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17 replies on “Knicks Morning News (2026.09.06)”
These are all arguable points. Here are some issues I have with them.
Re Nickel, I think the holdup might not be on the Knicks end, but on Nickel’s. He might not want to take anything less than a guaranteed regular rookie-scale contract. A two-way comes with no security and hardly any income, plus the possibility of being traded to an undesireable location at any time, whereas a rookie-scale deal is both guaranteed and has a trade protection until at least December 15 (I think, maybe EB or PT can confirm?)
Re: players competing in camp, this can happen even if two-ways or exhibit 10’s are signed. If anything, a player who they actually want to compete for a job is vulnerable to getting signed elsewhere. Those players should be locked up.
Re: being straight with players, I think this is well-intended but sort of naive. Two-way contracts by nature are totally fungible. I would guess that any player not yet signed would prefer a two-way to just dangling out there, especially since being signed means virtually nothing regarding their “actual” ability to play elsewhere if they are dropped. If the player was good enough to be signed by another team, then they should have taken the opportunity already rather than wait on the Knicks. If they are signed to a two-way by the Knicks but then waived, if they are actually good, another team will waive one of their own two-ways to sign them (and there will be teams that keep a two-way spot open even into the season. It actually seems less kind to keep players dangling and then to not offer the job at the end of the day, i.e telling them that if nothing better shows up, you’re our guy!
My take is that we basically have our two-way slots filled with McCullar, Dillon Jones, and Nickel.
However, we haven’t actually signed them because it’s possible a trade arises where we want to send out Jones and/or McCullar as part of a S&T to aggregate salary. We can’t do that if we sign them to a two-way deal today.
For Nickel, if we make a trade, we may need to sign him at the rookie minimum to stay under the apron. Although we can sign him to a two-way deal and convert his deal later, we have more years of control if we sign him using the Second Round Exception instead of using a conversion. If no trade is made, the spot is going to a 3rd C, not Nickel.
So there’s no real benefit to signing anyone as our two-way spots are spoken for but not inked.
I made a substack post here about why they have so few players signed: https://earlybirdwrites.substack.com/publish/post/209273788
Z-man, Leon just achieved what was our supreme goal, he deserves to have a looong vacation. 😉
Edit: And then EB comes saying things that make sense, and my attempt at trying to be funny lost part of the charm. LOL
Last year, pretty much everything pertinent (or that turned out to be) was formally announced on September 16 (a Tuesday): Shamet’s Ex. 9, Diawara’s Ex. 10, Evbuoumwan’s Ex. 10, McCullar’s and Jemison’s two-ways.
Shamet’s signing had been leaked by his agent a few days prior to the 16th.
As of today’s date last year, Knicks had 12 players under guaranteed contract for the upcoming season. Shamet’s and Diawara’s deals were guaranteed for opening night to fill the 13th and 14th spots. Evbuomwan’s Ex. 10 converted to a two-way, and he joined McCullar and Jemison as the Knicks’ three two-ways as of the opening of the regular season.
Never, cyber! 🙂
EB, all of that makes a lot of sense. The key thing is that we are closer to the second apron that nearly every other team, so these cap peculiarities make more sense for Leon. Here are the specific points that I had either forgotten or had been unaware of:
Nickel: I was unaware of the following: “Although the Knicks could sign Nickel to a two-way deal and convert him later, this gives them fewer years of control than signing him with the Second Round Pick Exception. The Second Round Pick Exception is lost if they signed him to a two-way deal first.” I thought they retained the ability to convert him to a “second round pick exception” even if he was signed to a two-way. Important distinction!
The Exhibit 9 deals: I was unaware that: “…a team can only sign players to an Exhibit 9 clause if they already have 14 players signed to full NBA deals (it does not count two-way deals in this total).” This makes a big difference and also makes sense.
Two-Ways: The explanation of how McCullar or Jones could be used as salary filler in a aggregation makes sense, and I had forgotten how Leon/Aller cleverly did this a couple of years ago. I had wondered why McCullar and Jones would go along with waiting rather than seeking other opportunities, but it makes sense because if they are sign-and-trade eligible, there might be a lot more guaranteed money in it for them than on a two-way, even if they get waived, correct?
Anyway, I greatly appreciate the in-depth analysis, EB, and your substack post is really well-written. Thanks!
Hey JK, since it’s still slow today (but at least no poetry), off-topic — I don’t really follow the Mets anymore because it’s baseball, and also it’s the Mets 2026, but I’m curious how the Pete Alonso trade is considered in the pantheons of bad trades for the team. I’ve not paid attention but haven’t seen anything written about it, yet it seems like a 33/94/.265 line (even if those are nonsensical stats these days, see how old I am) would be useful for the team. Perspective?
Alonso wasn’t traded , he signed with the O’s when the Mets balked at 31M/yr for 5 years.
His production this year has been up to snuff: 33 HR 94RBI played every game and WAR 3.8 perfectly in line with his entire career
Are you thinking of the other Pete, Pete Crow Armstrong? Who the Mets traded for half a season of Javier Baez?
So the two-way deal can be converted at the minimum for the same number of years as the two-way deal was for, but two-way deals can only go up to 2 years. Or the team and player can negotiate the NBA deal, but still need to use some exception. For us thats the Minimum or TP-MLE. Both of them are only 2 years.
In either case, because the two-way deal was signed when Nickel was a draft pick and not a FA, the salary number would be his actual salary and not the vet minimum.
The Second Round Pick Exception is 3 or 4 years with a team option in the final year. So you’re getting extra years of control on Nickel. Of course, if you think Nickel might suck, then you might not want the extra years.
Mets declined to sign Polar Bear Alonso most likely because they did not wish to give him the 5 year contract that he got from the Orioles fearing it would not age well. Alonso has had a solid season, but it is highly unlikely that he would have made enough of an impact of this year’s Mets to have pushed them towards a wild card spot. It remains to be seen how Alonso agesStearns’s other off season moves, particularly Polanco and Simien have been disasterous. Stearns seems to maintain the small market mentality he had in Milwaukee even with the deep pocketed Uncle Steve. US justifiably criticized Stearns off season for making too many changes ( including firing Mendoza’s entire coaching staff) creating the potential for too much variance most of which went into the negative area.
“Last year, pretty much everything pertinent (or that turned out to be) was formally announced on September 16 (a Tuesday): Shamet’s Ex. 9, Diawara’s Ex. 10, Evbuoumwan’s Ex. 10, McCullar’s and Jemison’s two-ways.”
Thanks for the reminder, timo. I guess I was less anxious because there was less urgency last year, considering that there wasn’t as urgent of a need to find a particular quasi-rotation player, as there is this year with the third C issue. Although I do remember being anxious about Diawara because I really wanted to see him make the roster. Ironically, he played well enough to make us worry about losing him to a higher bidder because he became a UFA, but thankfully it worked out!
Given the Dolan “No Second Apron” decree, Leon has really done an excellent job of retaining Diawara, Alvarado, and Shamet on what I believe are below-market deals. I am bummed that Huk was not retained, but let’s hope that the combination of 1) the aura of what might be the most hyped NBA championship of all time (seriously, America’s Team?!?!?), 2) the trust that Leon has garnered in the organizational desirability sense for good players that have choices, 3) the freeing up of the valuable 2033 first rounder, and 4) Deuce becoming sort of expendable will result in an upgrade over Drummond, or at least a guy with some upside as our 3rd C, before the playoffs begin.
22 days and a wake up until camp begins…
the waiting is the hardest part…
Yeah pretty sure Leon knows what he’s doing at this point. I also think the Konchar/Eubanks “leak” was ultimately a favor for their agents, although they might get exhibit-10s if it comes to that. But he’s probably grinding for the perfect trade rn.
Stearns’ fear of long contracts has now bitten the Mets in the ass several times, and has ruined this season.
The Alonso deal probably would have gone sour in its last few years, and Stearns was looking to avoid those years of dead salary. So in order to replace Alonso, he went fishing in the bargain bin, signed a replacement who does not even play first base, and who has had an extensive injury history. So basically he just fast forwarded to the “dead salary” part and created a monstrous hole both at 1B and in the middle of the lineup.
He did the same with Nimmo and Semien. Nimmo is declining, probably will end up at about 2.5 WAR this year. Semien is totally washed, is a negative WAR player. So the Mets this year are spending $43M for -1.5 WAR of Polanco and Semien, instead of $41M for 5.9 WAR of Alonso and Nimmo.
Then of course Polanco and Semien are back for another round of salary eating next year, and next year Polanco gets a raise, so that’s $49M worth of black hole. Also the Mets have no internal candidates who project as major league caliber first basemen or power hitters, so they’ll probably have to spend even more money trying to find somebody who can fill that 1B hole. The hole at 2B, at least they have some internal candidates who are close to the majors who can fill that.
Sure, they’re getting out of the Nimmo contract earlier they won’t have to deal with the back end of Alonso’s deal, but was all that really worth it? You just burned a year of Soto and Lindor’s prime with this dumb shit, and these aren’t the only two examples where Stearns went for the lesser player on the shorter deal only to get nothing out of the player.
Thanks, guys, nice explanations. Especially pleased with ” he just fast forwarded to the “dead salary” part.”
Oh well, basketball is starting soon…
If Towns and Leon have not agreed on a number by training camp, would you trade him to Houston for Sengun + Adams?
Basically one center for two and they still have Clint Capella. They pair KAT with KD, FVV, Thompson and Jabari Smith. NY shaves $8.5m in salary while solidifying center spot long term.
well a very good morning to you director…
rise and shine, and everything will be fine…can’t remember the last sunrise i’ve seen…
adding on to the to do list: watch a sunrise, watch a sunset…
despite being fully ready to kick him to the curb after three games in to the playoffs last season – i’d keep him around this season, even without a new deal…
number 1 for continuity, plus he’s way better than sengun or adams or sengun plus adams…
definitely a risk if no deal happens before/during this season, but, all in on this upcoming season…
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