Comments on: How Many Wins Will The Knicks Have in the 2018-19 NBA Season?

By: Mike Kurylo

Mike Kurylo — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 15:30:24 +0000

I’m going on record for 29 wins. Somehow we’ll win enough meaningless games to keep us from getting a top pick. At #9 we’re already tabbed for Kris Wilkes (who “Mostly plays to score“).

By: Z-man

Z-man — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 10:55:22 +0000

I’m actually considering lowering my estimate down to 22 before tip-off. It’s hard to imagine winning one out of every 3 games. 1 out of 4 seems more realistic.

So much depends on total unknowns. How much will KP play, and will he be effective when he does? How far do the young players (especially Knox, Mitch and Trier) develop? How much does Burke regress (or improve?)

But after sleeping on it, 26 is definitely feeling too high.

By: alsep73

alsep73 — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 09:18:23 +0000

I picked 28, which felt both like more than they should win if we’re tanking, and also the average of a roster without Porzingis and one with him.

By: Max

Max — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 08:41:58 +0000

I confirm my previous 28 wins…
And, judging from the poll, this put me in the semi-optimistic bunch…

🙂

By: Knick fan not in NJ who thinks our rookies will lead us to a lousy lottery pick in 2019

Wed, 17 Oct 2018 08:39:34 +0000

Here’s an update on win predictions with the latest adds. There were 35 numerical predictions with an average win total of 26.7 wins. The lowest prediction was by Latke and was 20 games. The highest prediction was by Henry George and was 36 games. The median prediction was 26 wins and the distribution was reasonably symmetric with 19 predicting under the average win prediction and 16 predicting over the average win prediction. This board thus seems more pessimistic than Vegas (which had an over under of 29.5), but in line with external pundits who seem to be uniformly writing off the Knicks as a competitive team this year. Details are below:

GoNyGoNyGo: 25 wins
TNFH: 26 wins
Bruno: 26 wins
Nick C.: 26 wins
Kevin5318: 26 wins
Silky: 24 wins
Henry George: 36 wins
Thenamesstam: 29 wins
Jowles: 23 wins
Half Rebuilt: 19, then 21 wins
GHenman: 30 wins
Owen: 24 wins
Oakman: 25 wins
Max: 28 wins
Jack Bauer: 27 wins
d-mar: 28 wins
geo: 26 wins
vincoug: 22 wins
Frank O.: 32 wins
Bockadoo: 28 wins
ptmilo: 24 wins
Z-man: 26 wins
MKinLA: 24 wins
Ben R: 35 wins
NahNah…: 22 wins
Brian Cronin: 34 wins
KnickfannotinNJ: 30 wins
Chrisko6811 23 wins
Nicos: 28 wins
Wetbandit: 24 wins
Mike Honcho: 28 wins
Latke: 20 wins
Bidiong: 32 wins
Rama: 27
Ingmarrr: 27

By: Oaktrees

Oaktrees — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 07:50:39 +0000

Anyone else trying for London tickets?

By: Brian Cronin

Brian Cronin — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 07:17:17 +0000

In reply to rama, king of superfluous poppycock.

(Do the new rules/lottery weights still have coin tosses?)

They must, yeah.

By: Ingmarrrr

Ingmarrrr — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 06:33:04 +0000

21 wins plus 40 percent of the games KP plays. If I’m pressed to give a number, I’d say he plays in 14 games, which adds 5.6 wins. So 26.6, aka 27.

By: JK47

JK47 — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 06:00:47 +0000

What’s the most annoying number of games this team could possibly win? Because that’s how many they’re going to win.

#DolansRazor

By: rama, king of superfluous poppycock

rama, king of superfluous poppycock — Wed, 17 Oct 2018 05:50:08 +0000

Before reading the thread, I answered 26 in the poll, which turns out to be the most popular guess. After reading, I’m feeling more pessimistic, and want to say 28 – just bad enough to miss out on the top 4. So I’ll compromise and say 27, with us all waiting on a coin toss for draft position. (Do the new rules/lottery weights still have coin tosses?)