Look everyone, I’m not saying Mudiay is amazing and that we should re-sign him. We just shouldn’t automatically assume that he’s incapable of improving. After all he is only 22.

The thing is I hate even this improved version of Mudiay. If you guaranteed me he would sustain everything he’s doing this year over the next three years, I still wouldn’t want him.

btw how amazing a shooter would he be if he could actually jump straight up and down on his jumper without going left and kicking his leg out, and if he actually released the ball on the way up rather than the way down?

Some of his threes, I just don’t understand how they go in. They seem to defy the laws of physics.

btw how amazing a shooter would he be if he could actually jump straight up and down on his jumper without going left and kicking his leg out, and if he actually released the ball on the way up rather than the way down? I mean maybe like Steph Curry. MAX HIM OUT

@19 – I did the math for you in post #11.

The point was that he’s gotten a little better in everything. FT%, 3p%, rim FG%, etc. It doesn’t have “regress to mean” although certainly it might – it could actually be this thing called “improvement”.

Yeah but according to your own post, he’s still bad. He’s just better than Raymond Felton was at 22.

When did Raymond Felton become a good benchmark?

If THJ is traded his AAV jumps to around $20M (!)

FWIW I recently read that the trade kicker would not apply to his option year. So we’ve got that going for us.

The point was that he’s gotten a little better in everything. FT%, 3p%, rim FG%, etc. It doesn’t have “regress to mean” although certainly it might – it could actually be this thing called “improvement”.

For instance, until his age 22 season, Giannis shot about an average of 64% at the rim over the first 6500 minutes of his career. This season he’s shooting 81% at the rim. Is he going to “regress” or did he just get better at dunking over everyone?

Similarly, Kemba walker shot 31.7% over his first 1165 3 point attempts. Then at age 25 he shot 37% on 490 attempts. Surely he “regressed to the mean” the next season, right? Well actually he shot 39.9% on 602 attempts, then followed that with shooting 38.4% on 601 attempts.

Sometimes players just get better. Some players regress. The hard part is figuring out early in the process which it is, so you can get players at under-market contracts.

Literally nothing has changed except ruruland isn’t here to articulate their wrongness with words that resemble those that a D-III basketball coach would use

These numbers are what drive up his TS% and WS, even though theyr’e really not that high. His FT% is still in the 70s. ALL his other stats are as before, except for slightly lower Assist numbers.

So yeah, 630 minutes of good play in a sea of thousands of minutes of bad play doesn’t Doncic make.

He’s gonna bust, and probably soon before/after we give him a contract.