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Knicks Morning News (2026.10.06)

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  • 76ers 120, Knicks 97: Scenes from a sleepy scrimmage – Posting & Toasting
  • Preseason Game Thread: Knicks at 76ers, October 5, 2026 – Posting & Toasting
  • Karl-Anthony Towns doesn’t expect extension with Knicks before season – SNY
  • Knicks’ Karl-Anthony Towns on extension before season: ‘It don’t look good’ – The Athletic – The New York Times
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  • Karl-Anthony Towns says extension negotiations with Knicks ‘don’t look good’ as two sides remain apart on deal – CBS Sports
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  • KNICKS at 76ERS | NBA PRESEASON FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | October 5, 2026 – NBA
  • Knicks at 76ers (PRESEASON) – Recap & Reaction | POSTGAME SHOW | Knicks Film School – Knicks Film School
  • Brunson Returns, Wiseman Impressive In Knicks Preseason Opener! | KFTV – Knicks Fan TV
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  • 117 replies on “Knicks Morning News (2026.10.06)”

    It was just awful to see Hukporti go down. Reports are that he’s out for the year. He looked trim and energetic before he got hurt. He was going to get real minutes this year.

    Oh, that’s really unfortunate for him, he’s a young player needing to show he belongs and going down with injury is a huge step back. I hope he has the strength and determination to overcome this. #OAKAAK

    I only tuned in midway through the 3rd quarter… only watched end of bench players! Yikes!

    How was the 1st half?

    About KAT, i think Leon will get a deal done.

    Imho, if we manage to keep our top3 (JB,KAT,OG) we’ll still be a championship caliber team. Do you agree? And if yes, should Leon do all he can to keep this guys, and make changes on the rest of the roster?

    Cyber, my take: first half was fine. Brunson, OG and Mikal looked tip-top, Hart and KAT a bit less so but fine.

    Of the bench players, Drummond, Shamet, and to a lesser degree, Mo and Kolek, stood out on the positive side on isolated plays but were sort of spotty.

    Dadiet has moments, but his brainfarts are just so egregious.

    All of Wiseman, Eubanks, and Bradley looked terrible, just in different ways. I suppose that’s good for Wiseman.

    1

    Strat, do you think an NBA front office concluded the near-term ability to trade our 2034 first-round pick was more valuable than Mitchell Robinson?

    I think once you go over the 2nd apron the clock starts clicking on the possibility of that pick moving to the bottom of the list permanently if you repeat in 2 of 4 of the next seasons. We would almost certainly do that if we tried to keep the team together by going over this season (on top of other costs both financial and in terms of flexibility).

    I’ve made my point on Mitch specifically.

    Mitch is an impact player and we are going to miss him. But he’s a backup, has a terrible injury history, has had some mental health issues that contributed to injuries and becomes unplayable at times due to his FT issues.

    He’s a tough player to value because you have no idea what you are going to get out out of him in the playoffs. Zero is a decent possibilty.

    I don’t think it’s an easy decision to go over the 2nd apron for Mitch.

    After watching the game last night my hot take is we should blow up the team, accumulate draft picks and tank the season. 😉

    I also think Leon and KAT will eventually figure it out. But if I were Leon, I wouldn’t compromise very much. I think $50M AAV, plus a refund on the $12M he is giving up by opting out, and maybe a slight signing bonus, gets you to about $220M/4 years. If that’s not good enough, then play out the season and let KAT shop around.

    Wiseman got 31/20/4 per 36, while Eubanks got 6/6/0 per 36. The answer is clear.

    Kidding. But Wiseman overall wasn’t horrific, and Drummond and Kool Moe D on the defensive end weren’t horrific.

    I am also a bit turned off about KAT’s “No shit, Sherlock” remark. Escalating the situation with snarky remarks in the press is not going to help matters. If he keeps it up, Dolan might order Leon to trade him out of spite.

    About KAT, i think Leon will get a deal done.

    Leon can get a deal done in 15 min if he offers KAT $60-$65m aav.

    That means both Deuce and Hart are toast right away. When JB gets paid, Mikal is toast.

    One thing we all agreed about Leon early on in his tenure is that he didn’t make any terrible mistakes that set the team back and he coudn’t get out from under.

    KAT is getting bad advice if he believs the following two things to be true. 1) He’s actually worth near 35% max and 2) Leon will give it to him and brake up the Nova chemistry.

    The only thing left to do is trade KAT or hope he’s just trying to negotiate a couple of extra million and will stay in the 45-50 range.

    My issue with Wiseman is that he loads up more slowly than a Civil War era musket. You could see it in isolated plays where he was in position to get a rebound but just couldn’t get his mind/legs to fire.

    On the positive side, he looks fast in a straight line and pretty healthy and spry overall. Definitely can catch some lobs.

    You would have to really believe in Brown and his staff to coach him up anoint him the guy.

    One of the reasons the second half looked so ratty is that they played most of it without a PG. I think Clarkson was running the offense with the scrubs and he was not good. Then Akins took a turn. Also not good.

    I am also a bit turned off about KAT’s “No shit, Sherlock” remark. Escalating the situation with snarky remarks in the press is not going to help matters. If he keeps it up, Dolan might order Leon to trade him out of spite.

    In which case, the blame would unambiguously fall 100% on the shoulders of the grown ass man who broke up a championship NBA team because his feelings got hurt by wholly innocuous, common sense comments.

    Yeah, Alvarado couldn’t play last night for some reason, so they were short one guy who could have played point.

    I know Wiseman doesn’t look great, but if you think of him as Hukporti’s replacement, he did alright.

    Strat, if the Knicks eventually go above the second apron because a better basketball situation than “keep the team that just put up ‘96 Bulls numbers in the playoffs together” arises, you can claim vindication.

    From my POV, all indications are that Dolan was being quite literal on WFAN. His public position is going into the second apron is “suicide.”

    Now, because the penalties for doing so are in fact not all that different than being above the first unless you do it 3 times in 5 seasons, I think he’s mostly lying and using it as a justification to cheap out, knowing the overwhelming majority of people won’t look into the details.

    But his true motivations don’t really matter as long as he clings to this.

    Has Drummond lost some weight? He looks a little thinner, and moved well on the perimeter to get a block shot. I am hoping he is able to improve his movement and interior defense, even if just a little.

    I think it might take MO a few years to develop. He has a good set of skills, plays hard, but sometimes it does take time. He seems like he came in with more muscle this year.

    “In which case, the blame would unambiguously fall 100% on the shoulders of the grown ass man who broke up a championship NBA team because his feelings got hurt by wholly innocuous, common sense comments.”

    Dolan is a given. You can rail against him all you want, just know that you are not adding anything to the conversation by doing so, You yourself suggested that you were sounding like a broken record. How many times does Dolan being a small-minded petty asshole have to be stipulated before we can move on to matters of actual substance? (note: I agree that the pro’s and con’s of going over the second apron are controversial enough to merit further discussion, so long as it is stipulated that for whatever reason, the matter of whether the Knicks will do it or not this year is settled, and that no amount of broken-record-ness is going to change that.)

    What is actually useful to discuss is how to successfully negotiate with the given of Dolan on the other end.

    We know with 100% certainty that Dolan will deliberately sabotage the team if he feels like a player is crossing him in any way. So if KAT starts escalating, he runs the risk of Dolan telling Leon to either trade him or let him go. Don’t we have enough experience with Dolan to know that?

    And when you are dealing with an imperious asshole that has the power that Dolan has over decision-making and you negotiate in a way that has been shown time and time again to lead to a result that you ultimately don’t want, you bear some responsibility for the outcome.

    I hate the mandate as much as anyone but I think it’s being given too much consideration in all this. I think Leon would be handling it the same way if there wasn’t a mandate at all. You don’t offer maximum dollars and maximum security in an extension. If KAT wants his market value, he has to accept one year of risk and reach the market.

    There’s no reason to think Leon’s unwillingness to pay it now means he won’t pay it later. He’s just not going to give it away now when he doesn’t have to.

    Leon’s negotiating like we’re not a small market team that needs to fear our players bolting if they reach free agency.

    Mo did a good job finding gaps in the defense off the ball that let him attack the basket. Those aren’t going to be there in SL when he’s playing on ball, which is probably the difference.

    Dadiet missed a layup, lost the ball on a eurostep, and stepped on the 3pt line for a long 2. He was bad in other areas of the game but was a few inches and miscues from a good scoring line.

    Wiseman reminds me of a wacky waving inflatable tube man.

    McCullar stuck out as better than the other scrubs but missed some open corner 3s. He needs to hit those to get playing time.

    Bruce, Eubanks, and Agbaji were forgettable.

    “Now, because the penalties for doing so are in fact not all that different than being above the first unless you do it 3 times in 5 seasons, I think he’s mostly lying and using it as a justification to cheap out, knowing the overwhelming majority of people won’t look into the details.”

    The “not all that different” part continues to be false no matter how many times or how loudly you say it is true.

    You are also minimizing the “slippery slope” impact on the team in future years, including the negotiations going on right now.

    We get that you think the potential benefit in the here-and-now, i.e. maximizing the chances of repeating this year, outweigh the potential significant drawbacks in the future. Nobody is arguing that it doesn’t, certainly not me. I just don’t think it’s enough of a difference to be worth losing one’s mind over.

    I would think that Leon & Co. will negotiate shrewdly and unemotionally with KAT and his team, unless Dolan meddles in one direction or another. And we have experience with Dolan meddling in both directions. As such, beyond the second apron mandate which seems “final” by all available evidence, Leon and KAT should both be acting in a way that keeps Dolan out of it as much as possible until they come to an agreement that Dolan will approve without getting otherwise involved.

    Yeah, I agree Hubs. There is no reason to pay KAT 35% of the cap as he enters his 30’s. Paying him 65 million when he’s 35 is suicide.

    KAT is just holding out for a few extra million and Leon is holding firm. This will get resolved.

    That being said, I wouldn’t fuck around and wait too long because the press are going to constantly bring this up with KAT until it’s resolved and the longer that plays out, the potential for it pissing both sides off rises.

    I agree our big three is Jalen, OG and KAT. The Nova chemistry is real and needs to be protected as much as possible but eventually, there might come a day when it makes sense to deal Mikal and/or Josh and retool the starting 5.

    If KAT and Leon can work out a deal that works for both sides, hopefully that day is not for a few more years.

    I’d try to resign Hart for just a few more years. With his finger situation, you gotta think he’s not gonna want to play THAT much longer.

    I think that Brown would learn more about Wiseman if he played him with the regular rotation guys. Maybe he’s doing that in practice, e.g. running him out there with the other 4 starters and playing KAT, Deuce, Alvarado, Shamet, and Mo against them. All Wiseman has to learn to be is a gap-filler. He needs to concentrate on controlling the ground with footwork, rather than reaching and flailing.

    Of course, I felt the same way about Kevin Knox and it never happened.

    “I know Wiseman doesn’t look great, but if you think of him as Hukporti’s replacement, he did alright.”

    I’ve never thought of the guy we’re looking for as being Huk’s replacement. That’s the problem.

    It was just awful to see Hukporti go down. Reports are that he’s out for the year. He looked trim and energetic before he got hurt. He was going to get real minutes this year.

    Was it the same Achilles he tore 2 years before we drafted him, or the other leg?

    AI is notoriously bad on getting “right versus left” correct when discussing sports injuries. I have no idea what is correct on this particular one.

    I think Leon would be handling it the same way if there wasn’t a mandate at all. You don’t offer maximum dollars and maximum security in an extension. If KAT wants his market value, he has to accept one year of risk and reach the market.

    I can’t remember when was the last time a team let an All NBA talent hit free agency and risk loosing them for nothing simply because of money. Last 25 years, it never happened. These situations always end up in a trade where seller gets pennies on the dollar.

    KAT knows this leverage and is being selfish to get his money at the expense of keeping a championship window open for the next three years.

    Wiseman wasn’t gonna be good out of the box. If he’s going to turn into a player here, it’s probably going to take a little while for Brown to coach him up and get him up to speed with the team concepts.

    Wiseman isn’t really very young and has never been very good, so it’s a long shot that he develops into something useful. But Mike Brown seems like the kind of coach who focuses on what a player can do rather than what he can’t do, and if he sees something in Wiseman, maybe there’s something there.

    I’m coming around to the idea that keeping Wiseman around and seeing if he can turn into something while the Knicks search externally for a better backup big might not be a bad use of that roster slot.

    These situations always end up in a trade where seller gets pennies on the dollar.

    Or both sides figure it out? They don’t always end in trades lol.

    Also, he has a player option for next season that is worth like 60 million. This could potentially play out all season and into next season as well.

    There was one sequence last night where Drummond blocked a shot, then ran the floor and received a pass, then tried to go left to the basket and got blocked pretty easily by a smaller player on a slowish, weakish move.

    There was also a defensive sequence where he had to rotate several times and moved his feet reasonably well and covered a decent amount of ground. It wasn’t peak Mitch, but it was something!

    He made one nice drive on the left side and shrugged off a smaller defender for an easy layup.

    If you squint, you can discern the outlines of a reasonably good 2-way second-stringer if he can use the regular season to lose a few pounds and get into better shape. But he should be “backed up” by a quick-twitch pogo stick type. That does not seem to be James Wiseman.

    1

    I’m fine with Wiseman as a flyer, but my strong preference would be a non-guaranteed deal. Wasn’t Shamet on a deal last year that didn’t become fully guaranteed until January?

    Or both sides figure it out? They don’t always end in trades lol.

    I guess…but what does “working it out” look like exactly….

    30% instead of 35%?

    Can a GM build or maintain a contender with the following and stay under SA?

    JB – 35%
    KAT- 30%
    OG – 25%

    If yes, someone please help me understand how.

    Director, I believe that the two players who are indispensable are Brunson and OG.

    I don’t think that there’s a player in the NBA worth 35% of the cap under the current CBA. Obviously if Brunson insists on that, you kind of have to pay him, but he should be told in no uncertain terms that it lowers the team’s ceiling to the point that he will not win a second championship without a ridiculous amount of luck, and maybe not even then.

    Somehow I think that he will be fine with 30%. If not, we’ll just have to be resigned to a nice run of second round exits.

    I think with Brunson, KAT, and OG earning 85% of the cap, you can sustain a contender with the remaining space under the 2nd apron with some extremely clever GMing. So maybe something like 32-28-25 would barely work, and even then, only if all three guys aged gracefully.

    2

    Can a GM build or maintain a contender with the following and stay under SA?

    I mean, we have a contender right now for this season, no? And probably next? How long are we supposed to sustain our contender status as our core moves into their 30s? Does any team ever do that?

    Most likely we will be contenders this year, maybe next. Then we’ll dip down to quasi contender status before falling off a cliff. I chose not to think about what’s gonna happen in 2 or 3 years because right now is the best time ever to be a Knicks fan and I’m just trying to enjoy it.

    1

    I can’t remember when was the last time a team let an All NBA talent hit free agency and risk loosing them for nothing simply because of money. Last 25 years, it never happened. These situations always end up in a trade where seller gets pennies on the dollar.

    The Celtics got more than Pennie’s on the dollar for Brown but nowhere near full value for that caliber of player.

    The Celtics got more than Pennie’s on the dollar for Brown but nowhere near full value for that caliber of player.

    In 5 years we trade KAT and Brunson to The Nets for 6 first round picks.

    1

    I can’t remember when was the last time a team let an All NBA talent hit free agency and risk loosing them for nothing simply because of money. Last 25 years, it never happened.

    I think this whole thing may be unprecedented. Our #2 is paid like the #1 and our #1 is paid like a #3.

    The whole thing is gonna take some finagling, and I think it’s unreasonable to expect it to happen easily.

    I do think it will happen, though.

    1

    I guess…but what does “working it out” look like exactly….

    30% instead of 35%?

    Can a GM build or maintain a contender with the following and stay under SA?

    JB – 35%
    KAT- 30%
    OG – 25%

    If yes, someone please help me understand how.

    Yes, but it involves dumping Hart or Mikal to make it work. We would need to get value out of guys like Kolek and Diawara. Also depends on what we can sign Deuce for.

    Working it out realistically means waiting for KAT to opt into his next season and signing him to a lower deal the following years. We get to see if he loses a step and it’s unlikely the market is near his current asking level regardless. We can likely keep the starters together that way.

    There are a couple of things that seem to weigh in Leon’s favor in the negotiations with KAT:
    1) Dolan’s decree: Leon can pass the buck (figuratively, not outwardly, of course) and it can be safely implied that he has no choice in the matter.
    2) The “perception” that Brunson sacrificed $100M to allow Leon to (successfully) field a championship team around him while staying under the second apron (which I would guess the vast majority of fans feel is a virtual hard cap.)
    3) The NYC media: In addition to (2), even if the media is sympathetic to KAT, constant reporting on it might increase the pressure on KAT to justify his position as the time between the championship parade and the present grows.
    4) KAT”s teammates: When KAT says things like “No shit, Sherlock, I just won a championship…” it might remind teammates that he kind of pouted all year and was criticized in the locker room the year before. If his play drops off at all, or if it starts to feel like KAT doesn’t care if they have to let Josh Hart or Mikal Bridges (as EB alluded to) or even Deuce go to accommodate his demands (with the assumption that they all believe their asshole owner when he insists that the second apron is a hard cap) KAT’s standing in the locker room might take a hit.

    Can a GM build or maintain a contender with the following and stay under SA?

    There is no realistic path to keeping the starting 5 together under the second apron. There never has been.

    A strong case can be made that it wasn’t worth going over the second apron for Mitch. But we have to go over it eventually. And no one can make a good case for choosing the SA over KAT, OG, Mikal, or even Josh.

    I don’t think Leon will stick around very long if this mandate stays in place. I’m guessing he came here to build a championship team, not rip one apart in service of a buffoon.

    I think this whole thing may be unprecedented. Our #2 is paid like the #1 and our #1 is paid like a #3.

    This is another thing I find so curious about our current Knicks team. In a GREAT way.

    And I realize I am changing the discussion from money to field position for a minute.

    I recently saw Josh Hart listed as a Power Forward with OG listed as a Small Forward and Mikal as a Shooting Guard. I did a spit take. I mean I guess I can see Mikal as an oversized 2, and I can see that Josh out-rebounds a lot of Bigs in the league. But I can never see OG listed as “small” in any sense.

    So I’m wondering — can people remember precedents in the league where there are players at the 2/3/4 who are as interchangable as our current crop?

    I think both Steph Curry and Dwayne Wade put similar arguments to bed, but only for one spot on their team:

    – for Steph, is he too much of a shooter to be seen as a point guard. The answer is – who cares – if he is going to anchor your team, you let him anchor your team.

    – For Dwayne Wade, was he too undersized at 6’4″ to be a legit shooting guard? The answer is, again, that his athleticism trumps all doubts.

    But can anyone name another model team like the Knicks, where there are multiple players playing out of position and nobody cares, because it all flows?

    Strikes me that people can lose track of the difference between cap space and payroll space, which is significant with the NBA’s soft cap.

    As example, KAT’s salary is 34.6% of the (nominal) salary cap for 26-27 and that’s a readily available, widely published figure. But it’s only 25.8% of the second apron payroll level, the Knicks’ actual working payroll cap level, for this season and presumably the foreseeable future.

    Percentage calculation vis-a-vis the 2nd apron level is the more pertinent calculation for figuring available space to fill out the payroll.

    2

    timo, respectfuly, I don’t think anyone has lost sight of that distinction. It’s just easier to speak in terms of the established landmark percentages.

    Z-man, with equal respect, in reviewing your post at 11:24, I can see you make the pertinent distinction. But the way the question you answered was posed did not. And with an almost 40% difference between nominal cap and the Knicks’ target working cap, I’m not impressed that the (not much) easier path is the one well chosen.

    KAT needs to shut up (pretty simple, just state you aren’t going to discuss the contract once the season starts),put his hurt pride to bed, and exercise his option to bag $118million for his 31 and 32 year old seasons. That gives everyone the maximum flexibility. Somehow he thinks that sacrificing his game for the sake of the team, when he would have been at risk of being out the door on his inflated contract otherwise, is worthy of newfound respect. Jalen extended at his max because it helped the team, OG re-upped at his level because of purported interest from another team. Not sure if either of them combined have said how much they want to be in NY as much as KAT. Yet, shit Sherlock comes out when keeping silent was what a team player would do.

    The absolute ceiling for me would be 30% of the cap for Towns, which would save us $12+ million next year. Then if you get Brunson at 30% as well, add OG at 25%, keep Bridges at 20%, and get Hart down a bit to like 10% you could conceivably keep the team together.

    Looking at the numbers I think it’s possible to stay under the 2nd apron and still pay Duece around $10-12 million, keep Shamet, Alvarado, and Mo, as long as you just pay everyone else the minimum with 1-2 2nd round salaries and a 14 man roster.

    The “not all that different” part continues to be false no matter how many times or how loudly you say it is true.

    If I’m so clearly wrong, can you reference second-apron specific penalties you think were plausibly worth losing Mitch to avoid?

    I mean, let’s go through them:

    1) No TPMLE–we didn’t use it

    2) No salary aggregation–which salaries were we going to aggregate in a trade that, mind you, would’ve been required to lower our overall payroll, due to a first apron restriction?

    3) Frozen 2034 pick–if we trade this for a player that improves our championship odds more than Mitchell Robinson, you’ll know where to find me!

    Almost everything else people talk about (e.g. no buyout guys, no receiving an S&T’d player, no increasing your salary burden via trade, etc.) is actually a first apron restriction, unless you’re really bent out of shape about us not being allowed to use TPEs we don’t have, or being able to sprinkle in cash in a trade.

    So which of the above three things was so clearly dire, only people with Dolan Derangement Syndrome like me (and Zach Lowe, earlier today) aren’t buying what Dolan is selling?

    There is no realistic path to keeping the starting 5 together under the second apron. There never has been.

    This is the part I’m not sure people realize, given that letting Mitch walk came with a level of plausible deniability. People seem to assume that doing so was in service of keeping the starters together.

    So just to be very clear: if James Dolan is to be believed, we are near certain to lose at least one starter by 2028-2029, barring enormous discounts.

    1

    I’ll frame it differently, Timo.
    Right now, the Knicks are spending more than 86% of its second apron space on its starting 5. Of that, 62% is spent on the top 3 (KAT 26%, OG 19%, Brunson 17%) and 24% on Mikal+Josh. That leaves less than 14% left for the rest of the roster. If you filled the rest of the spots with vet’s minimum deals, that would cost $22M, or 10% of the remaining amount.

    That leaves 4% of the available second apron space to spend on non-starters, or around $8.84M.

    For this year, The following non-starters are splitting most of that 4% as follows:
    Shamet (1.4%)
    Alvarado (0.9%)
    Deuce (0.68%)
    Dadiet + Diawara (<0.5%)

    None of those guys make even the TPMLE this year.

    If you increase the share of second apron space taken up by the big 3 even slightly, say upping Brunson to 22%, which would be $48.6M this year, you now have to deal with having zero money beyond vet's minimums to fill out 9 spots. (Let's ignore rookie minimums for now.)

    Options to fill out the bench:
    -Josh takes a significant pay cut
    OR
    -one of Josh or Mikal is traded taking less salary back
    OR
    -Josh's player option is declined and he is let go
    OR
    -Deuce is replaced with a minimum deal
    -One of Alvarado or Shamet is let go

    If there is another path to paying KAT what he wants, paying Brunson close to what he deserves, retaining OG, keeping both Mikal and Josh beyond next year, while staying under the second apron, I don't see it.

    “ People seem to assume that doing so was in service of keeping the starters together”

    Anytime I see” people seem to assume” as a lead-in I sense a weak argument coming. And sure enough. No It was to keep the same team that won the cup and championship as intact as possible for a defense, and resigning all the other rotation players at the cost of Mitch seemed the best option given the immediate constraint.

    So I’m wondering — can people remember precedents in the league where there are players at the 2/3/4 who are as interchangable as our current crop?

    It’s a good question, The Rant.

    I wonder if the recent iteration of OKC would count. If you’re being very strict, the answer is no because Chet at the 4 can’t play 2 or 3. But the Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Lu Dort, Alex Caruso corp of wings was as flexible as any out there. Most of those guys were just as comfortable guarding Brunson as KAT. Caruso and J-Will even guard Jokic and Wemby.

    This San Antonio group (Castle, Vassell, Harper, Champagnie) is pretty good, too, although Champagnie is a bit weak.

    “1) No TPMLE–we didn’t use it”

    We didn’t need to use it this year because we were able to retain both Shamet and Alvarado using their Bird rights. It kind of came in handy last year, and it might come in handy next year as well. But the only way to get it back is to get back under the second apron.

    “2) No salary aggregation–which salaries were we going to aggregate in a trade that, mind you, would’ve been required to lower our overall payroll, due to a first apron restriction?”

    It is pretty obvious that you can aggregate some salaries now if you have to priior to the trade deadline, either to pick up a player earning somewhere in the $5-7M range without giving up two rotation players, e.g. Deuce+Dadiet+a minimum. And you can also do something next year should an opportunity come up without having to get under the second apron first.

    “3) Frozen 2034 pick–if we trade this for a player that improves our championship odds more than Mitchell Robinson, you’ll know where to find me!”

    The crux of your current argument is that retaining Mitch with the potentially devastating consequences if he gets injured are worth it because he maximizes the odds of repeating this year. In other words, the gap between him and whoever is brought in to replace him is virtually impossible to close to the degree that it makes all the apron stuff a risk worth taking. It’s fine that you feel that way, but you should be at least a bit concerned that the risk of it backfiring is significant enough to not just handwave away. Heck, we were lucky that he wasn’t lost for the finals for an injury he caused to himself!

    And obviously, if the Knicks went into the second apron to retain the likes of Mitch, it would be kind of hard to convince KAT or Brunson or OG or Bridges or Hart to take a discount, and personally, having all of those guys on the team for the next 3 seasons was and is higher on the pecking order for me. You seem to be pretty flippant about “hey, just don’t stay in for more than 2 of the next 5 years, yet it seems almost impossible for that to have occured while still having a contender. Not everyone feels that way, and that’s not to defend Dolan’s edict. There are some who feel that he should allow the team to go over, just not now and not for Mitch.

    Jokic surely deserves the money (and probably a lot more) but he will have a hard time winning a championship while he is earning it under the given cap structure. I was strictly speaking in terms of building a championship roster.

    I should clarify that I was unhappy that Dolan made keeping Mitch impossible but I was able to move on quickly because I could see potential upside in staying under the apron this year, and am not ruling out that by the playoffs we will be at least as good as we were last year, maybe even better if Leon pulls off a fortuitous move at some point, like he did last year in swapping out Yabu for GTA.

    I love Mitch but there has always been a reasonable argument that letting him go was as much about his health & limitations as anything else.

    That argument has no legs when applied to KAT.

    2

    Z-man, thanks for the analysis, with the approach that can put individual NYK salary issues in proper context.

    As an example of that, the Knicks’ reported 4/$200M offer to KAT could, with an ascending salary structure, put him at $45M (or so) for 2027-28, which would be 19% of the projected second apron for the season.

    The large gap between that figure and the 26% of 2nd apron KAT is making in 26-27 means there still could be room for significant compromise. KAT’s unhappiness with 19% doesn’t (necessarily) mean that he is demanding to continue into the future at 26% of second apron (or more).

    I do agree it will not be easy to keep everyone on board past 27-28.

    I think some of you are underestimating the importance of Mitch.

    Even if staying under the 2nd apron was the only option I still would have resigned him for the Boston contract and then shopped Bridges. For the price of Bridges we could have signed Mitch+Deuce long term and I think that is better. There were many more passable and better than passable wings and two guards available in the buyout market/bargain bin than centers.

    Plus the step down from Bridges to Deuce is much smaller than the step down from Robinson to Drummond or any other cheap journeyman center. And we could have gotten future resources moving Bridges.

    Even after moving Deuce to the starting lineup we would already have a good back up 2 in Shamet and a 2nd okay one in Clarkson and have the choice of Konchar/Brown/Agbaji as a third stringer. We probably could have had even more options if we had moved quicker and prioritized replacing him.

    Hell, both De Larrea who we traded away and Maleek Thomas who we could have had at 31 look to be good young long term guard projects that could have given us future potential at the position. There were no comporable center projects.

    The days of good rim running/rim protecting centers being available late in the 1st round and in the 2nd round seem to be behind us and I could see finding a good backup center being a problem that drags on for multiple seasons.

    I dunno man. Mitch missed 50 games three years ago, 65 games two years ago, and 22 games last year, then came probably a fraction of an inch away from missing the Finals because he punched something. He was compromised so he wasn’t all that effective in the Finals, where he put up a negative BPM.

    After a slow start Mikal Bridges put up a .643 TS% and a 2.8 BPM in the playoffs. Deuce McBride mostly stunk out the joint, to the tune of a .493 TS% and -2.7 BPM.

    I still would have been in favor of keeping Mitch, apron be damned, but the idea that we should have kept Mitch and dumped Mikal, while giving Mikal’s gig to Deuce seems pretty bonkers to me.

    1

    Strat, if the Knicks eventually go above the second apron because a better basketball situation than “keep the team that just put up ‘96 Bulls numbers in the playoffs together” arises, you can claim vindication.

    All I can say is:

    1. I’m not a mind reader. I can’t know what Dolan’s full thinking is, but I think it’s more than just money. If it’s not more than just money, it should be.

    What I do find strange is that we had months long debates about rolling over picks where we lost 5 cents on the dollar, but people are willing to potentially ACTUALLY INCINERATE a future pick that is likely to have significant value if we go over the 2nd apron and stay there to keep this team together. At that point in the future the Knicks will probably be rebuilding and that pick could be huge.

    2. My feelings about going over it for Mitch vs. KAT are different.

    I was on the fence for Mitch and explained why.

    I think we need to keep KAT, but I wouldn’t give him any extension now that put us over this year (granted I don’t even now the details). I’d rather wait it out. We know he wants to stay.

    3) Frozen 2034 pick–if we trade this for a player that improves our championship odds more than Mitchell Robinson, you’ll know where to find me!

    I don’t necessarily care about a future pick being frozen (unless of course they have a trade in mind I don’t know about).

    What I care about is WHEN we go over the 2nd apron.

    The sooner you go over, the sooner the clock starts ticking and that pick is no longer just frozen, it’s potentially incinerated.

    We have about 2 years of Deuce being better than Mikal versus 16 games of Mikal being phenomenal while Deuce was recovering from injury.

    Maybe Mikal is just mailing it in most of the time, but replacing Mikal with Deuce isn’t a crazy proposition. It depends on what weight you give those 16 games.

    1

    Guys, for the dozenth time…. we can’t trade our 2033 pick and our 2034 pick. One of those picks is already frozen by the Stepien rule. That penalty is completely meaningless to us.

    Strat still insisting we got 95 cents on the dollar for Jalen Johnson 5 years later is adorable.

    The funny part about the incineration is the only people who bring it up any more are the two people who got it completely wrong.

    1

    EPM
    Deuce +1.0
    Mikal +0.9

    4yr RAPM
    Deuce 2.6
    Mikal 0.9

    5yr RAPM
    Deuce 2.7
    Mikal 2.9

    Time Decay RAPM
    Deuce +3.4
    Mikal +2.2

    DARKO
    Deuce +1.2
    Mikal +0.5

    Maybe in the playoffs Mikal’s length has added value but any claim that Deuce is nowhere near Mikal is heavily anchored on the last 16 games.

    1

    Maybe Mikal is just mailing it in most of the time, but replacing Mikal with Deuce isn’t a crazy proposition.

    I believe there are things that don’t show up in the stats about Mikal vs. Deuce that make Mikal far more valuable to this starting 5 than Deuce would be.

    Length is a big part of it. Look, Deuce is a hell of a defender. But Mikal’s length gives him versatility to guard up or down his position. You probably don’t want him guarding a center but he can guard a 1, 2, 3, and sometimes a 4. Deuce can really only guard a 1 or a 2. I mean, he can guard a 3 and probably won’t get destroyed if it’s just a play or two but you wouldn’t want him doing it. I believe wing stop is a thing and the length and versatility of both OG and Mikal allows us to do a lot on defense. It allows us to hide Brunson and, to a lesser degree, KAT. It allows Hart to play out of position.

    Then there is Mikal’s middie game, which got roasted in the past at times because he focused on it so much but damn it came in handy during the playoffs when we needed a bucket. Deuce can’t do that.

    those things don’t show up in stats so much but I’d only replace Mikal with someone like Diawara if he really stepped up because you lose a lot of length when you replace Mikal with Deuce.

    Didn’t a certain poster just have a full-on middle school meltdown about certain kinds of provocative posts?

    ess, I get the numbers but saying Deuce is better than Mikal sounds an awful lot like Obi is better than Julius. But hey, maybe there’s a smart GM out there that agrees and will give us a couple of unprotected firsts for him!

    one of my last stops working at the presidio of monterey was at the book supplies, and other stuff, building…it was away from campus, still a great view though..

    there was this civilian lady working there that used to show up with a bonnet on her head…the bonnet contained fake fruit and flowers…

    she had a whole bunch of makeup on too…

    nobody really said anything about it…i was only there for some months…she was a nice enough person…remember though how while sitting down at a table for team meetings, it was so hard for me to not look over and really take a good look at and examine what was going on with her makeup and hat…

    i don’t know, maybe like 10 years or so ago i finally understood what that lady was doing…what was her purpose…why the hat and way extra make up…made me laugh, at myself…

    gotta find a way to fit in…deal with sharing a space with strangers…leaving the house…

    I believe there are things that don’t show up in the stats about Mikal vs. Deuce that make Mikal far more valuable to this starting 5 than Deuce would be.

    RAPM doesnt use boxscore stats and McBride is as good or better than Mikal in that metric. So whatever Mikal is adding is offset by whatever Deuce has been adding that isnt measured by the boxscore.

    Then there is Mikal’s middie game, which got roasted in the past at times because he focused on it so much but damn it came in handy during the playoffs when we needed a bucket.

    Again, this is tantamount to saying Mikal is better because he got hot for 16 games.

    Again, this is tantamount to saying Mikal is better because he got hot for 16 games.

    I mean, those 16 games are more important than the previous 82 though. 🙂

    I mean, those 16 games are more important than the previous 82 though. 🙂

    They are but thats no guarantee he’ll get hot for the next 16 important games.

    He certainly wasn’t for the last playoff run when he put up a .518 TS% or the first 3 games of this playoff run.

    Both KAT and Dolan are all about themselves. They both have more money that they can possibly spend but they letting it define them.

    Dolan and his family legacy in this city is hot garbage. My cousin made his fat ass wait by the bar for 30 minutes last year when he went to his restaurant.

    KAT has a chance to live a legendary life in this city. If he signs this $200m extension, he would have made $485m in his career. Will anything in his life change if he earned $525m, instead?

    Focus on getting your wife pregnant, have three-four kids, build a family and enjoy life. You already won. Sign the extension or go on Zillow again and convince your wife that Houston is actually cool.

    Jokic surely deserves the money (and probably a lot more) but he will have a hard time winning a championship while he is earning it under the given cap structure. I was strictly speaking in terms of building a championship roster.

    Derver’s cap problems isn’t Jokic, it is Murray on the books for 50, 53 and 57 million the next 3 seasons with his lifetime 1.4 BPM and his last 3 seasons of abysmal playoffs with his sieve-like defense.

    Didn’t a certain poster just have a full-on middle school meltdown about certain kinds of provocative posts?

    nah I just called you an old miserable cunt, and you’ve been proving me right every day.

    Guys, for the dozenth time…. we can’t trade our 2033 pick and our 2034 pick. One of those picks is already frozen by the Stepien rule. That penalty is completely meaningless to us.

    Yes but when we get there we can draft a player and immediately trade him. Having a better pick would be very helpful then

    When you compare players with stats like RAPM you need to bear in mind that coaches put players in roles where they can succeed. Brown puts Deuce in when there is someone he can guard. This helps Deuce succeed and have good stats. It doesn’t mean that Deuce could guard the guys Mikel does or is as valuable as him.

    When you compare players with stats like RAPM you need to bear in mind that coaches put players in roles where they can succeed. Brown puts Deuce in when there is someone he can guard. This helps Deuce succeed and have good stats. It doesn’t mean that Deuce could guard the guys Mikel does or is as valuable as him.

    I’m sorry folks, but anyone who believes Deuce’s value is in the same galaxy as Bridges’ must still believe Cole Aldrich’s advanced stats argue he was the Vitilago love child of Wilt and Moses Malone.

    So much for being key contributors to winning a fucking NBA championship finally silencing KAT and Bridges haters.

    and Bridges haters.

    The better question is why are there so many Deuce haters?

    Mikal’s numbers are good to great. So are Deuce’s numbers. This isn’t a no confidence vote in Mikal, it’s saying that Deuce is really damn valuable when he’s healthy.

    He also stands to make $20-30M less than Mikal. If we’re jettisoning players instead of going over the apron, one solution is to stuck with Deuce so we can keep the rest of the team together.

    1

    Is Mikal Bridges good enough to be a starter on a championship team? Yes. That question has been emphatically answered. We have the proof of concept. I doubted him, even gave up on him. But he played his ass off for much of the playoffs, and played heavy minutes as a starter on a championship team.

    Is Deuce McBride good enough to be a starter on a championship team? I don’t know the answer to that question.

    Is Mikal good enough to be a starter on a championship team when the best player off the bench is going to be a vet minimum player? We don’t know that.

    It’s not punting on Mikal for no reason, it would be to keep some semblance of a team beyond the starters.

    The better question is why are there so many Deuce haters?

    It isn’t being a Deuce hater to think or say Bridges is a superior player. It isn’t hating on Bridges to say OG and KAT are better players and it isn’t hating on KAT and OG to think Brunson is a better player.

    1

    KAT & OG both put up 9.4 BPM. Brunson “only” a 4.6 BPM… or maybe we shouldn’t judge players solely by a 19 game sample of BPM like we’ve decided to do with Mikal and Deuce?

    mikal’s a very useful four inches taller than deuce…

    it is nice though when jalen plays with another ball handler like jose, and to a lesser extent deuce…

    It’s not a random arbitrary endpoint 19 game sample. These are the highest leverage games of the season, the most high pressure games possible. Games in which you play the same opponents repeatedly, and in which your opponents game plan for your strengths and weaknesses.

    Mikal Bridges didn’t go on some outlier shooting streak against a bunch of random tanking teams in December and January. He played kickass playoff basketball for a team that won a championship.

    2

    I love Deuce, but think that Mikal is a much more valuable player even beyond being near or at the top of the NBA in games played and minutes played every year while Deuce has missed a significant number of games.

    Deuce has consistently been pretty terrible in the playoffs. In the last 3 years, he played in 50 games and for over 1,000 minutes. His BPMs were -1.6, -1.8, and -2.7. His playoff TS% is .526 and has never been above .553. And it’s not like he makes up for it by passing, he has a 9.0 AST% while Mikal os at 12.0.

    Mikal played in 37 games for over 1300 minutes in his 2 years with the Knicks. His BPMs were 0.3 and 2.8. His TS over those 2 years is .571. He also played well in the playoffs for PHX during their two long runs. While he only had a .518 TS% in the playoffs last year, a career worst number, he was probably the MVP of the Celtics series, which was the Knicks’ best series win since the 1990’s.

    In his previous 18 playoff games Mikal had a .518 TS%. But I guess those weren’t high leverage?

    And I suppose KAT and OG are actually our best players, so if push comes to shove, we should pay them and jettison Brunson?

    1

    Mikal if frustrating because he doesn’t play to his ceiling as much as we want him to. But his ceiling is really freaking high, and he reaches it often enough, that you can roll with the down times.

    Deuce’s ceiling seems to be very good bench player, or worst starter on a really good team.

    All of this said, I don’t think it’s crazy to think that Mikal’s salary could be repurposed at some point. I just don’t think Deuce is the guy. In fact, I’d probably go with Shamet over Deuce as a starter, although I’d have to think about that some more.

    Thing about Mikal is that there’s really no use in thinking about it because he never sits. Ever. Not in the regular season, not in the playoffs. So there is no way to even collect data on how the team would do with someone else starting.

    All of this said, I don’t think it’s crazy to think that Mikal’s salary could be repurposed at some point. I just don’t think Deuce is the guy. In fact, I’d probably go with Shamet over Deuce as a starter, although I’d have to think about that some more.

    The question I’m asking isn’t really Deuce vs Mikal, it’s Deuce + Shamet + Alvarado + $10M vs Mikal.

    The question I’m asking isn’t really Deuce vs Mikal, it’s Deuce + Shamet + Alvarado + $10M vs Mikal.

    Who’s going to start?

    1

    It’s a fair question when framed that way. I say no because Mikal has proven himself to be a solid starter who can dominate a playoff game in multiple ways, including blowing up high-leverage possessions with huge plays (similar to Mitch in that regard.)

    EB is fired up and ready for the season to begin…

    pre-season is okay, regular season better…can’t wait for that post season again…

    although last year all that mattered was our playoff performance and at least making it to the finals – this season in much less a rush to get to the post season…

    hopefully the regular season goes okay (around 50 wins)…

    gonna enjoy hearing the phrase reigning champs over and over again…

    1

    KAT & OG both put up 9.4 BPM. Brunson “only” a 4.6 BPM… or maybe we shouldn’t judge players solely by a 19 game sample of BPM like we’ve decided to do with Mikal and Deuce?

    I/We don’t.

    I judge Bridges over a 21,000 minute sample and Deuce over 5,000 minutes and it ain’t even close.

    Deuce doesn’t have a starting position in the NBA. He’s not a starting point nor a starting 2 for any decent team (maybe he could beat out Christian Braun). Bridges can start at at least 2 and even 3 positions on good NBA teams.

    This is the silliest argument here in a long time.

    1

    Can a GM build or maintain a contender with the following and stay under SA?

    JB – 35%
    KAT- 30%
    OG – 25%

    don’t think jalen goes for the full 35%, also don’t think OG stays at 25%…

    if all 3 of those players take up 90% of the cap though (like 147 million or so I think), that leaves about 73 million below the 2nd apron…

    that does sound hard to spread out to the remaining roster, and have a solid roster…

    especially without contributing players on the rookie scale playing a big part…

    your 2 other starters together will make over 50 million by themselves…

    little over 20 million and whatever qualifying salary exceptions available to fill out the roster with 4 more essential roster spots and another 6 bodies or so to be of some use…

    I don’t know how replicable it’s gonna be to replace one of the starters. They played like a friggin’ death lineup in the playoffs. They played a lot of minutes together and had a +12.3 net rating. That group had a remarkable connectivity on both ends of the floor. That net rating is really impressive.

    You could replace Ringo with Keith Moon and on paper it might have been okay but honestly you’d probably end up missing Ringo pretty quickly. This is a team sport and that starting five played some hellacious team basketball.

    2

    He’s not a starting point nor a starting 2 for any decent team

    Sure is weird we were able to blow out Philly twice in the playoffs with him as our starting 2 guard then…

    1

    I don’t know how replicable it’s gonna be to replace one of the starters. They played like a friggin’ death lineup in the playoffs. They played a lot of minutes together and had a +12.3 net rating. That group had a remarkable connectivity on both ends of the floor. That net rating is really impressive.

    We were +15.4 per 100 in the playoffs, so I’m not sure that’s saying what you think it’s saying.

    a bunch of that +15 was landry absolutely torching the cavs…

    can’t remember if he also went off on the hawks…he crushed the cavs though…

    Actually, in 216 minutes of 4 starters and not the 5th, the Knicks were +25.46.

    Our team was just really fucking good.

    The starters were amazing, but then the bench came in and also beat the crap out of opponents.

    Sure is weird we were able to blow out Philly twice in the playoffs with him as our starting 2 guard then…

    For the love of God, stop it. He only started game 3 and 4, not both blow outs. The Knicks won game 1 by 39. He played off the bench. It wasn’t a competitive series. He played like shit in game 3 starting(1-6, -4 +/-, 2, assists, 3 points , zero rebounds in 21 minutes). He did start the game 4 blow out…. whoppie!

    for a while landry just could not miss…jose had some really impactful moments also…

    making it a point not to miss mitch…

    deuce didn’t always look 100% healed up and ready to go…clarkson was great offensively when everything turned to shit, he could still get or help create a bucket…

    seemed though that defensively clarkson fouled too much, same with deuce…

    hey doogie, any thoughts on what percentage of the cap “might” be doable to have your top 3 players/salaries at, and still field a championship contending roster…

    without using the rookie scale…

    or cheating steve’s no show pay jobs…

    I’m not sure what your definition of decent team is, but there’s 24 teams in the league who didn’t win 2 games in the Conference Semifinals.

    “hey doogie, any thoughts on what percentage of the cap “might” be doable to have your top 3 players/salaries at, and still field a championship contending roster…”

    Have you ever once seen me doing cap stuff on here? Nuh-uh; no sir. I don’t get into those details, and leave it to others to grapple with.

    1

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