Comments on: Knicks Morning News (2022.10.17)

By: Knick fan not in NJ

Knick fan not in NJ — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 07:32:18 +0000

Are we going to have a season win loss prediction thread?

By: ess-dog

ess-dog — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 04:41:55 +0000

Barring major injuries, I think the Lakers and Knicks will take the last play-in spots.

By: Donnie Walsh

Donnie Walsh — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 04:34:50 +0000

“Unless God don’t got it in his plans for me to play Wednesday, I’m playing Wednesday.” -Zion Williamson on his impending return to professional basketball

Things we already know: God hates New Orleans; God is a Nets fan.

I’m going to guess Zion doesn’t play on Wednesday.

By: Director NYC

Director NYC — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 04:29:20 +0000

Re: East is tougher this year!

Other than Cleveland and Brooklyn, which EC team got better at a higher rate than NY Knicks? – Hawks? – JB >Murray – Think all other teams trail us.

By: Early Bird

Early Bird — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 04:11:29 +0000

Fwiw, 538 projects IQ as a future all-star

By: Early Bird

Early Bird — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 04:02:18 +0000

I’m wondering how much the 538 rankings are affected by injuries. If LBJ or AD are healthier the Lakers will look a lot more like what ESPN predicts.

But yeah, I’m skeptical of both them and the Bulls.

On the flipside it could then be underrating the Knicks if Randle bounces back and Rise is relatively healthy

By: Z--man

Z--man — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 03:58:20 +0000

It’s easy to say that teams are going to shut it down, but the reality is that Portland just went all-in with Dame, the Wiz just went all-in with Beal, and Sacramento has Fox and Sabonis plus a bunch of solid role players. There is a non-zero chance that we will be behind all of those teams in the standing.

Ten teams will be outside the play-in. They are very likely to include: ORL, DET, IND, CHA, UTA, HOU, SAS, and OKC. Then it gets pretty competitive for the last 2 play-in spots. In the East, I can see WAS, NYK, CHI and TOR battling it out for the 9 and 10 spots, with none of them advancing to the first round. In the West it looks like a 5-team race for spots 7-10 with DAL, LAL, NOP, POR and SAC fighting it out, but that’s just a wild guess, any of those teams could overachieve.

And as we showed last year vs, OKC and ORL, we are perfectly capable of losing to tanking teams. Houston in particular looks dangerous.

By: Knick fan not in NJ

Knick fan not in NJ — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 03:49:48 +0000

Director NYC, that’s a nice point. I think you might want to add Chicago as a possible tanking team. FiveThirtyEight predicts 35 wins while ESPN pundits predict 44 wins. In this case the numbers could right and Chicago might join the race to the bottom.

By: Owen

Owen — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 03:39:51 +0000

Pretty amazing bit about Van Gundy and Novak

https://twitter.com/michaelvpina/status/1582064699989905409?s=21&t=yQBazpx_gC6nUjUvWcYE-Q

By: Director NYC

Director NYC — Tue, 18 Oct 2022 03:27:51 +0000

RE: 37 wins

I don’t buy that the East is somehow a powerhouse conference overnight. Last year #1 seed Miami had 53 wins and they’re having some issues. Boston at #2 seed with 51 wins won’t be as good either. More importantly, the tank-a-thon is going to be worse ever this season and it won’t start in February like it does in previous years. You think Knicks winning late last year was a fluke? Think again. Knicks will win a lot more games in 2023 because the following teams are likely to shut it down. Charlotte, Washington, Indiana, Detroit, Orlando, Houston, Utah, Portland, Sacramento, San Antonio, etc. There are going to be a lot of teams with a strategic goal of below 20 wins. I counted 19 games against these tanking teams on our schedule from 12/31, that we are likely to win 15. Add ~45% win rate against non tanking teams in 2023 and baseline scenario should be 44-48 wins. However, there will be 3-4 teams with 60+ wins. The gap between winners and loosers this season may be at an all time high.