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	Comments on: Knicks Morning News (2018.08.10)	</title>
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	<description>Knicks, Stats, Humor, Analysis.</description>
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		<title>
		By: Grocer		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629083</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Grocer]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 08:09:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629083</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s kind of silly because the Knicks drafts have been done by a bunch of different front offices, it&#039;s not monolithic.  With the draft such a crap shoot and so little stability we can&#039;t really say with certainty whether any given front office was good or bad, the sample size is very small and the volatility is very high.  But nobody seems to be all that good at it tbh.  Golden State put together a great run for a few years.  Philly made most of theirs count when it mattered.  There&#039;s not much consistency.   How do you even define &#039;average&#039; for drafting ability? 

Anyway, Mills/Perry have made exactly two picks.  We probably won&#039;t know if our new dynamic duo are at good at drafting till they&#039;ve got several drafts under their belt and and we&#039;ve had a few years on top of that to evaluate.  By the time we know, they&#039;ll probably be gone.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s kind of silly because the Knicks drafts have been done by a bunch of different front offices, it&#8217;s not monolithic.  With the draft such a crap shoot and so little stability we can&#8217;t really say with certainty whether any given front office was good or bad, the sample size is very small and the volatility is very high.  But nobody seems to be all that good at it tbh.  Golden State put together a great run for a few years.  Philly made most of theirs count when it mattered.  There&#8217;s not much consistency.   How do you even define &#8216;average&#8217; for drafting ability? </p>
<p>Anyway, Mills/Perry have made exactly two picks.  We probably won&#8217;t know if our new dynamic duo are at good at drafting till they&#8217;ve got several drafts under their belt and and we&#8217;ve had a few years on top of that to evaluate.  By the time we know, they&#8217;ll probably be gone.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Donnie Walsh		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629082</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Donnie Walsh]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 05:51:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629082</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt; Ahhh, don’t forget 2015; Willie Cauley-Stein &lt;/blockquote&gt;

WCS could still end up having the better career than Porzingis, too early to tell.

And I didn’t assemble that list to prove Jowles a charlatan. Just to objectively compare the Knicks picks vs the “advanced stat bot” picks during those years. It doesn’t appear there is a sliding doors parallel story where the advanced stat bot guides the Knicks to a future via the draft. Lawson, Blair, Bullock, or Speights wouldn’t have been much different from what we got out of Gallinari, Hill, or Hardaway. But Faried was a lot better than Shumpert during that small window where the Knicks fielded a decently competitive team, so who knows what may have happened differently in 2012...

But to me, the problem the Knicks have had, it seems, isn’t that they draft poorly relative to other teams. It’s that they simply don’t draft enough, relative to other teams.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p> Ahhh, don’t forget 2015; Willie Cauley-Stein </p></blockquote>
<p>WCS could still end up having the better career than Porzingis, too early to tell.</p>
<p>And I didn’t assemble that list to prove Jowles a charlatan. Just to objectively compare the Knicks picks vs the “advanced stat bot” picks during those years. It doesn’t appear there is a sliding doors parallel story where the advanced stat bot guides the Knicks to a future via the draft. Lawson, Blair, Bullock, or Speights wouldn’t have been much different from what we got out of Gallinari, Hill, or Hardaway. But Faried was a lot better than Shumpert during that small window where the Knicks fielded a decently competitive team, so who knows what may have happened differently in 2012&#8230;</p>
<p>But to me, the problem the Knicks have had, it seems, isn’t that they draft poorly relative to other teams. It’s that they simply don’t draft enough, relative to other teams.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Z-man		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629081</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Z-man]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 05:38:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629081</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[@102 well put, rama.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@102 well put, rama.</p>
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		<title>
		By: rama, king of superfluous poppycock		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629080</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rama, king of superfluous poppycock]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 05:12:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629080</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m with Z-man on this one. The point isn&#039;t how KP stacks up against other #4 picks (especially when Jowles cheats by having VORP for their whole career, which is BS). The point is where they stack up in that particular draft. It&#039;s pretty freaking easy to point to a Manu or Jokic in almost every draft and say See, they missed! Except every other team in the league missed, too. There are ALWAYS outliers. The real question is how the player stacks up asking all available players. By and large, the Knicks picked one of the best 2 or 3 players, which given the enormous variability of the draft, is pretty good. Did they pick the best player every time? No - though in recent years, both KP and Willy are arguably so. (For the record, I wanted WCS too.)  But they didn&#039;t pick an Anthony Bennett, either. 

I mean, an argument about what they did with those players after they picked them? Sure. I&#039;m on record as hating the Willy trade. And the fact they rarely had a high pick to begin with? Definitely. I&#039;m not a&quot;winning culture&quot; believer (mostly), since players you get at 3 or 4 contribute a lot more to a winning culture than players you get at 8 or 9. I wish we had tanked hard and drafted higher. But actually drafting? The Knicks do OK.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m with Z-man on this one. The point isn&#8217;t how KP stacks up against other #4 picks (especially when Jowles cheats by having VORP for their whole career, which is BS). The point is where they stack up in that particular draft. It&#8217;s pretty freaking easy to point to a Manu or Jokic in almost every draft and say See, they missed! Except every other team in the league missed, too. There are ALWAYS outliers. The real question is how the player stacks up asking all available players. By and large, the Knicks picked one of the best 2 or 3 players, which given the enormous variability of the draft, is pretty good. Did they pick the best player every time? No &#8211; though in recent years, both KP and Willy are arguably so. (For the record, I wanted WCS too.)  But they didn&#8217;t pick an Anthony Bennett, either. </p>
<p>I mean, an argument about what they did with those players after they picked them? Sure. I&#8217;m on record as hating the Willy trade. And the fact they rarely had a high pick to begin with? Definitely. I&#8217;m not a&#8221;winning culture&#8221; believer (mostly), since players you get at 3 or 4 contribute a lot more to a winning culture than players you get at 8 or 9. I wish we had tanked hard and drafted higher. But actually drafting? The Knicks do OK.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Z-man		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629079</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Z-man]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 04:16:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629079</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[@99 so just one question...is this the average over a player&#039;s entire career? Because if not, Porzingis is 21, Ntilikina is 20 and Hardaway is 26. Maybe it&#039;s possible that these guys have their best years in front of them? And the guy who surpassed his value (and therefore is your example of a great pick) sucked his way out of the league at age 26. So yeah, great rebuttal. 

And GianaDani, I have been laying off of your commentary since it&#039;s generally so lame it doesn&#039;t even merit discussion.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@99 so just one question&#8230;is this the average over a player&#8217;s entire career? Because if not, Porzingis is 21, Ntilikina is 20 and Hardaway is 26. Maybe it&#8217;s possible that these guys have their best years in front of them? And the guy who surpassed his value (and therefore is your example of a great pick) sucked his way out of the league at age 26. So yeah, great rebuttal. </p>
<p>And GianaDani, I have been laying off of your commentary since it&#8217;s generally so lame it doesn&#8217;t even merit discussion.</p>
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		<title>
		By: GianaDani		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629078</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[GianaDani]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 04:04:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Jowles, @99, 

BRAVO. Good night, folks. Be sure to tip your waitress.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jowles, @99, </p>
<p>BRAVO. Good night, folks. Be sure to tip your waitress.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Cock Jowles, #1 Purveyor of Wanton Chuckery		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629077</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Cock Jowles, #1 Purveyor of Wanton Chuckery]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 03:46:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629077</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[You&#039;re actually doing a &quot;prove god &lt;em&gt;doesn&#039;t&lt;/em&gt; exist&quot; argument on me. Until you supply evidence for your initial claim -- that the Knicks are better than average at drafting for value -- I&#039;m not responding to shit.

Wait, I found a table of VORP by pick!

https://public.tableau.com/views/NBADraftTradeValuebyPick/Dashboard1?:embed=y&#038;:loadOrderID=0&#038;:display_count=yes&#038;:showTabs=y

These numbers are the average two-year max VORP of each draft position since 1984. I&#039;m going to use his &quot;pick trade value&quot; because it smooths the curve of draft pick value, trying to fix the imbalances of a few strong (or weak) players in a given draft position (and suggesting that an earlier pick, as we know, is always better).

#4 6.3 vs. Porzingis 1.2 VORP
#8 4.8 vs. Ntilikina -0.8 VORP 
#24 1.7 vs. Hardaway 0.9 VORP
#39 0.7 vs. Fields 1.5 VORP    (lmaooooooo)
#17  2.4 vs. Shumpert 0.9 VORP

&lt;strong&gt;Now go to bed.&lt;/strong&gt;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re actually doing a &#8220;prove god <em>doesn&#8217;t</em> exist&#8221; argument on me. Until you supply evidence for your initial claim &#8212; that the Knicks are better than average at drafting for value &#8212; I&#8217;m not responding to shit.</p>
<p>Wait, I found a table of VORP by pick!</p>
<p><a href="https://public.tableau.com/views/NBADraftTradeValuebyPick/Dashboard1" rel="nofollow ugc">https://public.tableau.com/views/NBADraftTradeValuebyPick/Dashboard1</a>?:embed=y&amp;:loadOrderID=0&amp;:display_count=yes&amp;:showTabs=y</p>
<p>These numbers are the average two-year max VORP of each draft position since 1984. I&#8217;m going to use his &#8220;pick trade value&#8221; because it smooths the curve of draft pick value, trying to fix the imbalances of a few strong (or weak) players in a given draft position (and suggesting that an earlier pick, as we know, is always better).</p>
<p>#4 6.3 vs. Porzingis 1.2 VORP<br />
#8 4.8 vs. Ntilikina -0.8 VORP<br />
#24 1.7 vs. Hardaway 0.9 VORP<br />
#39 0.7 vs. Fields 1.5 VORP    (lmaooooooo)<br />
#17  2.4 vs. Shumpert 0.9 VORP</p>
<p><strong>Now go to bed.</strong></p>
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		<title>
		By: Z-man		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629076</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Z-man]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 03:26:33 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;&quot;Yes, THCJ, the franchise would be in a better position if you had randomly selected from the players with the best advanced stats still available on the DraftExpress big board when the Knicks were selecting.”&lt;/blockquote&gt;

But my point was qualified with &quot;relative to other teams.&quot; So the question is not whether there is a more reliable method to draft players than the Knicks used, but whether other teams are using better methods. The Spurs clearly are. Who else? Please name them. 

Nah, you won&#039;t do that. You&#039;d rather smugly cite Jokic (and his amazing defense) as an example of proficiency in draft decision-making, even though in 2013 the same team (with Masai at the helm) drafted and then immediately traded Rudy Gobert for the great Erick Green, and the guy who drafted Jokic also drafted McDermott 30 picks earlier and then drafted Mudiay at #7 the following year.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&#8220;Yes, THCJ, the franchise would be in a better position if you had randomly selected from the players with the best advanced stats still available on the DraftExpress big board when the Knicks were selecting.”</p></blockquote>
<p>But my point was qualified with &#8220;relative to other teams.&#8221; So the question is not whether there is a more reliable method to draft players than the Knicks used, but whether other teams are using better methods. The Spurs clearly are. Who else? Please name them. </p>
<p>Nah, you won&#8217;t do that. You&#8217;d rather smugly cite Jokic (and his amazing defense) as an example of proficiency in draft decision-making, even though in 2013 the same team (with Masai at the helm) drafted and then immediately traded Rudy Gobert for the great Erick Green, and the guy who drafted Jokic also drafted McDermott 30 picks earlier and then drafted Mudiay at #7 the following year.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Z-man		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629075</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Z-man]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 02:56:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629075</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[@90 I again refer you to Ben R in @85. If that doesn&#039;t explain it simply enough for you, I give up.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@90 I again refer you to Ben R in @85. If that doesn&#8217;t explain it simply enough for you, I give up.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Z-man		</title>
		<link>https://knickerblogger.net/2018/08/knicks-morning-news-2018-08-10/#comment-629074</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Z-man]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2018 02:54:08 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;Z-man, #1 Endowment Effect Sufferer: ignoring the stats to suit his narrative since 2010.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Even this thread demonstrates how asinine your comment is. see: @75

Again, please humor me with a critique of @59, O Mr. &quot;Porzingis is hot garbage, I would have picked WCS with our only top-5 pick since Ewing.&quot;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Z-man, #1 Endowment Effect Sufferer: ignoring the stats to suit his narrative since 2010.</p></blockquote>
<p>Even this thread demonstrates how asinine your comment is. see: @75</p>
<p>Again, please humor me with a critique of @59, O Mr. &#8220;Porzingis is hot garbage, I would have picked WCS with our only top-5 pick since Ewing.&#8221;</p>
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