Statistical Analysis. Humor. Knicks.

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Philadunkia Interview

Following the Fo’ with the Foes interview Philadunkia did with Mike Kurylo, I thought it might be a good idea to do a similar interview with a Philadunkia Blogger. Below is the transcript of my talk with Carey Smith of Philadunkia. Especially noteworthy: he says Philadunkia fans notice similarities between their team and ours regarding one of the main problems Knicks fans have been complaining about recently…

Knickerblogger: Knicks fans were quick to point to Elton Brand’s explosion for a season-high point total on Thursday as yet another example of our poor interior defense. Are we not giving Brand enough credit, or was his outburst a big surprise to you as well?

Philadunkia: 33 points is a huge point total for Elton Brand, but Brand is having a great year in my opinion. The most likely reason seems to be that he’s finally healthy. He’s had 17 double-doubles and has been averaging around a 15/9, 15/10, on the seasons. Collins is calling his number a lot more this year, so that helps too. Overall I just think that he’s getting a lot more touches and is finally healthy. Again, 33 points is a big point total, but he’s having a great year.

Knickerblogger: Before last game, some were worried that Jrue Holiday’s quickness would be a big problem for the Knicks guards. However, he ended up being a non-factor, going 2-8 from the floor and posting the lowest plus-minus on the 76er’s at -12. Should we expect a bounce-back game from him on Sunday?

Philadunkia: I was shocked by his performance. Before the game, I thought he should have no problem with Ray Felton guarding him. He’s a strong, fast guy who is quick with the ball, so for him to play that poorly coming off his first career trible-double… I was shocked. I liked that Collins didn’t put him back out there in the fourth quarter just because the lineup that was in was playing well, with Williams  and Iguodala… Evan Turner was playing really well too. I definitely expect a bounce-back game from him on Sunday. One thing that is troubling- Jrue is generally an excellent defender, but we’re in a stretch of about 5 games where the person he’s guarding has had a really, really good game, and I don’t know why that is. Hopefully Jrue can figure out whatever’s been hurting him on D recently.

Philadunkia Insider Point #1: Doug Collins has been a savior for this organization. Brand, Iguodala, and Williams have all played pretty well, but Collins is the main force behind them playing well. Collins brought them back from 3-13- when the season really could have been lost- and has them all on the same page now. He’s the number one reason why now it’s turned around. As it stands right now, we’re probably gonna make the playoffs, and he deserves all the credit. Eddie Jordan was a debacle. How he didn’t get fired last January was a mystery to me. But basically, while you can look over all the areas we’ve improved our numbers and statistics throughout this period of better play, I’d attribute it all to Collins.

Philadunkia Insider Point #2: Some people have been impressed by Lou Williams’ point totals, but at Philadunkia we don’t like Lou Williams. His efficiency is awful, he takes bad shot all the time, and he doesn’t distribute the ball well. He may be a great instant offense, 6th-man-type-guy, but no way should he be seeing 30 minutes a night.

(Lou Williams last shot during the fourth quarter of the previous game then came up. What Carey had to say may be familiar to some Knicks fans…)

Philadunkia: Oh, our execution at the end of the game is horrible. Williams’ shot at the end of the game is completely typical of how the offense runs late. Guys hoist up off-balance, fadeaway jumpers, instead of driving to the rim and either getting a foul call or laying it in. Really frustrating.

80 comments on “Philadunkia Interview

  1. d-mar

    Here comes the inevitable evaporation of the double digit lead. The Sixers don’t look rattled at all, like they know they’ll make it close at some point.

  2. John Kenney Post author

    Sorry for the few typos, finished the interview right before tipoff.

    Watching that lead evaporate was incredible. How..what..why…argh

  3. Jimmy C

    I feel bad for Chandler. He always has that sad puppy dog look, even when things are going well, but I’d hate to be in his shoes.

  4. Frank O.

    This is my problem with Ray:
    He’s 4-11, with 11 points and 12 assists, which on its face is a good game.
    But he’s 1-6 from 3 pt. and he’s not a good shooter from there.
    So why is he taking so many 3s????
    It kills me.
    and his shots are momentum killers. He should not be taking those shots. There are way better 3 pt shooters on the Knicks.

  5. Z

    Boy, I’m not sure if I’ve seen a worse passing 6′ guard than TD. How does a guy that size get to this level without any passing skills whatsoever?!

  6. Frank O.

    d-mar: I think TD’s nickname should be Western Union, because he always telegraphs his passes  

    You can see why Mike D. doesn’t give Felton too much bench time.

  7. cgreene

    Very subtle good play by Gallo on that corner 3 from Fields. Knicks weren’t spaced well. Gallo and Fields were too close and Gallo takes two dribbles to the hole and draws Fields’ man and then kicks it for the quick open 3. Nice play, Gallo. High bball IQ play.

  8. d-mar

    Z: Boy, I’m not sure if I’ve seen a worse passing 6? guard than TD. How does a guy that size get to this level without any passing skills whatsoever?!  

    If he couldn’t play defense he’d be the 8th man on a D-league team.

  9. cgreene

    Interesting stat from the P&T guys on Twitter from the Sixers bcast. Fields lead the NBA in 4th Q 3 pt %

  10. jaylamerique

    Frank O.:
    You can see why Mike D. doesn’t give Felton too much bench time.  

    i cant believe some of us were actually hoping that he would be the starting pg coming into this season

  11. Spree8nyk8

    d-mar: I think TD’s nickname should be Western Union, because he always telegraphs his passes  

    Bad Joke Technical foul has been assessed to D-mar….

  12. Frank O.

    Landry has been reading some of the negative comments on this blog about his offense as a 2…:)
    Crazy night.

    Mos fouls out.
    Good effort.
    Again, you can live with this because he gives the Knicks a lot when he’s there.
    needs to get smarter, but I have no doubt he will

  13. Frank O.

    After all this, it’s weird saying this, but the Knicks are a better team with Mos on the floor. They are a better rebounding team and a better defensive team

  14. d-mar

    Amare was unconscious from the outside today, but then again, it seemed like Brand never missed either.

  15. Jimmy C

    We really do live and die by the 3, huh?

    I love The Pharaoh, but this latest injury might be a blessing in disguise for this team. Moz has clearly grown over the course of the season, and while he wasn’t a force on the offensive end, he doesn’t have to be. What’s more important, he knows he doesn’t have to be.

    If the Melo deal goes down and we have nothing else in the works to reel in a backup PG, I think we can slog it through the rest of the year and be ok. Douglas is often painful to watch, but his D and tenacity are valuable for our team psychologically. As for running the offense, I’d still like to see Gallo and / or Fields handle the ball more when Ray’s on the bench. They’re both very good decision makers, and while we wouldn’t be running SSOL as religiously, running more half court sets through our younguns is something that will be valuable to their development.

    Great W. On to Blake Superior.

  16. BigBlueAL

    Both the Clippers and Lakers come to MSG in the 2nd of back-to-backs. Lakers play in Boston Thursday night. Knicks have a real good chance of winning both.

  17. Z-man

    Very important win. Chandler is still not there yet, but played better. Moz with 8 boards and 3 blocks, hope he keeps it up.

  18. kburt8

    Nice win today.

    Off topic, but I’m wondering if you guys can share some Knicks related people to follow on twitter, players included. Also, any others who should not be missed. Thanks.

  19. Spree8nyk8

    kburt8: Nice win today.Off topic, but I’m wondering if you guys can share some Knicks related people to follow on twitter, players included.Also, any others who should not be missed.Thanks.  

    These are people that I follow but like i commented before, many of them piss me off.

    FromtheBaseline
    FisolaNYDN
    Amareisreal
    alanhahn
    johnhollinger
    JaredZwerling
    landryfields
    wilson_chandler
    gallinari8888
    RonnyTuriaf14
    CSheridanESPN
    KnickerBlogger
    chadfordinsider
    MikeVacc
    NYPost_Berman
    Ian_OConnor
    stephenasmith
    hoopshype

  20. totti

    some steps in the right direction from felton:
    only ten shots.
    Ignoring gallo, but nobody’perfect.

    good win

    PS i can’t help i feel sorry for will in case he lives.

  21. totti

    I’m watching italian football, inter-roma
    but i’m thinking to the knicks!

    melo’s excitation finally possesses me

    ah ah

  22. d-mar

    Good day to be a Knick fan, big win over Philly to keep a pretty firm grip on 6th spot, and maybe we get Melo for Chandler and Anthony. It’s a wonderful day in Knicks neigborhood…

  23. Ben R

    Great game, Mozgov looked really good. Amare dominated. Fields was perfect.

    One play I loved was in the third quarter, Mozgov was on Brand, Amare was on Hawes, a shot went up and Mozgov immediatly looked for a body to box out and actually boxed out Amare’s man which prevented an easy rebound for Hawes. It was great by Mozgov, as Amare was watching the shot Mozgov was finding a body to box out, textbook.

    I’m not in love with getting Melo but if we keep both Gallo and Fields it’s a win. I’m wondering if we could possibly keep Randolph by maybe sending Walker, Williams money and a future first to Minny instead of Randolph, probably not but I would explore ways to make it good for Minny and still keep Randolph. Either way though and it’s a win if we get Melo and keep Felton and Fields.

    Then next trade deadline we can trade Melo straight up for a disatisfied Williams or Paul.

  24. Brian Cronin

    Hehe, Ben, I was just thinking, “Hey, maybe the Knicks can sign Melo and then trade him to New Jersey for their insane haul of players and picks.”

    Wouldn’t that be hilarious?

  25. DS

    Ben R: Then next trade deadline we can trade Melo straight up for a disatisfied Williams or Paul.  

    Interesting idea! I think we’d throw in Felton too though. I am obsessed with the idea of getting CP3 and I am a believer that Fields can be a star (in addition to already being a statistical superstar).

    Nice interview, J. Kenney!

  26. jon abbey

    very nice win, Fields was huge and Mozgov definitely made a difference.

    Amare needs to stop be a whiny bitch every single time there is any kind of contact, no wonder he gets so many Ts. every time he drives, he says “and 1″ when he releases it, and he probably committed 5-10 fouls today they let go before the (possibly bad) call that resulted in his tech, which was his first actually called foul of the day.

    I do think it was a terrible idea by the NBA to not suspend the cumulative T rules for a year given this drastic change in how they assess them, though. guys have instinctual reactions they’ve learned over the course of years, giving them Ts is one thing, but there should have been a grace period for the cumulative suspensions, or maybe the number should have been raised.

  27. Z-man

    Ben R:

    I’m not in love with getting Melo but if we keep both Gallo and Fields it’s a win. I’m wondering if we could possibly keep Randolph by maybe sending Walker, Williams money and a future first to Minny instead of Randolph, probably not but I would explore ways to make it good for Minny and still keep Randolph. Either way though and it’s a win if we get Melo and keep Felton and Fields.

    Then next trade deadline we can trade Melo straight up for a disatisfied Williams or Paul.

    It will be interesting to see whether Melo adapts to NY and this team/D’Antoni’s system or whether he plays to the worst fears of many here. As to AR, why keep him when it is clear that D’Antoni has no intention of using him? He will get zero time at SF or PF and does not seem to want to play C.

    I see a role for Shawne Williams on this team in the future and would rather lose AR than him. He is still basically a rookie, has surpassed everyone’s wildest expectations by earning a spot in the rotation, has defended well, and still has upside.

    I don’t think Walker gets the deal done.

    Enjoy the game, everyone!

  28. G

    I don’t love it being reported that Dolan is pressuring Donnie to get Melo. If Denver thinks that Donnie has to do some deal by the deadline, it messes with our leverage. They have to believe that we will walk away (and we need to be able to) or else they will just ask for more. Maybe I’m just being paranoid though.

  29. Caleb

    Really, really hard to know what is going on behind the scenes in the Melo-drama. If it’s a Dolan driven move then that is bad news all-around.

    If the gossip is true, I still wouldn’t trade Chandler and Randolph (and the future 1st) for Melo but I don’t think it’s terrible. The size of the extension worries me more.

    Maybe it’s wishful thinking, but unless Dolan is sticking his nose into it, I could see the deal terms being more favorable to the Knicks. There just haven’t been ANY leaks from the Knicks since Donnie arrived (except the half-ass attempt to say we turned down a #5 pick for Chandler a couple of summers ago). Everything on Carmelo seems to come from his reps – this still smells like them trying to drum up momentum for the trade – and they’re dropping the price. So let the pressure build.

    It would be an interesting decision in 2012 if we had Carmelo and, say, Dwight Howard was interested in New York. Or Deron, or CP3. We WOULD work a sign and trade, right?

    Nice game for Moz – 8 boards, 3 blocks, and just one turnover – solid game.

  30. Caleb

    ps The one real blind spot Carey Smith seems to have is the Knick guards on D – I wonder if that’s a league-wide perception? We know their issues on offense, but there aren’t many PGs in the league with the combination of quickness, strength and intensity of Douglas and Felton. Rondo.. Holliday… Westbrook… ummm…ummmm….

    Especially with the hand-check rules, a PG can’t dominate a game on defense like a good big guy can, but it’s a real strength for the Knicks, IMO.

  31. BigBlueAL

    41 pts on 17 for 21 FG and 7 for 7 FT is pretty amazing especially since I think he only had 1 dunk.

    25 pts on 10 for 13 FG including 5 for 7 3pt is pretty damn good too. So who had the higher TS% today?? eFG%?? Just curious which performance today was technically more efficient. I assume Fields right because of the 3pt shooting??

  32. Ben R

    BigBlueAL: Just curious which performance today was technically more efficient.

    Amare = 85.1% TS%
    Fields = 96.2% TS%

    Fields was more efficient because the 7 fts is equal to about three shots so Amare had 41 points on approx. 24 shots and fields had 25 points on 13 shots. Both were amazing though.

  33. BigBlueAL

    Yeah I assumed that, also wouldnt the 3pters for Fields also help his efficiency too right?? I need to learn how to calculate this stuff lol.

  34. latke

    TS% = pts/(2*(FGA+.44*FTA))

    You can see most (all?) the formulas for the advanced stats here: http://www.basketball-reference.com/about/glossary.html

    Knicks seemed both committed both mentally and physically last night for the first time in a bit too long.

    I’m really looking forward to the ‘melo situation being over with. It was weird of walsh to come out and say re: ‘Melo, “I don’t think we have anything going, but at least we’re getting a feeling of possibilities, let’s put it that way. We have a better feeling for what’s going to happen.”

    Just a thought on Mozgov: How many guys with his size, quickness, and muscle do not have success in the league? You look at a guy like Andrew Bynum — he really doesn’t have much offensive skill. He’s just big, quick and strong. He scores by getting post position right under the basket, catching the ball at the rim, or cleaning up on the offensive glass. Bynum has better hands and is better at clogging the middle, and he’s also younger, but if Mozgov can develop a bit, I don’t see why he can’t be a poor man’s Bynum.

  35. Caleb

    latke: Bynum has better hands and is better at clogging the middle, and he’s also younger, but if Mozgov can develop a bit, I don’t see why he can’t be a poor man’s Bynum.  

    It’s amazing, isn’t it, that Bynum is only 23 years old? If he could stay healthy he would be something else. I’d settle for a very, very poor man’s version.

    With Turiaf hurt, it looks like we’ll see a lot of Moz in the next four games before the break – all against tough center competition. (Kaman, Bynum, Lopez, Horford). Good measuring stick.

  36. DS

    Caleb:
    It’s amazing, isn’t it, that Bynum is only 23 years old? If he could stay healthy he would be something else. I’d settle for a very, very poor man’s version.
    With Turiaf hurt, it looks like we’ll see a lot of Moz in the next four games before the break – all against tough center competition. (Kaman, Bynum, Lopez, Horford). Good measuring stick.  

    I am still worried about Timo’s hands. I wonder if the assistants spend 30 minutes a practice rifling passes – high and low – at Timo so he can work on catching.

    Kaman is still out, I believe but DeAndre and Blake should keep Mozzy’s hands full.

  37. Ben R

    Yeah I’m pretty sure D’Antoni will put Mozgov on Griffin which should be a pretty big challange.

  38. NateRobinson

    Bynum has knees of a 34 year old big man though. And his contract is crippling considering his Odenesque health qualities.

    Timo runs the floor better, can actually show on PnR and has more lift. STAT blocked Bynum 3 times on 1-on-1s.

    @ Caleb

    I hope we see some AR as well but Im just dreaming. MDA has grown fond of Williams (or maybe its Donnie since he drafted him) and even with his struggles he will not cut him out of the rotation.

    Or perhaps its Donnie knowing ARs susceptibility to injuries and his status as a trade asset.

    What Ive heard from AR is that he is a hard worker and has made strides in practice.

  39. Caleb

    DS:
    I am still worried about Timo’s hands. I wonder if the assistants spend 30 minutes a practice rifling passes – high and low – at Timo so he can work on catching.

    Yeah, the big red flags on Timo are the terrible scoring efficiency (49.2 TS%) and abundant turnovers (20.9 rate, 5th worst in league). The good news: starting with his comeback in Detroit, he’s shooting 15/26 with 4 turnovers in 108 minutes. That his numbers are bad as they are, goes to show how awful he was at the start of the season. If the last four games reflects his real level of play, he’ll be fine. Good, even.

    But the competition is about to get tougher. His one matchup against an opponent with similar size, Chandler took him out of the game completely (which he does to better, more experienced players than Moz).

    I also expect MDA to do what he can to keep Stoudemire away from Griffin. That will be a tough one for Moz. No way he can guard him on the perimeter, but you’d rather have BG taking jumpers than this.

    What’s the over/under on minutes before fouling out? 21?

  40. Caleb

    @69 my only sliver of hope is that Walsh seems to like him. if he somehow is still on the roster by March, I really think he’s good enough that if he ever gets just a bit of daylight, MDA just won’t be able to keep him on the bench. I foresee a situation like David Lee or Toney Douglas – the coach started off against the player, but couldn’t ignore the on-court.

    More likely AR gets shipped out before it happens.

  41. stratomatic

    I hate to bring AR up again because it’s starting to look like his days as a Knick are numbered, but there was a moment last night that I think captured what’s going on his head perfectly.

    As Mozgov was walking off the court after getting his 6th foul and the crowd was cheering for him, Randolph just shook his head and looked totally frustrated.

    It was like he was saying to himself, “I could give the team 10-11 boards, 2-3 blocks, and foul out without scoring every night too and I’m a pariah around here. WTF does a guy have to do to get on the good side of this idiotic coach? Doesn’t he know I used to score and run the court for GS?”

    I feel sorry for the kid.

    I’m torn. I think he has excellent upside and is going to be a borderline all star or better someday if he works hard and focuses on improving and learning. Part of me wants him to remain a Knick, but part of me wants him to get traded so he can play, develop, and have the career he deserves. Then he can eventually kill the Knicks a few times in the future just to demonstrate that D’Antoni is an idiot savant. lol

  42. TDM

    N8: “Bynum has knees of a 34 year old big man though. And his contract is crippling considering his Odenesque health qualities.”

    Totally agree, however, if the NYK got a do-over, I’d take him in a heartbeat over Frye.

    Anyone catch Hollinger’s playoff odds? He has the Knicks at 91% making the playoffs. A little too bullish imo. Maybe he’s banking on the Knicks getting Melo.

  43. Caleb

    Why so glum, TDM? 91 percent sounds about right… Knicks are 5+ games ahead of the 9th spot, with 33 to play – and I’d say they’re actually better than any of the teams behind them.

  44. NYK Ewing

    TDM – Hollinger’s odds (and power rankings for that matter) don’t take into account anything about potential – it’s all crunched from stats from prior games. He usually will point out if a number will change do to a likely trade, etc happening, though.

  45. Caleb

    In other words… for Knicks to miss the playoffs, they’d have to be caught by Philly, Indiana AND either Milwaukee or Charlotte. Seems very unlikely, no?

  46. NYK Ewing

    Also @72 -

    I’ve gotta say that I take the complete opposite stance on him doing that. Rautins and Mozgov, even when they put in dreadful garbage time minutes, still leap up and run to the front and congratulate the rest of the team. I’ve had no sympathy for Randolph because his attitude is terrible. I’ve thought from the beginning he could be a great player, but that doesn’t excuse him from not being a team player first.

    Of course, there’s no way for me to verify this, but my theory is that Dantoni never ‘freed’ Randolph because his attitude during practice and the games never justified it enough. But that’s just me guessing.

  47. Ben R

    One big thing about Mozgov’s turnover’s is he got almost half of them in his first six games. Also his rebounding was very bad in those first six games, and his free throw shooting started out poorly.

    First six games – 79 mins:
    13 turnovers (5.9 per 36) – 10 rebs (4.6 per 36) – fts 3-8 (37.5%)
    Last 18 games – 289 mins:
    17 turnovers (2.1 per 36) – 72 rebs (9.0 per 36) – fts 23-30 (76.7%)

    He is still turnover prone and only an average rebounder but he is alot better than his numbers and not just in this recent resurgence.

    The big improvement in this recent stretch of games is his shooting. He was actually okay in those first six (10-17) then seemed to lose his confidence and was horrible in the next 14 (12-42) before finding it again in the last four games (15-26). That is actually the big thing I am worried about. Can he keep up the solid shooting? His rebounding and turnovers have been fine over the last 18 games but is this recent stretch of good shooting an abberation or simply renewed confidence.

    As for AR I really would love to see alot more of him too. I’m worried we’re giving him away in the Carmelo trade not because we need to include him, in which case I would, but because we’re not valuing him high enough.

  48. stratomatic

    @78

    I understand what YOU are saying, I just don’t think has ever really been the case.

    He always says the right things when interviewed. I see him cheering good plays etc… He’s not Turiaf emotional, but he cheers and gets into it.

    I have NEVER EVER heard a first hand report that he was dogging in practice or not working hard. That has always been speculation because a lot of people can’t understand why the best rebounder and shot blocker on the team can’t get selective minutes on a team that can’t rebuond or defend.

    The only negative thing I have heard about him came from Hahn. He said AR is a project on offense. But we all knew that to begin with. The counter was that he was never a perimiter shooter for GS and scored OK. His outside shooting spiked when he came to NY and was played as a wing on the perimeter where D’Antoni wants players to shoot.

    One thing that people have to understand is that he is NOT a ROOKIE.

    Rautins and Mozgov are just happy to be in the NBA. Williams is happy to not be in jail, let alone in the NBA.

    AR went from being a player that dominated summer league, was one of the hottest prospects in the NBA, and was a sometimes starter and major cog at GS to not even being able to crack the rotation in NY. We’ve seen repeatedly that when players that go from being “in” to “out” they react WAY WORSE than rookies that are just trying earn any minutes at all.

    As long as he’s working hard, stays ready, and is not being disruptive in the locker room, he’s entitled to be frustrated with his position and disagree with the coach. I know I would be happier with a different coach for a whole variety of reasons despite the fact that I started out as happy as a pig in shit when we first got him.

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