ruruland:
Well, it looks like Lebron might have the greatest single game playoff performance of all time tonight.

Remember though, Bradley is a big loss for Boston, too. And Rondo was banged up last year. He’s the biggest difference from last year.

Wade hasn’t looked like himself for big chunks of the playoffs. he had a nice burst after getting his knee drained a few weeks ago but that seems to have worn off more recently.

Rondo is amazing. there must be a parallel universe where Isiah drafted him instead of Balkman, and then LeBron signed here, and we got to watch them together every night. I wish I lived there.

Remember though, Bradley is a big loss for Boston, too. And Rondo was banged up last year. He’s the biggest difference from last year.

Kevin McElroy: One of Miami’s wins was in OT — WITHOUT Bosh.That’s the whole point.If he’s worth 4 points a game over his replacement — and consider how much his replacements suck — then Miami would be 4-1 in this series with him.Obviously that’s too neat of a formula but I do not think it’s unrealistic to say Miami might have already won this series if not for the Bosh injury.

Perhaps, but this is similar to what Dallas did to Miami last year in terms of patient offense based on their key offensive players having played together for a long time.

In both cases the Heat were far and away statistically superior.

I said Bosh was probably the second most important player on Miami’s team before the playoffs started. His +/- profile is just as impressive as the other two.

The argument I’m making is that the Heat, despite missing Bosh, have underperformed statistically in the playoffs while the Celtics have overperformed.

Surely it’s not just random.

ruruland: And one of Miami’s wins was in OT. IDK. Bosh is more important than Bradley, but it’s still diminishing returns with Bosh.

One of Miami’s wins was in OT — WITHOUT Bosh. That’s the whole point. If he’s worth 4 points a game over his replacement — and consider how much his replacements suck — then Miami would be 4-1 in this series with him. Obviously that’s too neat of a formula but I do not think it’s unrealistic to say Miami might have already won this series if not for the Bosh injury.

Kevin McElroy: Actually LeBron, Wade, and Bosh all sat out the last regular season meeting so throw that out.The game before that all three played and the Celtics won by 8 in Miami behind 61% shooting and 64% on threes.They all count but it’s hard to say that’s the true value differential between the two teams unless you think the Celtics are generally capable of shooting that way against Miami.The one before that Boston crushed Miami by 19 in Boston, holding them to very poor shooting numbers.So good on the Celtics.

The series is currently 3-2 Boston and their three wins have been by 10, 2, and 4 points.You REALLY don’t think Chris Bosh closes that statistical gap?

And one of Miami’s wins was in OT. IDK. Bosh is more important than Bradley, but it’s still diminishing returns with Bosh.

ruruland: That’s it though? Remember, the Heat lost their last 3 regular season games against Boston (I’m quite sure) with Bosh.

Actually LeBron, Wade, and Bosh all sat out the last regular season meeting so throw that out. The game before that all three played and the Celtics won by 8 in Miami behind 61% shooting and 64% on threes. They all count but it’s hard to say that’s the true value differential between the two teams unless you think the Celtics are generally capable of shooting that way against Miami. The one before that Boston crushed Miami by 19 in Boston, holding them to very poor shooting numbers. So good on the Celtics.

ruruland:

It’s definitely had a big impact, but I don’t think it statistically closes the gap between the two teams.

The series is currently 3-2 Boston and their three wins have been by 10, 2, and 4 points. You REALLY don’t think Chris Bosh closes that statistical gap?

Brian Cronin:
It’s a real puzzler. I can’t think of any reason why Miami would not be playing as well as they did during the regular season. It’s not like 1/3 of their Big Three has been missing.

That’s it though? Remember, the Heat lost their last 3 regular season games against Boston (I’m quite sure) with Bosh.

It’s definitely had a big impact, but I don’t think it statistically closes the gap between the two teams.

Marcel:
Well, Berri can be intransigent with his stats and people here seems to hate him, but his WP have a much better correlation with wins than WS.

Taking this in consideration, the best Celtics player is Rondo with .211.

That’s superstar level production.

Regarding the playoffs and SRS, it’s a seven game series. Any team with a good week can beat other with a bad one. Anyone here would bet on Boston in a best of 82 games against the Heat?

Right. SO it’s random lmao.