Ed Weiland, who in my opinion is one of the better stat-savvy draft prognosticator, says the Knicks have a pick with potential, albeit much of it unrealized.
College career has been disappointing, but Shumpert is the sort of player who might emerge from this draft as a bargain. His 10.6 RSB40 and 3.3 S40 suggest a player with great defensive potential. On the flip side he has never shown any ability to score efficiently and has flashed only mediocre distribution skills. So right now he’s at best a defensive specialist who can’t shoot.
The reason I like Shumpert is he has flashed NBA athleticism on the defensive end. That tells me he has the necessary athleticism to play in the league. This is a skill that players either have or they don’t and Shumpert has it, which puts him up on the rest of these guys. The hard part for him will be developing some offensive and/or point guard skills. A longshot to be sure, but offensive skills are much easier to develop than defensive skills.
For the draft, Draft Express’ stats are indispensable. They show Shumpert as a strong rebounder & pocket picker. However he has terrible scoring efficiency, and his passing to turnover ratio is worrying. An article on the combine confirms what Ed said above:
Iman Shumpert stole the show at the combine, looking like clearly the most physically gifted player in this entire draft class. To start things off, his 36.5′ standing vertical leap was the highest since Nick Young posted the top mark in our entire historical database (39.5′) back in 2007.
Iman Shumpert’s 42′ max vertical leap ranks just as high in our historical database as his no-step vertical—tied for the best result in the last seven years. He’s an inch behind Vince Carter’s mark from 1998 and just an inch and a half behind Nate Robinson’s 2004 leap. That’s not too shabby for a 6’6-225 pound point guard—and one reason why NBA teams are beginning (or rather continuing) to think long and hard about just how high his long-term ceiling might be.
NBADraft.Net wasn’t too keen on his potential, although they confirmed his ability to defend at a high level.
Overall: Shumpert has rare physical tools for a guard on any level of basketball … His defense should get him on an NBA roster and possibly into a rotation, but his poor basketball IQ will certainly hurt his effectiveness … Should be an early-mid second round pick this year …
Fellow TrueHoop Network blogger Patrick Hayes mused that Shumpert was “a likely second round pick, but if he enters the league using defense as his ticket and willing to play that role, he can be a very useful player on a team’s bench and be a potentially valuable second round pick.”
Finally, there is the obligatory YouTube clip…