What we learned today:

Frank’s good numbers are legit
His bad numbers are an anomaly

This is a nonsensical take of what I said.

You are just a Frank hater and don’t want an unbiased “most likely case” anyway.

In general you expect some development from young players. He has been slowly improving his FT% all along. We also know that Frank has been working hard on 3 pointers. The small sample of 3 pointers from this year showed too sharp of an improvement for it to be legitimate. However, it is a small bit of evidence of possible improvement. So between age, work, and data it becomes more likely he’s a little better now than his career average of 32.8%. I threw out 35% just as a round number, but it could be anything in that area that’s slightly better than his career average (which a good sample size).

On the 2p%, we have the same sample issue. However, my assumption changed because young hard working players that were slowly improving their FT% and 2p% rarely suddenly get way worse. I’m NOT giving him any credit for being better now than his career averages even though it’s likely he’s at least a better FT shooter now than early in his career.

If I was trying to paint a better picture of him I would only use his 2p%, 3P%, and FT% from last year and this year combined. I went out of my way to downplay the possibilities by using career data.

Pity you signed an extension, Giannis. You’re stuck now.