Comments on: NY Post: Knicks snap skid in style with 44-point pounding of Pistons https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/ Knicks, Stats, Humor, Analysis. Mon, 05 Apr 2021 23:08:07 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.1 By: TopOaf https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742441 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 23:08:07 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742441 I bet similarly to Hubert and take positions where the odds just seem way off. Lead to me getting a good chunk of change out of my preseason MVPs bets on Jokic (+2300 – the theory was that he would at least not miss any games with covid since he had it already and played fine afterward, and that he would not start the season off as slowly as normally since the shorter offseason would prevent him from loading up on a ton of Serbian home cooking, holding this one all the way) and Embiid (+4000 – obviously there was injury risk there (I got out of my position at +400), but the odds of most candidates were way too low since Luka and Giannis were the betting favorites, which they definitely should have been imo).

]]> By: Deeefense https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742434 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 22:21:36 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742434

The Honorable Cock Jowles:
It feels like it’s been a few months

but strat has indeed returned to comedy

Think whatever nonsense you wish, but this is the truth.

I was using the exact same model that is used to calculate SRS for Basketball Reference as the base for my model. I had conversations with a person at Basketball Reference and he explained it and provided some help at the start. I think he even gave me a sample spreadsheet to start. I ran that model every day on my own to make sure it matched exactly what Basketball reference was publishing. It always did.

Then I had a separate spreadsheet where I added in my adjustments to the scores to reflect injuries, home/away for each team, and some extreme scheduling issues. I ran that daily. That produced a different set of SRS numbers that more accurately reflected things not included in Basketball Reference SRS.

The Home/Away adjustments were provided by someone associated with Wins Produced at the time. I think it was Arturo.

The injury values were based on on/off data I tracked when players were out injured and bookie odds lines changes for injuries I was tracking on my own.

There is NO QUESTION AT ALL that what I had was superior to what is published now. Of course, there may be other private people (including bookies) that had way better models, but what I had was without doubt better than just SRS.

I was using that model as a core for line making along with other insights from gambling research I was doing on my own to bet basketball from 2011-2012 through 2015-2016. I was already tapering off the last couple of years. I netted profits in every year. By 2015-2016 I was convinced if I had any edge left it wasn’t worth the trouble. So I stopped and put that extra energy into horse racing (which I have been playing for decades) and built the horse racing database I use now.

]]> By: Hubert https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742433 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 21:51:50 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742433 Big day for my namesake.

]]> By: Bo Nateman https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742432 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 21:03:28 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742432 Former Knick Hubert Davis gets Tarheel gig.

]]> By: Knew Your Nicks https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742431 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 20:13:27 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742431 And for God’s sake put a body on Jeff Green tonight.
Can’t stand losing by Olynyks, Pattersons and Greens…

]]> By: DudesTown https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742430 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 20:11:05 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742430 By the playoffs, we might be able to field a unit consisting of Mitch, Noel, Henson, Pelle and Randle.

NY is big, man!

]]> By: DudesTown https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742429 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 19:55:01 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742429

Raven: Absolutely possible. But if you have a lance (which is otherwise a fairly useless thing) and you don’t take it out during the jousting tournament, what’s the point of having it?

Lance Thomas notwithstanding, of course.

]]> By: Brian Cronin https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742428 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 19:54:15 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742428 In reply to Knew Your Nicks.

I think Frank is a fine defender, but I don’t think he matches well against Edwards. Edwards was just barreling over guys and brute strength isn’t one of Frank’s main strengths (pun unintended).

]]> By: The Honorable Cock Jowles https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742427 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 19:54:06 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742427 It feels like it’s been a few months

I think I had WAY more accurate ratings than standard SRS at the time

but strat has indeed returned to comedy

]]> By: Knew Your Nicks https://knickerblogger.net/2021/04/ny-post-knicks-snap-skid-in-style-with-44-point-pounding-of-pistons/#comment-742426 Mon, 05 Apr 2021 19:51:23 +0000 http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=18817#comment-742426 If Thibs wants to win tonight he better give Frankie 19-20minutes.
No more or less.

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