. I would rather hope that deuce keeps working on his shooting because if he learns to shoot consistently, he can be a very nice backup point guard. Probably better than Rokas will ever be.
Not that I feel very confident in this assessment, but that’s where I am right now based on the film I’ve watched.
Doc OUT.
There are now a whole lot of vacancies for teams with big aspirations, but also a few veteran coaches with championship resumes on the market. I wonder if it will just be a game of musical chairs, or if at least one of Phoenix, Milwaukee, Toronto, and Philly is willing to gamble on a rising star assistant. (Which worked out very well the last time for Toronto, and fairly well for Phoenix.)
Scoot is absolutely worth trading up for… i’m not sure about the others… the Thompson twins are bigger mysteries than Kuminga and Green were and so a lot of the draft’s value hinges on how they turn out… i think they’re ok value but i don’t think anyone has too much conviction one way or the other….
getting to the later part of the draft… like a late first rd pick… probably is the best play… some of the names being talked about in the mid lottery aren’t all that great… but i think having a pick in this draft is actually worthwhile… i think it’s about the same as last year’s give or take…. as there’s a handful of names that are very intriguing and depending on how they break can make this an outstanding draft….
i know folks are super into the here and now… but things change so much in the nba that you shouldn’t really assume much.. sometimes those low first rd picks turn into stars… sometimes those vets turn into fournier…. the name of the game is to collect talent and if you always assume the average return.. you’re doomed to average results…. the name of the game is to maximize all the opportunities to get top flight talent…. whether you cash in multiple of those for one or to actually use the ones you have….
Same reason for any move — to advance the team toward being able to win a championship. If he becomes a superstar, that greatly assists achievement of the goal.
Is there a risk? Yes.
Or is the question rhetorical?
You’ve essentially described a JAG. If that’s the “feeling,” there’s no real sense in which he’s discussed on KB as a JAG.
the doc firing is long overdue…. when any leader starts throwing the team under the bus before taking any responsibility yourself… you can’t succeed in an environment like that…. and there were plenty of opportunities for him to take responsibility for some very questionable moves that didn’t work out….
Doc should have been out after the Simmons comments in the wake of the Sixers’ ATL whiff.
Firing Doc is really their only shot at bringing Harden back, and they really need to bring Harden back.
I’d love to see that team’s offense with a real coach. It could be insane.
Grimes is discussed as a low-usage, high-efficiency two way player who is nice to have on a rookie-scale deal. I’ve yet to see a single poster go beyond that categorization, which is as close to an objective truth as can exist in this context.
Look, he’s no Cam Reddish, but I still think he’s solid.
One look at their playoff numbers makes that crystal clear ….
But in any event, he’s a JAG. Nothing more. The only reason he’s even discussed here is because the coach drastically overuses him and agitates for him to be an untouchable — a reflection on the coach, not the player.
It was predicted here long in advance that the coach would rely way too much on him and Josh Hart and it would lower their playoff ceiling — and that’s exactly to a T what happened. That prediction received massive pushback.
All of which is to say that the 2023 season is now in the rearview mirror and yesterday’s news. The build-a-champion task continues apace. There’s a ways to go.
Grimes had a slightly above average WS.48 as a second year player. He plays good defense. I don’t know what Just a Guy means precisely but he is not NBA flotsam and jetsam. But I have no expectation that he will be a star. I don’t think QG will ever be an All Star.
I’m happy for Cam that he hit 9 of his 14 threes in what might be the only playoff appearance of his career, but I’ll still take Grimes based on the thousands of minutes both guys have played outside of the playoffs.
Buddy, we’ve had 300+ comment threads about Kadeem Allen. The reason he’s discussed here is he’s a player on the New York Knicks.
The question is, what are you trading and what team is agreeing to it?
I have it pegged as one of those sublime sporty phrases that carries its meaning right within the four corners of its words, in concentrated form. That could be just me, though.
The article Strat posted about Randle is very good and I think speaks to the notion that the solution to his playoff foibles is to move him down the pecking order. You just don’t want him having to make too many decisions in the playoffs, he’s best when he’s reading and reacting quickly.
The good news is his salary is perfectly appropriate for a playoff 3rd banana. It’s on Rose and co. to land the 1st/2nd banana using the salary flotsam and assets we have.
Concur, and concur with the idea that he doesn’t have to be traded just so long as he’s downgraded. I don’t think he has much trade value anyway.
Just a Guy to me suggests replacement value. Grimes offers much more than that.
If Just a Guy means cromulent young 3-D type, well then Grimes is that.
TNFH, I agree that Strat article on the first post is really good. I got a slightly different message, though — while yes on moving him down the pecking order, there are ways that Thibs could arrange to play to his strengths rather than his weaknesses. Randle is what he is — a powerful weapon of destruction that can be used for or against us. That’s where coaching — schemes, and who you have out on the court with him — come into play.
See the third photo — that’s a nightmare that should never, ever happen. Why is it Hart the guy at the top of the key? Why is everyone else jammed in the far corner? Why is Mitch where he is?
What is the purpose of bashing a 23yo second-year 25th pick who started 66 games and played 2100 minutes for the 8th ranked team in the NBA, other than abject trolling? Or just shouting at the wind?
Has anyone definitively stated he’s a sure-fire future all-star? Or is untouchable in a trade? Or could garner unprotected first rounders if put on the trade market? Or is the long-term solution to the starting SG spot?
Oh wait, some folks have the temerity to believe that he still has some upside as a 23yo who put up a .619 TS% including 39% from 3, on top of usually guarding the opposing team’s best 2/3. Nothing over the top, just cautious optimism. Can you imagine??
the problem isn’t randle being the third option.. he was essentially the third option for a good chunk of the miami series when RJ was doing well…
the problem is the shots he is taking…. we’ve taken out the iso step back fades…. but he’s essentially forced to shoot similar shots… look at the shots that actually went in for him (there aren’t that many).. the degree of difficulty on those is super high….
and that’s because no matter the personnel… the offense relies heavily on iso… it was like this in chicago… and minny.. the first year here… and that’s basically where we are at… you get another guy here… i mean i’m hoping for the best… but this is going to turn into just the scott brooks okc thunder where it’s your turn my turn offense….
randle needs to be better at catch and shoot pick n pop opportunities… so we can run more of that kind of action for him so he’s not two dribble fading so much…. that’s generally been how these power forwards have extended their careers and randle and sabonis are gonna be no different… but it really starts with the offensive sets… iso’ing him to death will shorten his career and turn him into zach randolph…
Grimes did lead the NBA in matchup difficulty I believe, or did for a good while, on a good defense. I also don’t understand why we are talking about Grimes. He’s a good piece.
I find Grimes to be a frustrating player, because he appears to have talent but is just too passive on the offensive end. He’s got great wheels, the form on his shot looks good, his release is quick, and the ball goes in a good amount of the time.
Maybe this is just me, but it always seems like Grimey (still can’t believe that hasn’t caught on) has a split second of hesitation to his game. If he gets a wide open look he’ll shoot it, but if there’s anything resembling a close out coming, he passes the ball rather than getting his shot off. We’d probably be better off if he stopped doing this.
Lots of times during games I’m like “damn this guy sucks” because of his passivity, but then I look at the boxscore and he’s had a pretty efficient game. He’s certainly not a bad player, and I think he could be more than he is. I’d like to see his usage rise up out of the mid-teens and for him to play a more assertive brand of ball. I think he has the talent, he’s just a risk-averse player right now.
He looks like a player that should be able to shoot on the move, but he just can’t. (Which is why there’s this consistent idea of the hidden toolbox.).
And he knows it. It happens.
In terms of basketball guard skills, there’s basically (1) catch and shoot; (2) shooting a normal jumper off two feet after moving, stopping, and gathering (Michael Jordan and Kobe being the top-end examples); and (3) all the various floaters, up and unders, pivot moves, duck unders, and the like (of which Jalen Brunson is phenomenally fantastic at, for example)
A lot of players are good at 1 and 3 and then ceiling out because 2 is much tougher than it looks and doesn’t necessarily even correlate with 1 (or 3 for that matter.) If you’re a guard-type, you’re always going to test drive/proof of concept 2 whether or not you do it in actual games and you wind up having a very good sense at whether you’re any good at 2. (In my days of nobody palookaville organized basketball, I wasn’t. Though not for lack of trying.) If you are, you bring it to games. If you aren’t, you don’t.
Grimes showed well for a second-year player. He was hurt for much of the playoffs and shot poorly because of that and probably some playoff nerves. I hope he is a Knicks playing major minutes for the rest of his rookie contract and then we can see his progression. He is not a problem that needs solving right now.
Our problem is Randle’s ball stopping, inefficiency, and inconsistent effort and Thibs’s reliance on iso ball. RJ showed me enough in the playoffs that I am less pressed to trade him but I would if the right trade came along.
Thibs unfortunately is not going anywhere so that leaves Randle. I think the trade I would look at is maybe straight up for Cameron Johnson. He is looking for a payday and there is some chatter he might not be resigning in Brooklyn. How about a Cameron Johnson – Randle sign and trade? Maybe we send a mediocre pick or two over as well if Brooklyn balks.
Johnson can defend, shoot, and both start in front of Obi and play alongside him giving Obi his first shot at real minutes without just sticking him in the starting lineup.
I am grooving on E’s mansplaining. For real. I don’t know why women complain about this.
No one else has any preferences on which 11-14 team they’d prefer to see move up so we get Dallas’ pick?
You also want your guards to pass and play defense, but I guess we’re ignoring that part.
Meanwhile, RJ can only do 1 & 3… actually I’m not sure he can do any of what you listed. He can drive for a layup against a slanted defense and do nothing else consistently.
Not everyone has to be a star, Grimes is a good young player. If you have a wing who can play pretty good defense and score 15 or 16 efficient points per 36, that’s a fantastic return from a late first round pick.
I think it’s pretty clear we aren’t seeing anyone moving up.
I’d probably choose Chicago because they’d need to consider blowing up their current squad, which puts them very far from competing.
Ben, you are right about Grimes but then the next sentence you blame Randle when he clearly was not 100 percent in the playoffs because of the ankle injury.
Seriously, I do not understand why so many people are choosing to act like Randle’s ankle injury wasn’t a major reason for him being slow and not playing well in the playoffs. I guess bc last year he flipped off the fans and he played bad in the Atlanta series?
He missed 2 full weeks and was in a walking boot. Many people wondered if he would even be back in time for the playoffs. And then he missed more games during the playoffs reinjuring the same ankle.
He’s a big dude. An ankle injury like that is going to slow him down. Oh you’re making an excuse for him! Nope. Just giving a pretty logical reason for why he didn’t play great.
I don’t know. We made the second round and won 47 games and have the chance to run it back with the same team plus Hart next season. I think we should be looking to ADD to this team and have the existing players work on their flaws this off season instead of blowing it up.
I say Toronto. Couldn’t that free up OG a bit?
And doesn’t Orlando have Chicago’s pick or am I reading everything wrong?
I believe it’s 1-4 protected, so if it jumps Chicago gets it
Copy that. Thx.
I’m sure we could get him for the Donovan Mitchell package, except I’m not sure at all that would get him.
Maybe we can trade for Chet Holmgren, Paolo, Wemby and next year’s #1 while we’re at it. No idea why nobody has thought of this.
Owen, good point. Our chances of the pick actually conveying this year are doomed.
I’d go with the Pels, i have sympathy for them because they’re the smaller market and never had success.
Not doomed, no. We have 20% chances. I believe. And probably the NBA is pissed at Cuban for the blatant tank job and is going to rig the lottery to assure they fall. 😀
Grimes was picked 25th and is 8th in his draft class in VORP. He’s 2nd in VORP among players picked 25th or later, barely losing out to Herb Jones solely due to Jones having played more than double the minutes (Grimes has him beat in BPM). He played this season for $2.3M, and is signed for the next two seasons for $6.7M. His presence on this team is unambiguously positive.
Getting furious at the 25th pick for not being a star is one of the weirder bugaboos I’ve ever seen here.
Not for 48 minutes in playoff games during a postseason in which he’s coming up very small.
Everyone knows this, and not his “presence on the team,” is what I mean.
I’m not sure what being the 25th pick has to do with anything at this late date, but that said — no one’s “furious” or anything resembling that.
Cyber, I don’t think you heard me. We’re doomed. Period. Anyone who suggests otherwise is just stirring up trouble, and I won’t have it.
LOL! Yeah, it’s just doesn’t happen to be able to trade up to the top3. Luka was only available because the Hawks were going to take Trae with the 3rd pick. They knew Memphis wouldn’t take Trae at 4th, so it was a win-win situation. And even then, they got an unprotected pick to trade down only 2 spots. I can’t imagine the price to trade down from #2 to #11.
Got it, Alan. I’m a little slow today, going to get some more coffee. LOL Yeah, we’re doomed!
We won that game
How dare Thibs use Grimes for 48min in one of the two games we won. Boy was that stupid.
Yes, cause Cam Reddish have one playoff game where he plays well means he can suck for multiple regular seasons in a row. No young player has ever improved in the playoffs with more experience.
He also had a shoulder injury.
He also came up with probably the biggest defensive play of the entire playoffs for us.
Did Quentin Grimes screw your wife or something?
Google “in spite of.” Multiple moments of clarity should ensue.
Swift, my counterargument to your ankle injury explanation for Randle is that when he got the ball he routinely performed herculean acts of offensive moves, not showing any signs of favoring a leg. Of course he wasn’t terribly successful anyway, but see Strat’s article at the top of this thread to see one of the reasons why (defenses cued into his habits and effectively took away his game).
It was the defensive side of the court where the real problem lay, in my perception. Maybe he was only 80% and decided he’d put 75% into offense and 5% into defense…
Grimes was a +9 and scored 8 points with 4 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, and 2 blocks. 8 shots admittedly, but that ain’t exactly Starksian now is it?
I mean what the hell are we even talking about? Who were you clamoring for, Fournier? Quickley was injured. Hart picked up 4 fouls in 9 minutes and lord knows you don’t like him either. Do we win by even more if Deuce plays a ton?
The “people have irrational opinions about Quentin Grimes” call is coming from inside the house.
Yeah, I think OKC would be my ideal team to leapfrog Dallas, but not to get one of the top 2 picks. It would be fun to see them make a leap in the other conference, even though I’ll have SGA FOMO forever.
Too bad it won’t happen though, because our chances of getting that pick are doomed.
👏👏👏
I’ve said it at least ten times, but I’ll say it an 11th:
We’re talking about the coach’s massive over-reliance on Josh Hart and Quentin Grimes, which thereby put a ceiling on the team’s playoff potential and contributed significantly to losing a winnable playoff series.
In a very open year.
Clear now?
Not that it matters, but this was warned about pretty much on trade deadline day.(*) It was left alone, pretty much, in deference to reading the room and the fact that Josh Hart was playing well, until the playoffs started. After, I think, Game 2, I wrote another post about it. Hubert either beat me to it or started in the same vein shortly after and if anything was more adamant about it than I was near the end. Djphan, too.
Intelligent observers could see this coming. It’s Tom Thibodeau’s MO, and he’s been this way pretty much since the beginning. He has his type, it’s always the “safe” type who can “play defense” and “plays hard” and has a lot of “intangibles” — and then he wonders why he always loses early in the playoffs to lower seeds.
And the counter is, “he’s a useful player at rookie scale” or “he has a chance to be a solid rotation player.” As if anyone ever said otherwise.
For the future, it means, among other things that “running it back” isn’t really an option.
(*) I believe I said something like, words or substance, “Great, another of Tom Thibodeau’s low ceiling guys that he’s going to lean like hell on.”
Anytime you lose a playoff series you should blame the role players instead of the 2x All-Star/2x All-NBA player is a thing people commonly agree on.
Katz in The Athletic saying Alec Burks isn’t enough of an answer, we have to fire one of JR, Julius, or Mitch.
Okay, he didn’t quite say that, but kinda.
Guys, we don’t talk about Grimes more than the other players, E talks about Grimes a lot more and that leads you guys to keep responding thus making E right when he says that we talk too much about Grimes. This is quite funny! 😀
They are role players, but they weren’t used as role players. That’s the problem.
If people would talk in a way that made it clear they see them as role players, this would probably be a little less of a topic. But it’s the opposite.
The next shoe to drop is going to be when Josh Hart signs for $20 million a year, capping the team out for the foreseeable future. Will he be talked about as a role player then? Stay tuned!!
E, your points about Grimes are weird.
Everyone here would love to have a player better than Grimes to play in his position, but alas, we don’t have that player. However, players like Grimes routinely appear in the rosters of contenders (either as starters or bench players) because due to the cap rules, it is really hard to have a team entirely comprised of stars. Grimes did not cost too much in terms of draft capital (a late 1st rounder), little in terms of opportunity cost (there weren’t any stars available at the position he was drafted, there was not a really big trade that hinged on that draft pick) and very little in terms of salary. We are consequently happy to have him, and he is playing well for us, although you can argue that the expectations are not high (however, he is better than any other option we had, including keeping Cam at the deadline).
At some point he will have to be extended, and if he has not progressed, we can have a meaningful debate of whether it is better for the Knicks to look elsewhere. But right now, your arguments just come across as weird.
One example or drop it.
Maybe it is because we compare Grimes favorably to RJ or Cam, who are “stars” that get you lots of pointzzz.
Remember the scene in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood where Steve McQueen is at that big party and is wistfully filling in that woman on Sharon Tate’s past and present, and then gets to Roman Polanski and Jay Seberg, points them out, and the woman listens and then concludes that “Sharon has a type — short guys who look like 12-year-old boys?”
And then Steve McQueen then kind of gets it, sort of gets bitter and muses that he never stood a chance?
Tom Thibodeau is Sharon Tate.
Oh, stop. Every time someone so much as points out the reality, three-quarters of the board has a conniption. It’s happening again today.
But I’m still not really beefing about the players, but about their usage.
Yeah, that’s what I thought. Goodbye!
A guy like Derrick White from the Celtics is pretty similar to Grimes, I guess. White is the better player right now, but you can easily see Grimes having a similar career.
Who were we supposed to play instead of Grimes? Fournier?
White is more of a point guard type. Better at creating off the dribble. Great shotblocker at his size too, which I love.
But seems like a fair comp.
I know this is likely to draw personal attacks and/or accusations that I’m E’s alter ego, and I do agree that E’s repetitiveness is grating, but I can’t help but be persuaded that he is more or less right on the merits most of the time. Said repetitiveness seems to bait people to jump on assertions adjacent to his argument that he hasn’t actually made.
I don’t read the critique of Grimes as detracting from him a player, but rather his outsized role based on the construction of the team, and this is valid. He’s a solid role player relied on to cover gaping weaknesses of core players on our front line. We all understand those players to be badly flawed, and we disagree as to the remedy for that.
Can’t we just let E have his opinion that Thibs sucks in certain specific ways that have knock-on effects for our team construction and ceiling? It’s not like there isn’t lots of evidence to back that notion up. Why is it such red meat for everyone here?
It’s an ironic trait for someone I understand to be a lawyer IRL that their arguments seem to persuade most people to fortify any existing beliefs to the contrary rather than questioning them, but I suppose that’s the origin of the phrase ‘overstating the case.’
Derrick White is second team all-defense and he’s played over 30 minutes a game in one playoff series for the Celtics. He played 26.5 minutes a game against the Sixers.
That’s Tom Thibodeau’s job. If he salted the earth to make room for Jay Seberg and Roman Polanski, it’s on him. He was warned.
the whole Grimes discussion is alot like the frank flame wars… ppl think that he’s better than he is…. or will be… and ppl get offended at others who underrate him…. and yes there are plenty of others who thought starting him would make a huge difference… and there are still others who think he can be a klay thompson type…
he’s not like frank at all.. but people like him like they do frank for whatever reason… which is why there will be a lot of ink spilled… Grimes in the grand scheme of things does not matter… him starting or not had almost no effect on the series because his play was basically a non-factor… it’s ok to like him and just admit that… and it’s ok to point out the times that he was impactful…. but more or less on the whole he was a detriment….
liek a million other players before him… he can hit an open 3 and defend sometimes…. in the playoffs these guys are a dime a dozen… and that’s what E means by just another guy… those guys can sometimes make an impact but that’s sort of rare… and is highly dependent on the 3s given to him by the defense…. sometimes they hit a lot of 3s and they are great… other times they don’t and they are muck…. that’s what grimes was this postseason…
that’s why everything he does is so inconsistent and doesn’t really matter… it’s just a residual of what the defense allows and how much he hits in those limited opportunities…. to go beyond that he’s going to have to shoot well enough to have more opportunities given to him.. like catch and shoots off curls because he’s not really going to create anything….
if this is a familiar story… this was basically the reggie bullock role…. and we were definitely not so hung up on bullock’s impact or lack thereof in various games….. in fact we hardly talked about him at all…. i dunno why Grimes is so controversial….
Shit, Jay Sebring. My bad.
Or maybe the Pels should be the team we’re rooting for to jump? Imagine a team with both Zion and Victor on it. Two diametrically opposed body types, each of them big injury risks for different reasons, but potentially world-shaking games when healthy.
derrick white was light years ahead of grimes at similar ages.. .they are not comparable at all… derrick white can dribble a basketball and shoot in a variety of ways… grimes is restricted to catch and shoot 3pt’ers… and not even off of curls or flares or the like…. as soon as you ask him to do anything beyond that it starts looking like the airball he put up on the last play….
if you want a better comp… his 3par/ftr are more in line with guys like reggie bullock…
Look, if just another guy is a starter on a playoff team, then fine. Let’s just define it as such.
There isn’t much difference in how we all see Grimes as a player. I think that’s quite plain.
E seems quite stuck on making the world feel bad about the fact that Grimes was our best option and some of us are perfectly fine to still just be happy that we have him at all.
Guys like Grimes don’t grow on trees. I think that is still true. We went a solid chunk of the aughts and teens without having many guys on the team better than him.
What?
Derrick White came to the league older than Grimes is right now. Do you really put any thought in what you write?
Es premise was that everyone else is vastly overrating Grimes.
He’s an effective (just turned) 23yo and probably has some upside. Every championship team has some roleplayers. We could certainly upgrade the position but it’d be expensive to do so.
We had a 106.6 ORtg in the games Grimes didn’t start. We had a 112.0 ORtg in games Grimes did start in the Heat series. Is that all Grimes? No. But could help that Grimes can shoot and force defenders to guard him at the 3pt line? Yes.
Plenty of contenders have a Bullock-type player on their team, and Quentin Grimes as a 22yo during the regular season had a better year than any Bullock season.
Man, F that. Give the Pels ANOTHER #1 pick?
So we’re all agreed he’s an NBA-caliber “role player.” Progress!
The next step is to realize that the coach is going to use role players who fit his preferred archetype way more than he should and that’s going to hurt the team’s ceiling in the playoffs — as we literally just saw with our own eyes. With not just one, but two.
Meeting of the minds on that one, and we’re done.
At that point, the discussion becomes whether he should be kept around as the coach another year when there are a bunch of really good coaches available. I’m a no.
So, he couldn’t do the one example.
Where has anyone said he’s more than this right now? I’m still waiting.
OK, everything ever said about Quentin Grimes in the history of Knickerblogger has never stated or implied that he was anything more than a role player. Ever, at any time.
Meeting of the minds about the coach? Commmmme onnnnn, you can do it.
Lawyers aren’t more persuasive. Just more argumentative.
Pretending there’s some consensus that Quentin Grimes is a budding superstar and then getting furious about that invented consensus just doesn’t seem like a productive way to spend time.
Like, I could pretend you all hate Jalen Brunson and get myself worked up accordingly, but that would be weird.
Thibs has issues. Nobody argues that.
Playing Grimes 48min when IQ was injured and Hart fouled somebody every 2min isn’t the best example.
More importantly, this has nothing to do with other people’s beliefs on Quentin Grimes.
So then you disagree with the evaluation of the coach?
Lawyers aren’t more persuasive. Just more argumentative.
+1
interested to see if sam cassell gets a coaching job this go around…
I always imagined him as a successful coach…
Can we all just pray that Thibs gets some kind of offensive coordinator, because that offense just was extremely easy for Spoelstra to predict.
Other than that, they desperately need shooting: Brunson, RJ, Randle, and Mitch isn’t ideal with the way they like to operate.
Other than that, trade Randle. He’s just too temperamental and bad defensively in the playoffs.
If Thibs has said he thinks Quentin Grimes is a budding superstar, I disagree with him. Definitely missed that if it happened, but sure.
“So then you disagree with my evaluation of the coach?”
Ooo, I do! I do! (waves hand wildly)
Thibs has warts on his warts. But playing a guy who shoots over 38% from three (and can play decent D) a lot during a playoff series where they packed the paint and killed our (admittedly Pleistocene) iso-heavy offense because nobody else on the team not named Jalen is known for making threes doesn’t strike me as a misdemeanor, much less a fire-able offense.
I could see firing him for his lack of creativity on O, but playing Grimes a lot, given the alternatives, seems sensible.
Better stop or you might be accused of channeling Z-man again….
Ultimately, I’m not too concerned with who jumps the Mavs, I’d just like somebody to do it.
From a “I’d like to watch that team perspective” OKC would be a lot of fun. From a “I’d like the Knicks or any other team to have a prayer in the next 10 years” OKC is the worst team to jump.
At the beginning of the season we all said that the best outcome was to avoid the play-in and to win a playoff series. Thibs did both. I don’t think this is the best season to question the coach’s job.
and this is why there are issues because this is not true even if you only include bullocks knicks years….
I’m sure this revelation will cause some major epiphany of some sort… and just b cause I pointed it out I must eat babies or something…
It would have actually been better if Thibs did think Grimes and Hart were budding superstars because then he would have found some trivial fault with them and played them less lol.
+1 to Geo’s comment about Cassell.
I have to admit, I kind of enjoy what a rabbit hole this argument is.
I don’t see anyone on the Knicks bench who was a better option than Grimes. I don’t think that is on Grimes. It’s on the front office who had a ton of money tied up in Rose and Fournier.
Is the endpoint of this argument that Thibs, by running off Cam Reddish for Josh Hart who can’t shoot, is the guy who fatally sapped our depth?
If so, I kind of love it. Just relentless commitment to the bit in the best possible way.
We absolutely could have used three more good players. We didn’t have a third big, we didn’t have an IQ replacement, and we didn’t have someone better than Hart or Grimes.
I blame Thibs for all of it.
Bullock had 2 seasons with a TS% over .600, both were still lower than Grimes.
Bullock exceeded Grimes’s pts/36 once.
He equalled Grimes’s ast/36 once, never in a year he had a TS% over .600.
Bullock never came close to 60% inside the arc, Grimes shot 64%.
If you want to say that some Bullock years were about as good as Grimes sophomore year, then I don’t think it changes much.
things haven’t gone as I’d like with HR – they actually suggested today I go back to the same role where I’ve documented 3 panic attacks and my boss clearly chose the company’s business interests over my personal health just recently…
I can’t tell if I’m simply dealing with stupidity or cold and callous evilness…
I’m okay, I just need to keep doing my due diligence, try to get them to state “some” responsibility for the health/safety issue and document…
one of the things that’s made the process for getting fair treatment from the VA was having everything well documented, with lots of dates and details…
that and legal representation…I went to the VA twice to try to get a fair resolution…wasn’t until I lawyer’d up that I actually got fair treatment…
went to the HR person’s boss…I’ll continue to ask questions, make requests, and document…
no need to say nothing E, just appreciate being able to share with you…thanks…
i know there’s a reason why you skipped over BPM even though all those components are part of BPM and that’s generally how we discuss how good someone is on this board… since forever…
but I’d like to hear from the horses mouth… so please humor me…
If Hart is also included in E’s vendetta the math starts to lead one to the conclusion that he wanted Thibs to trot out a 4 man lineup
back to basketball…lord forgive me, but – I think we’re going to have another celtics/lakers final…
yuch…
go nuggets…
Grimes is mediocre. He could be better than mediocre, maybe. We had to play him in the Heat series just given the injury and shooting situation. What are we disagreeing about here? If Thibs plays Grimes 48 minutes in next year’s playoffs, I would be inclined to take E’s worry more seriously. As it stands, I don’t see it.
My thinking is pretty much the same as yours when it comes to the factors to consider, but for me it’s an easy “trade Randle”. I’d way rather have a flawed young player without serious character issues, without serious injury issues, but with a good work ethic, than a known flawed quantity like Randle that could just as easily take a step backward next year as stay the same or go forward.
He once beat Grimes with a 0.7 BPM in a year he shot 44.5% from 3. Sure he was better that one year.
Bullock played ~ 400 fewer min leading to a worse WAR by RAPTOR.
Hart’s always been included in my vendetta.
another day, another thread of E beating the stuffing out of a strawman and then whining about how nobody understands how smart he is.
ok im gonna give you the benefit of the doubt because thats alot more than i expected….
there’s also bullock’s age 24 and 25 season along with his last knick year where he had a … drumroll… the EXACT bpm as grimes…. (and fwiw… bullock’s last year of .709/.098 3par/ftr is also a mirror image of grimes’ career mark of .712/.140)
i’m sure this will now lead to completely rational discussions about him in the future…
I’m not even sure why we are having a conversation about Grimes or Hart. They are the very least of our issues. They are terrific role players.
You don’t need all superstars to win the title. No one can afford it anyway. You have to build within the budget/cap. What you need is enough scoring, rebounding, play making, and defense in a coherent lineup both to start and off the bench.
Generally that means either 2 superstar scorers, a decent 3rd option, and 2 very good role players, 1 superstar scorer, 2 all-stars caliber scorers and a couple of role players, or 3 all star caliber scorers and 2 very good role players. The role players provide the things you are a little light on from your star scorers.
Grimes is already a very valuable piece. He provides plus defense, good spacing, and can make some plays here or there. Anything he develops from here is gravy. He can start or play off the bench on a serious contender depending on what position the scoring is coming from.
The same is true of Hart. He gives us more rebounding and playmaking, but a little less spacing.
Our issue is not finding the role players. We have terrific role players.
Our issue is that Randle has not been able to follow through in the playoffs and RJ is not good/efficient enough to be considered one of the “three” yet. Only Brunson is solid. Some of that problem is related to our players being a bad fit and some is related to the actual skill levels. Most likely we are going to try to upgrade the scoring/spacing somewhere while simultaneously improving the fit. Grimes will either start or come off the bench as a very good role player depending on who we trade for and what we have to give up.
i didn’t expect it to get this frothy in here this quickly….we’re less than 96 hours removed from Game 6….and the mandolorian flame throwers are at full throttle…gonna be a loooonnnnnngggg summer..is it summer league yet?
I thinkn sam cassell is the NBA version of Eric Bienemy…although I don’t know how many interviews cassell has gotten…’but he does seem like he’s been on many sidelines for a while (just like Thibs…20 yrs doing the asst gig)…
I just saw a tweet that said Harden is eyeing joining the Suns..
oh..and I agree with strat
Bullocks age 24 & 25 seasons were under 500 min
He was worse by RAPTOR in his Knicks year.
And again, even if he’s just Bullock with slightly better passing and driving… that’s a good player.
Grimes is 22 and improved in practically every way despite missing a lot of camp. How is this even a conversation? There are 29 other teams in the NBA that would love to have Grimes regardless of whether he develops into a star player or not. He’s on the fast track to very high level role player at a minimum.
Harden played some of his best basketball for D’Antoni. Put some space around that Harden/Embiid combo and we could see high some octane P&R offensive action.
Skis, over.
Most, if not all, of the other fanbases/teams are indifferent about Quentin Grimes. He’s not a big enough factor to care about. Djphan has hit this idea way better and I won’t bother to add.
(I don’t mean to single this out, strat, there are way worse examples, but a challenge was issued and this has the benefit of immediacy.)
It was really the dumbest fucking thing where the owners hired Morey a month after they hired Doc, thus sticking Morey with a coach he didn’t want and yet had to wait three fucking years to get rid of when it was obvious from the start that the fit was always bad. Why the fuck you hire Daryl Morey and then handicap him with the coach is beyond me.
Bullock led a Western Conference Finals team in playoff minutes last year. Weird.
“I just saw a tweet that said Harden is eyeing joining the Suns..”
“Excuse me, Kevin, what do you think about this rumor…?”
i wonder where draymond will be playing next year…
edit: actually, maybe they move poole instead…
Harden’s gonna pick the coach, so it will likely be Pringles.
If you know anything about NBA fans is they don’t like good young players
The Suns with Harden should be a reality show.
Three superstars. One ball.
Speaking of Grimes airball, no one has noted that it was on an after time out play where there was very little time on the clock. Of course we all hated the result because we needed the points, but I still thought it was remarkable that Thibs called an ATO that worked in the sense that we got the shot off. So many times in the past our ATO plays have turned into nothing at all, not even a shot, that I was actually pleased with this one.
Maybe if everyone just ignored E’s comments he’ll finally stop posting, it’s worth a shot.
There were over 10 seconds to go in the game when Grimes launched his UFO.
True but we still needed to score quickly and we got a three point shot off and it wasn’t by Mitchell Robinson. It’s baby steps, but still I was pleased we got the shot off and it looked like a designed ATO play actually got the desired shot off.
He’s young, but i don’t know if it’ll be easy on a 4/128M contract. Warriors will need good players in return, and that’s a lot of money to send back.
Although the pick is doomed, i’m watching ESPN, and i’m glad we have Monica there to be our good luck charm.
And we have to wait for next year to get the pick… 🙁
And Spurs get Wembanyama, which is cool because of Pop.
wow, that’s insane: david robinson, tim duncan, and now this crazy dude…
is san antonio a nice location…
ugh, jackson is announcing…
I so hopes he gets a job coaching this off season…
your probably right cyber, it would be tough…
I wonder though, if poole can carry some other teams offense…
edit: RJ and evian for poole perhaps…
LOL! 😉 And if he manages to make Giannis uncomfortable to a point he demands a trade to the Knicks, i promise i’ll never complain about him in the future. 😀
Jokic on pace for 40 rebounds
Outside of brown…the nuggets have no bench…