The conventional wisdom is that Bosh doesn’t like Toronto. No idea if that’s true, but in the sense that he plays in a city/country most US born NBA players don’t seem to like, he is double taxed (I believe), and his team is a mediocre playoff team with little probability of getting much better soon* I think he’s the most likely to leave. Could always do a sign-and-trade involving Lee in which Toronto actually gets the better deal directly, but the Knicks get the better overall deal since it brings LeBron in.

Bosh has his critics (and his defense is easy to criticize), but I don’t think he has much chance of becoming Antoine Walker. Walker was a pathetically inefficient shooter: http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&p1=walkean02&y1=2003&p2=boshch01&y2=2010 Through Walker’s 7th season and up to this season for Bosh (his 7th). Bosh’s TS% is almost 100 points higher and his Win Shares are twice Toine’s.
I actually saw Toine in Vegas last year… didn’t look so hot.

*They’re capped out and DeRozan is the only guy who is really on the rise. Colangelo is a very good exec who could continue to improve them incrementally or make one brilliant move, but Bosh can probably instantly end up in a better situation this offseason. Wade also is on a mediocre team, but Miami’s at least got tons of cap space to *potentially* support him.

no one needs that in the age of the internet. provide real insight or don’t do it at all.

Yeah, actually, not that great a piece. Maybe part II will be better. Listening to Bill Simmons talking about adjusted +/- is painful. I don’t even like the stat but he clearly doesn’t understand how it’s supposed to work and has it confused with regular +/-. The leading hoops commentator in America…

While I thought the piece was good (for a casual look at the various contenders for Lebron), if you didn’t like Part 1, you definitely won’t like Part 2.

I think our chances are more then 50 / 50 being that he had a chance to sign an extension and decided to test the waters. If that was the case back then when we only had room for Him, how could our chances not have grown? When he declined to sign the extension, we had the same team , now we have room for a superstar side kick.

He keeps on saying that the chances of winning will be the main factor in where he decides to sign. Right now , Clevlend clearly has a better team, however, when Walsh presents to him in July , he needs to show him that the Knicks have a better long term future for him ( a side kick next year and another the year after)

He also needs to blow him away with extras only New York has to offer, ie: Mecca stage , Yankees , Nike, Dantoni? anything else?

That Presentation has to kick ass.

We don’t know that it is, but it surely is important enough to note as a possible factor rather than dismissing it out of hand.

Otherwise, I think Coon’s piece is strong. Clearly, Cleveland is a better fit if winning a championship in the next couple of years is Lebron’s ultimate goal. Then again, Shaq had a lot better chance of winning a title in the next few years following 1996 if he stayed in Orlando, but he chose to go to Los Angeles, where it took him three years before he won his first title – that still seemed to work out for him, ya know?