…according to Part Two of the Hollinger Draft Rater, posted this morning. Here are the links to Part 1, and another draft analysis that’s based on Berri’s win scores.
Erich Doerr and John Hollinger have each published new analyses, looking at the 2008 draft from a purely statistical standpoint. Doerr’s piece at DraftExpress nicely summarizes some of his previous work, for a new audience. He’s extremely cautious. The article is not, strictly speaking, a ranking system. Doerr uses his ratings to give essentially a thumbs up/thumbs down (or at least a caution) for each of the high-profile players. Of note: Don’t get too excited about any of the guards… don’t sleep on Mareese Speights. Hollinger, unlike Doerr, thinks he has it nailed. He’s also totally revamped his method since last year. …continue reading
With 16 days left before the draft, teams are busily working out prospects, haggling with agents and breaking down game tape. Could there be an easier way? Last week we were talking about computer rating systems that purport to identify the best draft prospects, without the messy work of actually watching games, administering brain profile tests and trekking through rundown former Soviet airports. The two systems that have garnered the most attention were designed by Erich Doerr, a David Berri disciple, and ESPN’s John Hollinger. A good summation and explanation of the systems was posted here last year: http://www.knickerblogger.net/index.php/2007/06/26/draft-analysis-by-the-numbers/ The …continue reading
It is now official, Shaquille O’Neal has been dumped traded to the Phoenix Suns in exchange for Shawn Marion and Marcus Banks. I think we all, more or less, agree that this is a horrible trade for the Suns, trading the better, younger player on a team with the best record in the Western Conference for an older, worse player who, as a kicker, is not just injury prone, but currently injured. What I wonder, though, is this such a bad trade that it is even worse than any Isiah trade?
Isiah Thomas should be fired. Now…