KnickerBlogger 2012 Over/Under
I asked 12 KnickerBlogger writers to look into their crystal ball & tell me what the future holds for the New York Knicks. Given that clairvoyance doesn’t actually exist, we decided to instead just make educated guesses (and random coin flips) to predict the 2012 season for the Big Apple Crew.
Baron Davis TS%: 52.5
Davis has topped this mark exactly once in 12 seasons. Although as Jamie O’Grady argued, Baron Davis has never had a supporting cast this good, and hence should take less (bad) shots. But our esteemed group of writers and malcontents aren’t buying it.
Tyson Chandler Games Played: 50
Chandler has averaged 25 games missed over the last 3 seasons. Prorated for this shortened season, that means his over/under should really be 46 games. Even though I raised that number to 50, not a single participant bit. Knick fans are hoping our crystal ball is accurate on this one.
Melo AST/36: 3.6
KnickerBlogger writers are kinda split on the point-forward concept. ‘Melo averaged 3.6 assists per 36 in his 4th season, which was his highest mark. I took the under because I don’t think the Knick point guards will do an adequate (or better) job running the offense.
Iman Shumpert minutes played: 999.5
My clever way of saying a thousand minutes, which would be about 15 minutes per game in all 66 games. The majority see it occurring, but I went under. Why? I could see D’Antoni falling in love with either Baron Davis or Mike Bibby (see Carter, Anthony) which means Shumpert would be the odd man out. Also a dozen DNPs means the average minutes per game shoots up to 18.5.
Jorts Games Played: 32.5
Another near split decision for Josh Harrellson to step on the court officially in half of the Knicks games. Personally I like him for the over because:
- Hunter and Jordan were DNP-CDs in the last preseason game
- New York has no depth at the 4/5 spots
- D’Antoni can’t ski Shawne
- Harrellson can shoot threes and rebound, which gives him precisely one more skill than Novak
IT’S PRONOUNCED WITH AN UMPTY
Balkman Total Rebounds: 250
Balkman only has to play about 1000 minutes to accomplish this. Unfortunately to earn that much court time, he needs D’Antoni to call his number. Renaldo has looked great in preseason with his all around high energy game, but only Owen & Mike Z. see that translating into regular season time.
Knicks Def. Eff Rank (under means better): 12.5
How much will Tyson Chandler and Iman Shumpert help the Knick defense? Not that much say the majority, but I think if I lowered the number to 15, there would have been more than 4 Unders.
Knicks Seed in the East (under means top 3): 3.5
A tricky question, because you’d have to take into account not only New York’s improvement, but the rest of the top teams as well. If you think there is a good chance that Orlando trades Howard, which would mean the Knicks would have to beat out one of the Heat (no chance), the Bulls (not likely), or the Celtics (possible). A lot of ifs, but a few of us see it happening.
Playoff Games Won: 6.5
Six and a half playoff games means the Knicks last until game 7 of the second round. This was a close vote, with a majority taking the under. Does this mean New York basketball is back?