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Tuesday, September 23, 2014

NYT: Late in the Season, the Knicks Have Won Bigger

Which coach is more likely to win a blowout, the one slanted entirely towards a high paced offense, or the more balanced plodder?

In my last post on Off the Dribble, I wrote that the percentage in which teams blow out their opponents may indicate they are stronger than their record would indicate. This season, the Knicks have won 28 percent of their games by 10 or more points. That rate ties them for seventh best in the N.B.A., a substantial showing despite their middle-tier ranking in terms of actual wins.

One curious fact about these blowout wins for New York is when they occurred. The Knicks made a coaching change after 42 games, swapping Mike D’Antoni for Mike Woodson who has presided over the last 22 matches. Despite the disparity in games, both coaches have the same amount (9) of blowout wins.

Read all of it or else.

7 comments on “NYT: Late in the Season, the Knicks Have Won Bigger

  1. johnlocke

    Good stuff. Would also be interesting to see not only % of games won by 10 or more, but also what the total scoring margin difference is over those games for the teams atop the leaderboard. Beating a team by 10 and beating them by 20 is different right? Would also like to see it weighted against quality of opponent. My suspicion is that the vast majority of those Bucks double digit wins were against really poor / sub.500 teams

  2. johnlocke

    Just looking at the top 4 and including quality of opponent…teams +500/ fighting for playoff spot
    Knicks have 5 wins against those teams by 10+ (Orlando twice, Indiana twice and the Bucks)
    Milwaukee has 0 such wins
    OKC also has 5 wins (Denver, Clippers, Miami, Chicago and Milwaukee)
    San Antonio has the most at 6 wins (Orlando, Dallas, Philly, Utah, Phoenix and the Lakers)
    Miami only has 3 (Orlando, Dallas and Chicago)

    This view seems to eliminate outlier Bucks and highlight better how good San Antonio has been – yet they’re still somewhat under the radar

    johnlocke:
    Good stuff. Would also be interesting to see not only % of games won by 10 or more, but also what the total scoring margin difference is over those games for the teams atop the leaderboard. Beating a team by 10 and beating them by 20 is different right?Would also like to see it weighted against quality of opponent. My suspicion is that the vast majority of those Bucks double digit wins were against really poor / sub.500 teams

  3. BigBlueAL

    Hot off the presses from Twitter:

    Knicks officially name Glen Grunwald Executive VP and General Manager. Interim title has been removed.

  4. johnlocke

    One more: Looking at quality of opponent, also elevates Indiana, they’ve beaten 4 .500+/playoff level teams by 10+ (Philly, Clippers, Bucks and Miami).
    Great news on Grunwald…he’s done a terrific job. We’ll need him to do that again next year when we lose Smith (and maybe Novak)…we’ll need some three point shooters

    johnlocke:
    Good stuff. Would also be interesting to see not only % of games won by 10 or more, but also what the total scoring margin difference is over those games for the teams atop the leaderboard. Beating a team by 10 and beating them by 20 is different right?Would also like to see it weighted against quality of opponent. My suspicion is that the vast majority of those Bucks double digit wins were against really poor / sub.500 teams

  5. nicos

    johnlocke:
    Just looking at the top 4 and including quality of opponent…teams +500/ fighting for playoff spot
    Knicks have 5 wins against those teams by 10+ (Orlando twice, Indiana twice and the Bucks)
    Milwaukee has 0 such wins
    OKC also has 5 wins (Denver, Clippers, Miami, Chicago and Milwaukee)
    San Antonio has the most at 6 wins (Orlando, Dallas, Philly, Utah, Phoenix and the Lakers)
    Miami only has 3 (Orlando, Dallas and Chicago)

    This view seems to eliminate outlier Bucks and highlight better how good San Antonio has been – yet they’re still somewhat under the radar

    Miami beat the Knicks twice by double digits this year, no?

  6. johnlocke

    That was in the pre-Woodson era, all this data, and the article is analyzing the Woodsanity period of the Knicks’ existence. Momentum apparently does not have a high correlation to wins in the playoffs…but we are really just a completely different team (in both player composition/minute alottment and playing style)

    nicos: Miami beat the Knicks twice by double digits this year, no?

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