Statistical Analysis. Humor. Knicks.

Saturday, November 1, 2014

Knicks Morning News (2014.09.01)

  • [New York Times] Sports Briefing | Basketball: U.S. Rallies Over Turkey in World Cup Rematch (Mon, 01 Sep 2014 04:04:08 GMT)
    Kenneth Faried scored 22 points, Anthony Davis added all of his 19 in the second half, and the United States rebounded from an uncharacteristic halftime deficit to beat Turkey, 98-77.

  • 12 comments on “Knicks Morning News (2014.09.01)

    1. Z-man

      Mets and Yanks are both done. Jets and Giants look shaky. And 29 long, boring days until training camp.

      I’m feeling pretty good about the upcoming season. Beyond the most welcomed regime/coaching change, one of the main causes for optimism is the possibility that we are going to see a resurgent Amar’e Stoudemire this year. He looked really great during the last couple of months of last season. There is no health-related reason to believe that he won’t pick up where he left off. I’m thinking that a starting (or bread-and-butter) lineup of Aldrich-Amar’e-Melo-JR-Calderon has the ability to put up mountains of points. Cole is actually a very decent rebounder and rim protector, takes only good shots, and if he learns how to play the triangle, he has enough smarts to eventually be a good enough passer to not muck things up. But a healthy STAT is the x-factor.

      Lots of lineup possibilities as well. Need more defense? Insert Shump and Acy, move Melo to the 4, sit Calderon and Amare. Lineup: JR-Shump-Acy-Melo-(Smith/Dalembert/Cole) No PG necessary in the triangle.

      Need to go small and fast? Larkin/Prigs-TH2-Shump/JR-Early-Acy

      Big and slow? Calderon-JR-Melo-Smith/Bargnani-Dalembert/Cole.

    2. Z-man

      On paper, Knicks vs.Cavs is pretty interesting:

      C: Cole v. Varejao
      PF: Amar’e v. Love
      SF: Melo v. LeBron
      SG: JR v. Waiters
      PG: Calderon v. Irving

      It all seems to depend on how well STAT can hold his own vs. Love. Our bench is definitely deeper than theirs, no?

    3. sugarslim5

      Have you watched STAT? It’s his body not his skills that are the problem. Kevin Love will struggle dealing with Stat, but can he hold up for the whole season.

    4. Cole Aldrich's Second Cousin's Best Friend's Boyfriend

      Weird. Faried has a monster game. Who did it for him?

      Also, I think the USA team is about to go all sorts of 2002 on us. They have a whole lot of “upside” players who aren’t very good. Watching Klay “Untradeable” Thompson chuck 3-pointers with 18 seconds on the shot clock makes my stomach churn.

    5. sugarslim5

      Weird. Faried has a monster game. Who did it for him?

      Also, I think the USA team is about to go all sorts of 2002 on us. They have a whole lot of “upside” players who aren’t very good. Watching Klay “Untradeable” Thompson chuck 3-pointers with 18 seconds on the shot clock makes my stomach churn.

      US team is far too talented for my taste. Is Andrew Wiggins more like Dominique Wilkins?

    6. Z-man

      Very impressive game for Faried. Looks like he’s playing much better defense too. Gotta give him his props. Not really NBA-caliber opposition yet, though.

    7. Brian Cronin

      I actively like Klay Thompson as a player (good three point shooter and strong defender – there aren’t a lot of starting two guards out there who offer both of those skills – Afflalo….uhmmm…..gee…is it really just Afflalo and Thompson?), but not as a guy playing big minutes for the US National Team (even one missing as many great players as this one is).

    8. ephus

      Faried’s great game against Turkey, especially during the first half when the guards could not (or would not) find Davis demonstrates that hustle defense and early offense is the way to attack a team that wants to take the air out of the ball. Even if Faried does not have a perimeter game, he is a super-valuable piece of this team.

      Derrick Rose is not back to full speed, yet. If this is the most the Bulls can expect, they are not a true championship contender IMHO.

    9. flossy

      No PG necessary in the triangle.

      Not if you have Michael Jordan or Kobe Bryant on your team. If you’re counting on one of JR Smith, Carmelo Anthony or Iman Shumpert to actually run the team’s offense, you’re going to have a bad time.

    10. ptmilo

      They have a whole lot of “upside” players who aren’t very good. Watching Klay “Untradeable” Thompson chuck 3-pointers with 18 seconds on the shot clock makes my stomach churn.

      What’s the problem with Klay Thompson shooting 3s with 18 seconds on the shot clock? Klay Thompson is one of the few people in the universe who has proven himself to be a 41% high volume, 3-point shooter in the NBA. His expected percentage should be slightly higher at the FIBA distance. If he is a 43% FIBA shooter his average decision to fire will result in 1.29 points per opportunities. The US will with certainty score far less efficiently than 1.29 points per opportunity (defined as FGA + .44X FTA + Turnovers) in FIBA play, and thus far are running around 1.07. And while there will be a small drag from late-shot clock attempts, there will be a roughly offsetting boost from one-on-none fast breaks. The argument that a favorite should reduce volatility is also weak, since earlier shots increase possessions and early 3s blunt turnovers, which are very high volatility events. The best argument would be if Klay was taking early 3s with a much lower expected percentage than his average. There is no evidence he is doing this that I can see.

    11. flossy

      What’s the problem with Klay Thompson shooting 3s with 18 seconds on the shot clock? Klay Thompson is one of the few people in the universe who has proven himself to be a 41% high volume, 3-point shooter in the NBA. His expected percentage should be slightly higher at the FIBA distance. If he is a 43% FIBA shooter his average decision to fire will result in 1.29 points per opportunities. The US will with certainty score far less efficiently than 1.29 points per opportunity (defined as FGA + .44X FTA + Turnovers) in FIBA play, and thus far are running around 1.07. And while there will be a small drag from late-shot clock attempts, there will be a roughly offsetting boost from one-on-none fast breaks. The argument that a favorite should reduce volatility is also weak, since earlier shots increase possessions and early 3s blunt turnovers, which are very high volatility events. The best argument would be if Klay was taking early 3s with a much lower expected percentage than his average. There is no evidence he is doing this that I can see.

      Yeah yeah but how many offensive rebounds is he getting? Not many? Well then he sucks, case closed.

    Comments are closed.