NYT: Most Important Game for the Knicks
In essence, that overtime win moved New York up one playoff spot. For the Knicks, upgrading to an even higher position will be a difficult task.
Sorting out the playoff picture in the N.B.A. isn’t always a simple proposition. Orlando is currently in the sixth slot, even though they have a better record than the fourth-seed Boston. The Celtics are in a higher spot by virtue of being a division winner–meaning if New York wants to move up in the seeding, their most attainable route is to pass the Celtics and take the Atlantic Division.
To determine the probability of a team winning any given game, a formula exists that factors the win percentage of both teams and the league’s home win percentage. Using this equation, I calculated the odds for each of the last 10 games for the Knicks and Celtics. Based on those probabilities, I ran 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the 2012 season for these two teams. The results were that New York won the division 10.8 percent of the time.