Comments on: Knicks Morning News (2026.04.20)

By: Knick fan not in NJ

Knick fan not in NJ — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 23:49:57 +0000

Knicks actually won something over the Lakers today. They were tied in record so there was a tiebreaker to determine who would draft first. The Knicks won the tiebreaker and will draft at number 24 instead of at number 25. LGK

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7213487/2026/04/20/nba-draft-lottery-tiebreakers-2026/

By: cybersoze

cybersoze — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 23:36:23 +0000

I’ve been catching some sleep, and now I’m awake to watch the game… kind of half-zombie. LOL
But it’s fitting as our team seems to start the games just like i am now and then proceeds to step it up in the 2nd half. 😉

By: cybersoze

cybersoze — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 23:33:40 +0000

oh yeah…happy weed day 😃

You’ve got to celebrate it, Geo. 😉
If i was in Amsterdam i’d go grab a slice of Space Cake, but i’m not… too bad. LOL

By: cybersoze

cybersoze — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 23:27:17 +0000

Congrats on the book, Alan. And great topic, The Twilight Zone is amazing. I hope the book is a huge success.

By: Knicks 2025

Knicks 2025 — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 23:03:59 +0000

Shocker: OG and Okongwu both in. Only Landale out.

(And Bryce Elder killing me already.)

By: Z-man

Z-man — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 22:30:12 +0000

The best analogy I can think of is card-counting.

By: Knick fan not in NJ

Knick fan not in NJ — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 22:17:42 +0000

Strat, but from the discussion you can tell no one believes the 70% odds for Orlando so Vegas won’t go broke. As you know, they set the odds based on what people believe to make sure there are bets on both sides.

By: Donnie Walsh

Donnie Walsh — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 21:41:31 +0000

I have to say, the people of Boston are amazing fans when it comes to getting runners across their city. No city does it like them, funny accents and all.

By: Stratomatic

Stratomatic — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 21:08:27 +0000

But that wasn’t what I originally posted, was it? My stat was based on teams that do not have home court advantage and what their chances are of winning the series once they win game 1 and steal home court advantage from the better team. Your OKC example is meaningless because THEY ARE THE HOME COURT TEAM.

It’s a matter of specific cases.

If OKC lost game 1 at home, I’d bet 100k on them to win the series at even money because they would still clearly be a solid favorite to win the series.

The only way 70% is reasonable is if the two teams are close to begin with or there was a key injury that changed game 1 and the series. Then if you lose game 1 at home, you are in a bit of trouble.

Many series are reasonably close to begin with that’s why the overall result may be 70%.

But this is the first round and Detroit was a solid favorite over Orlando. So now they are closer. We could debate the actual probability depending on how good you think the Magic really are and whether there’s a specific matchup issue, but no way is Orlando 70%.

If 70% was right, Vegas would go broke.

By: pepper

pepper — Mon, 20 Apr 2026 20:54:25 +0000

seems like what a few have suggested to refute Swifty’s, I call it, “pure data driven statisitic”…is to adjust it with “reasonable estimates” or “opponent specific attributes, like “relative strength”, where that would introduce some bias and probably not get you any better of a statistic than the 70%…to call it meaningless is not accurate…it is probably not that meaningful…but likely based on the sample size has merit…

When I first saw him post that and others respond….I reckoned that was like putting bait on the hook for Strat to enter the fray…Strat have you patented that spreadsheet?

anyway…back to celebrating 420…