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	Comments on: Knicks Morning News (2022.12.23)	</title>
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	<description>Knicks, Stats, Humor, Analysis.</description>
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		<title>
		By: Early Bird		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829301</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Early Bird]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 23:13:34 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[On the season RJ is at a point where he could easily be replaced and we&#039;d have a net gain. Over his healthy games I&#039;m satisfied enough with him at least longterm.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On the season RJ is at a point where he could easily be replaced and we&#8217;d have a net gain. Over his healthy games I&#8217;m satisfied enough with him at least longterm.</p>
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		<title>
		By: E, all merc'd out		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829300</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E, all merc'd out]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 23:12:39 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Z-Man is right about Obi and he&#039;s right about what he said about &quot;proving&quot; what he&#039;s saying about Obi.  

If all you go on is the data these guys generate, you&#039;re missing a whole lot -- both analytically and aesthetically.

Bears repeating:  The BB-ref page is downstream from and secondary to talent and skill set.  That talent and skill set can be observed (*), though it can&#039;t really be &quot;quantified&quot; and at some level can&#039;t be &quot;explained&quot; to the novitiate -- particularly the headstrong or stubborn versions thereof.

(*) It generates data that can certainly be observed, but that data is merely a conditional manifestation of the talent and skill set.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Z-Man is right about Obi and he&#8217;s right about what he said about &#8220;proving&#8221; what he&#8217;s saying about Obi.  </p>
<p>If all you go on is the data these guys generate, you&#8217;re missing a whole lot &#8212; both analytically and aesthetically.</p>
<p>Bears repeating:  The BB-ref page is downstream from and secondary to talent and skill set.  That talent and skill set can be observed (*), though it can&#8217;t really be &#8220;quantified&#8221; and at some level can&#8217;t be &#8220;explained&#8221; to the novitiate &#8212; particularly the headstrong or stubborn versions thereof.</p>
<p>(*) It generates data that can certainly be observed, but that data is merely a conditional manifestation of the talent and skill set.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Z--man		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829298</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Z--man]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 23:06:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://knickerblogger.net/?p=20216#comment-829298</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&quot;I am skeptical of the idea that even guys with *poor* efficiency aren’t detrimental if their usage is high enough.&quot;

The word &quot;detrimental&quot; is hard to quantify. Does it mean that the team would be better off if the player shot better, or the team would be better off if his minutes were replaced with any random player at his &quot;position&quot; (another nebulous term in today&#039;s nba, I prefer &quot;role&quot; such as high-usage/high-minutes starting large wing). This harkens back to the Randle vs. Obi debate last year, where I argued that the team would have lost even more games by reversing Randle&#039;s and Obi&#039;s minutes. The point being that a) Obi is simply not capable of playing as well as Randle is right now, he doesn&#039;t have the skillset, and b) Obi is not suited for a high usage/high minutes starting big wing role...because he would be likely be targeted on both ends in a way that rendered him more detrimental than even Randle if his minutes were increased, probably winding up in foul trouble continuously.

I don&#039;t know how to prove this other than for Randle to get hurt, and the guy had been pretty indestructable since we got him, so I&#039;ll just have to agree to disagree with anyone who feels differently.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I am skeptical of the idea that even guys with *poor* efficiency aren’t detrimental if their usage is high enough.&#8221;</p>
<p>The word &#8220;detrimental&#8221; is hard to quantify. Does it mean that the team would be better off if the player shot better, or the team would be better off if his minutes were replaced with any random player at his &#8220;position&#8221; (another nebulous term in today&#8217;s nba, I prefer &#8220;role&#8221; such as high-usage/high-minutes starting large wing). This harkens back to the Randle vs. Obi debate last year, where I argued that the team would have lost even more games by reversing Randle&#8217;s and Obi&#8217;s minutes. The point being that a) Obi is simply not capable of playing as well as Randle is right now, he doesn&#8217;t have the skillset, and b) Obi is not suited for a high usage/high minutes starting big wing role&#8230;because he would be likely be targeted on both ends in a way that rendered him more detrimental than even Randle if his minutes were increased, probably winding up in foul trouble continuously.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know how to prove this other than for Randle to get hurt, and the guy had been pretty indestructable since we got him, so I&#8217;ll just have to agree to disagree with anyone who feels differently.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Early Bird		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829297</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Early Bird]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 22:36:38 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Disappointed in the CLT Hornets, and the NBA generally.

@Alan,

Have you ever made a list of best Christmas episodes?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Disappointed in the CLT Hornets, and the NBA generally.</p>
<p>@Alan,</p>
<p>Have you ever made a list of best Christmas episodes?</p>
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		<title>
		By: DRed		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829296</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[DRed]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 22:15:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://knickerblogger.net/?p=20216#comment-829296</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Cam: lowest usage in his career and highest efficiency in his career

Therefore, it follows logically that the reason he&#039;s not scoring more efficiently is that he&#039;s not shooting enough.

He&#039;s still fairly young, he&#039;s still tall and fairly mobile etc, so maybe you can make a case for keeping him around as a last 2-3 guys on the bench guy while you try to develop him, but there&#039;s no real reason to play him if you&#039;re trying to win games.

Cam doesn&#039;t pass and he doesn&#039;t personally score particularly efficiently-why would you want him to have the ball more?  Guys with that profile kill offenses.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cam: lowest usage in his career and highest efficiency in his career</p>
<p>Therefore, it follows logically that the reason he&#8217;s not scoring more efficiently is that he&#8217;s not shooting enough.</p>
<p>He&#8217;s still fairly young, he&#8217;s still tall and fairly mobile etc, so maybe you can make a case for keeping him around as a last 2-3 guys on the bench guy while you try to develop him, but there&#8217;s no real reason to play him if you&#8217;re trying to win games.</p>
<p>Cam doesn&#8217;t pass and he doesn&#8217;t personally score particularly efficiently-why would you want him to have the ball more?  Guys with that profile kill offenses.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Alan		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829295</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 21:50:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://knickerblogger.net/?p=20216#comment-829295</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Barf. Hornets and Miles Bridges working towards a new deal. 

I know I&#039;m throwing stones from a glass house on this one, but I still hate it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Barf. Hornets and Miles Bridges working towards a new deal. </p>
<p>I know I&#8217;m throwing stones from a glass house on this one, but I still hate it.</p>
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		<title>
		By: E, all merc'd out		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829294</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E, all merc'd out]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 21:14:02 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[&quot;Their path to real contention now is murky. They remain a middle-of-the-road team. They’ll need a tentpole star, either via free agency or trade. Extending Quickley and Obi Toppin could shut off their future cap space.&quot;

**********************

Pretty much this, yeah.   

Welcome to &quot;Team Pessimism,&quot; Zach -- new members buy first round!!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Their path to real contention now is murky. They remain a middle-of-the-road team. They’ll need a tentpole star, either via free agency or trade. Extending Quickley and Obi Toppin could shut off their future cap space.&#8221;</p>
<p>**********************</p>
<p>Pretty much this, yeah.   </p>
<p>Welcome to &#8220;Team Pessimism,&#8221; Zach &#8212; new members buy first round!!</p>
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		<title>
		By: pepper		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829293</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[pepper]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 20:25:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://knickerblogger.net/?p=20216#comment-829293</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[If the argument is Cam can&#039;t realize his potentail because he is not/never deployed properly...but to date...the guys who have coached him at the professional level...have deemed  him not even really worthy of &quot;being deployed at all&quot;...make it moot about suboptimal deployment masking his real ability...other than you need to argue that the dude before Nate, Nate and Thibs all have grossly misjudged his capabilities/proficiency?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the argument is Cam can&#8217;t realize his potentail because he is not/never deployed properly&#8230;but to date&#8230;the guys who have coached him at the professional level&#8230;have deemed  him not even really worthy of &#8220;being deployed at all&#8221;&#8230;make it moot about suboptimal deployment masking his real ability&#8230;other than you need to argue that the dude before Nate, Nate and Thibs all have grossly misjudged his capabilities/proficiency?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Owen		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829292</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Owen]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 20:18:20 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Grimes has had the highest degree of difficulty defensive assignments in the entire NBA this year according to a stat someone posted after his last game. And he has been killing it on defense. 

We have four pretty good players in the starting lineup right now and RJ’s past couple of weeks have been excellent. Everyone important is under 28. 

I am not unhappy]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Grimes has had the highest degree of difficulty defensive assignments in the entire NBA this year according to a stat someone posted after his last game. And he has been killing it on defense. </p>
<p>We have four pretty good players in the starting lineup right now and RJ’s past couple of weeks have been excellent. Everyone important is under 28. </p>
<p>I am not unhappy</p>
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		<title>
		By: TNFH		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2022/12/knicks-morning-news-2022-12-23/#comment-829291</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[TNFH]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2022 20:11:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://knickerblogger.net/?p=20216#comment-829291</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[4. Well, hello, Quentin Grimes!
The Knicks found themselves almost the instant Tom Thibodeau inserted Grimes into the starting lineup, benched Derrick Rose and Evan Fournier, and slotted Miles McBride into reserve units. Everyone in New York&#039;s nine-man rotation is an average defender at worst (at least when dialed in). Immanuel Quickley is thriving as something of a sixth starter. RJ Barrett eats as the lone starter on bench units.

The Knicks&#039; revamped starting five is plus-75 in 255 minutes -- a complete flip-flop after two years of rollicking bench groups carrying punchless starting lineups. Grimes&#039;s 3-and-D skill set meshes around three ball-dominant starters in Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle, and Barrett.

Brunson is a stabilizer who fits New York&#039;s smash-mouth style. Having a competent point guard allows you to swap out ball handling (i.e. Fournier and Rose) for defense and spot-up shooting.

Grimes has hit 38.6% on 3s, but he&#039;s more than a stand-still shooter. He can pump-and-go when defenders run him off the arc, and make the next play. He&#039;s cutting and screening away from the ball, relocating for open 3s with defenses in scramble mode -- injecting some needed unpredictability into New York&#039;s thudding offense:

Grimes is as advertised on defense. In the past week alone, New York has used him on Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, and Tyrese Haliburton. The Knicks are not afraid to switch him onto bigger players. (Randle seems to enjoy switching lately.)

Grimes is smart and stout, with impeccable balance.

He diagnoses that set early. Grimes trails Haliburton around one screen, and then flies out to Buddy Hield on an impromptu switch -- staying down and attached on multiple fakes before inhaling Hield&#039;s triple. (The Knicks on offense use Grimes as the back-screener -- Hield&#039;s role -- in this same action.)

Time will tell whether New York&#039;s (divided) brain trust was right to hold off on trading Grimes (and everything else) for Donovan Mitchell. I understood it at the time; New York did not have a ready-made contender around Mitchell as the Cleveland Cavaliers did. The Knicks&#039; path after a theoretical Mitchell trade was murky.

Their path to real contention now is murky. They remain a middle-of-the-road team. They&#039;ll need a tentpole star, either via free agency or trade. Extending Quickley and Obi Toppin could shut off their future cap space.

But keep this up, and that&#039;s two solid seasons in three years. Small victories lead to bigger ones.

5. The zig-zaggy creativity of Jalen Brunson
Brunson is averaging 21 points and 6 dimes on solid shooting -- living up to his new contract. Few ball handlers combine Brunson&#039;s fire-hydrant physicality with so much creativity. He has a deep bag of moves and fakes, and he strings them together in sequences -- sometimes very long ones -- that make sense to only him.

Like, what even is this:

That is 11 seconds of continuous, circular dribbling that somehow leads to a wide-open 3. Brunson stabs at defenders, fades back, hits them with hesitations and half-spins (he might be the reigning king of the Smitty fake spin) until something opens. Brunson is not super quick, but he&#039;s really hard to grasp.

Look at him zig-zag through a zone defense!

Brunson might start possessions with an improvised guard-guard screen aimed at drawing a smaller defender he can overpower. The Knicks have scored 1.17 points per possession out of Brunson isolations -- 14th among 103 ball handlers who have run at least 50 such plays, per Second Spectrum. Brunson going one-on-one more means Randle is doing it less -- and as a result, with greater efficiency.

Brunson can screen for Randle and Barrett in inverted pick-and-rolls too. Switch, and the Knicks choose between mismatches. Help and recover, and someone pops open. New York has scored an astounding 1.33 points per possession trips featuring a Brunson ball screen -- sixth among 249 players who have set at least 50, per Second Spectrum.

New York&#039;s offense isn&#039;t pretty. It&#039;s still a blunt force weapon. But Brunson gives the Knicks more ways to aim that force in more directions. It&#039;s brutality with variety, and it&#039;s working.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>4. Well, hello, Quentin Grimes!<br />
The Knicks found themselves almost the instant Tom Thibodeau inserted Grimes into the starting lineup, benched Derrick Rose and Evan Fournier, and slotted Miles McBride into reserve units. Everyone in New York&#8217;s nine-man rotation is an average defender at worst (at least when dialed in). Immanuel Quickley is thriving as something of a sixth starter. RJ Barrett eats as the lone starter on bench units.</p>
<p>The Knicks&#8217; revamped starting five is plus-75 in 255 minutes &#8212; a complete flip-flop after two years of rollicking bench groups carrying punchless starting lineups. Grimes&#8217;s 3-and-D skill set meshes around three ball-dominant starters in Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle, and Barrett.</p>
<p>Brunson is a stabilizer who fits New York&#8217;s smash-mouth style. Having a competent point guard allows you to swap out ball handling (i.e. Fournier and Rose) for defense and spot-up shooting.</p>
<p>Grimes has hit 38.6% on 3s, but he&#8217;s more than a stand-still shooter. He can pump-and-go when defenders run him off the arc, and make the next play. He&#8217;s cutting and screening away from the ball, relocating for open 3s with defenses in scramble mode &#8212; injecting some needed unpredictability into New York&#8217;s thudding offense:</p>
<p>Grimes is as advertised on defense. In the past week alone, New York has used him on Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, and Tyrese Haliburton. The Knicks are not afraid to switch him onto bigger players. (Randle seems to enjoy switching lately.)</p>
<p>Grimes is smart and stout, with impeccable balance.</p>
<p>He diagnoses that set early. Grimes trails Haliburton around one screen, and then flies out to Buddy Hield on an impromptu switch &#8212; staying down and attached on multiple fakes before inhaling Hield&#8217;s triple. (The Knicks on offense use Grimes as the back-screener &#8212; Hield&#8217;s role &#8212; in this same action.)</p>
<p>Time will tell whether New York&#8217;s (divided) brain trust was right to hold off on trading Grimes (and everything else) for Donovan Mitchell. I understood it at the time; New York did not have a ready-made contender around Mitchell as the Cleveland Cavaliers did. The Knicks&#8217; path after a theoretical Mitchell trade was murky.</p>
<p>Their path to real contention now is murky. They remain a middle-of-the-road team. They&#8217;ll need a tentpole star, either via free agency or trade. Extending Quickley and Obi Toppin could shut off their future cap space.</p>
<p>But keep this up, and that&#8217;s two solid seasons in three years. Small victories lead to bigger ones.</p>
<p>5. The zig-zaggy creativity of Jalen Brunson<br />
Brunson is averaging 21 points and 6 dimes on solid shooting &#8212; living up to his new contract. Few ball handlers combine Brunson&#8217;s fire-hydrant physicality with so much creativity. He has a deep bag of moves and fakes, and he strings them together in sequences &#8212; sometimes very long ones &#8212; that make sense to only him.</p>
<p>Like, what even is this:</p>
<p>That is 11 seconds of continuous, circular dribbling that somehow leads to a wide-open 3. Brunson stabs at defenders, fades back, hits them with hesitations and half-spins (he might be the reigning king of the Smitty fake spin) until something opens. Brunson is not super quick, but he&#8217;s really hard to grasp.</p>
<p>Look at him zig-zag through a zone defense!</p>
<p>Brunson might start possessions with an improvised guard-guard screen aimed at drawing a smaller defender he can overpower. The Knicks have scored 1.17 points per possession out of Brunson isolations &#8212; 14th among 103 ball handlers who have run at least 50 such plays, per Second Spectrum. Brunson going one-on-one more means Randle is doing it less &#8212; and as a result, with greater efficiency.</p>
<p>Brunson can screen for Randle and Barrett in inverted pick-and-rolls too. Switch, and the Knicks choose between mismatches. Help and recover, and someone pops open. New York has scored an astounding 1.33 points per possession trips featuring a Brunson ball screen &#8212; sixth among 249 players who have set at least 50, per Second Spectrum.</p>
<p>New York&#8217;s offense isn&#8217;t pretty. It&#8217;s still a blunt force weapon. But Brunson gives the Knicks more ways to aim that force in more directions. It&#8217;s brutality with variety, and it&#8217;s working.</p>
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