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	<title>Comments on: Dirk, The Daring (Cliche Slayer)</title>
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	<description>The NBA&#039;s indispensible, premier analytical blog.</description>
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		<title>By: cgreene</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331591</link>
		<dc:creator>cgreene</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 14:33:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Long time no post.  

Wouldn&#039;t Igoudala really be a great 3rd piece (if we aren&#039;t in the realistic market for D12, CP3)?  Great defender and distributor and complimentary player to Stat and Melo.  He runs the floor and pushes the ball and can act as a primary ball handler at times for SSoL.

Billups, Fields, Walker and the 17 pick for Iggy?  Does Philly bite?

Turn out a lineup of:
TD
Iggy
Melo
Stat
Turiaf

The only issues are he can&#039;t shoot the 3 (TD spreads the floor in that lineup) and we remain awfully thin upfront.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Long time no post.  </p>
<p>Wouldn&#8217;t Igoudala really be a great 3rd piece (if we aren&#8217;t in the realistic market for D12, CP3)?  Great defender and distributor and complimentary player to Stat and Melo.  He runs the floor and pushes the ball and can act as a primary ball handler at times for SSoL.</p>
<p>Billups, Fields, Walker and the 17 pick for Iggy?  Does Philly bite?</p>
<p>Turn out a lineup of:<br />
TD<br />
Iggy<br />
Melo<br />
Stat<br />
Turiaf</p>
<p>The only issues are he can&#8217;t shoot the 3 (TD spreads the floor in that lineup) and we remain awfully thin upfront.</p>
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		<title>By: The Honorable Cock Jowles</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331588</link>
		<dc:creator>The Honorable Cock Jowles</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 05:32:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331588</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[@ 112

I don&#039;t see how that list is supposed to disprove the efficacy of PAWS40 as a predictive tool. I&#039;ll respond to the second list, primarily: 

-Blair would start on several NBA teams, and has been a great player for where he was drafted. I would not have advocated for him at #17 with...

-Lawson on the table. He&#039;s performed exceptionally well, and I anticipate him taking his game to the next level with 3000+ minutes next season.

-Blake Griffin was a sure-thing. PAWS40 only echoed the consensus.

-Ahmad Nivins was exceptionally good in college. He has not played in the NBA. Is that supposed to prove that he would have been a bad NBA player? Case in point: Nick Fazekas is still in the NBDL, and Bargnani got a contract extension despite being one of the worst starters in the NBA. So Fazekas must be worse than Bargnani, right? Let&#039;s not forget that top-level NBA executives have given Jerome James a $30M contract. Charlie Villanueva got a huge one, too. And that big white dude on Orlando who used to be in Toronto.

-Lester Hudson has played 200 minutes in the NBA. That&#039;s about 5-7 games of starter&#039;s minutes. Not indicative of anything.

-Thabeet, aside from being unable to shoot the ball at any reasonable volume, averaged 9 points and 10 rebounds per 36 at a fairly good TS% his rookie year (fell off a cliff for some reason the next year). He had a strong rookie season and then was dismissed for some reason. I have no idea why. Dude averaged 4 blocks/36 as a rookie.

-Jon Brockman has a higher career WS/48 (1300 MP) than Juwan Howard. Your exclamation point does nothing to detract from his success on the court. Maybe not be carried by the ESPN hype machine, but...

-Terence Williams sucks.

-Stephen Curry would have been a good #2 pick.

Etc., etc. I don&#039;t see how any point has been made here. Jrue Holiday&#039;s not very good (low TS%, below-average WS/48). Jordan Hill sucks. I don&#039;t see much of an argument here.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ 112</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t see how that list is supposed to disprove the efficacy of PAWS40 as a predictive tool. I&#8217;ll respond to the second list, primarily: </p>
<p>-Blair would start on several NBA teams, and has been a great player for where he was drafted. I would not have advocated for him at #17 with&#8230;</p>
<p>-Lawson on the table. He&#8217;s performed exceptionally well, and I anticipate him taking his game to the next level with 3000+ minutes next season.</p>
<p>-Blake Griffin was a sure-thing. PAWS40 only echoed the consensus.</p>
<p>-Ahmad Nivins was exceptionally good in college. He has not played in the NBA. Is that supposed to prove that he would have been a bad NBA player? Case in point: Nick Fazekas is still in the NBDL, and Bargnani got a contract extension despite being one of the worst starters in the NBA. So Fazekas must be worse than Bargnani, right? Let&#8217;s not forget that top-level NBA executives have given Jerome James a $30M contract. Charlie Villanueva got a huge one, too. And that big white dude on Orlando who used to be in Toronto.</p>
<p>-Lester Hudson has played 200 minutes in the NBA. That&#8217;s about 5-7 games of starter&#8217;s minutes. Not indicative of anything.</p>
<p>-Thabeet, aside from being unable to shoot the ball at any reasonable volume, averaged 9 points and 10 rebounds per 36 at a fairly good TS% his rookie year (fell off a cliff for some reason the next year). He had a strong rookie season and then was dismissed for some reason. I have no idea why. Dude averaged 4 blocks/36 as a rookie.</p>
<p>-Jon Brockman has a higher career WS/48 (1300 MP) than Juwan Howard. Your exclamation point does nothing to detract from his success on the court. Maybe not be carried by the ESPN hype machine, but&#8230;</p>
<p>-Terence Williams sucks.</p>
<p>-Stephen Curry would have been a good #2 pick.</p>
<p>Etc., etc. I don&#8217;t see how any point has been made here. Jrue Holiday&#8217;s not very good (low TS%, below-average WS/48). Jordan Hill sucks. I don&#8217;t see much of an argument here.</p>
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		<title>By: ess-dog</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331587</link>
		<dc:creator>ess-dog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 03:49:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331587</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For those of you that love Chris Singleton, Malcolm Thomas might be a cheaper substitute:

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/t/thomama05.html

Super athlete that can guard a legit pf or sf.  He can&#039;t shoot well, but his TS was a respectable .560.  I think he&#039;s a better finisher than Singleton, but doesn&#039;t have the jumper Singleton has.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For those of you that love Chris Singleton, Malcolm Thomas might be a cheaper substitute:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/t/thomama05.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/t/thomama05.html</a></p>
<p>Super athlete that can guard a legit pf or sf.  He can&#8217;t shoot well, but his TS was a respectable .560.  I think he&#8217;s a better finisher than Singleton, but doesn&#8217;t have the jumper Singleton has.</p>
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		<title>By: Z</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331586</link>
		<dc:creator>Z</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 03:44:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331586</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote cite=&quot;comment-331555&quot;&gt;

&lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-331555&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;latke&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;: Thanks Z… I think. I’m cynical. I know.

&lt;/blockquote&gt;

You&#039;re welcome (I loved the simile)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote cite="comment-331555">
<p><strong><a href="#comment-331555" rel="nofollow">latke</a></strong>: Thanks Z… I think. I’m cynical. I know.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>You&#8217;re welcome (I loved the simile)</p>
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		<title>By: Z-man</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331585</link>
		<dc:creator>Z-man</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 03:07:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331585</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote cite=&quot;comment-331556&quot;&gt;

&lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-331556&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;The&#032;Honorable&#032;Cock&#032;Jowles&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;: DeJuan Blair was a second-round pick! Come on! Yes, he tailed off a bit, but at $700k a year, how could you lose?


You know what upside is? Something made up by scouts to sound more knowledgeable than they are. It’s the Moneyball principle, time and time again. The stats say that Faried is more likely than most to be an outstanding basketball player. The eye-test (or the measurements, what have you) says otherwise. Who do you have?


I’ve got the stats. I’d rather “gamble” on a proven rebounding machine (and the whole mid-major nonsense is ridiculous; D-1 basketball is competitive as hell; ask Davidson, George Mason, Butler, et al.) than take some guy who’s got “upside” just because he’s athletic but still hasn’t learned how to be a good basketball player yet. Faried is good at basketball, say the stats. That’s enough for me.


&lt;/blockquote&gt;

You never answered Frank @112 regarding the validity of PAWS40 over the past two drafts.  

Re: Blair, he slipped to the 2nd round because of his knees and work ethic/attitude.  As it turns out, he was a steal in the 2nd round, and would have been a solid late-first round pick, but in hindsight just OK at #17 (I would currently put at least 17 players from that draft ahead of him, including some with much lower PAWS40 scores (e.g. Harden, Taj Gibson)  or no reliable stats/scores (Beaubois).  If you drafted Blair at #17 based you the same &quot;stats&quot;, you missed out on Collison, Lawson, Teague, etc.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote cite="comment-331556">
<p><strong><a href="#comment-331556" rel="nofollow">The&#032;Honorable&#032;Cock&#032;Jowles</a></strong>: DeJuan Blair was a second-round pick! Come on! Yes, he tailed off a bit, but at $700k a year, how could you lose?</p>
<p>You know what upside is? Something made up by scouts to sound more knowledgeable than they are. It’s the Moneyball principle, time and time again. The stats say that Faried is more likely than most to be an outstanding basketball player. The eye-test (or the measurements, what have you) says otherwise. Who do you have?</p>
<p>I’ve got the stats. I’d rather “gamble” on a proven rebounding machine (and the whole mid-major nonsense is ridiculous; D-1 basketball is competitive as hell; ask Davidson, George Mason, Butler, et al.) than take some guy who’s got “upside” just because he’s athletic but still hasn’t learned how to be a good basketball player yet. Faried is good at basketball, say the stats. That’s enough for me.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>You never answered Frank @112 regarding the validity of PAWS40 over the past two drafts.  </p>
<p>Re: Blair, he slipped to the 2nd round because of his knees and work ethic/attitude.  As it turns out, he was a steal in the 2nd round, and would have been a solid late-first round pick, but in hindsight just OK at #17 (I would currently put at least 17 players from that draft ahead of him, including some with much lower PAWS40 scores (e.g. Harden, Taj Gibson)  or no reliable stats/scores (Beaubois).  If you drafted Blair at #17 based you the same &#8220;stats&#8221;, you missed out on Collison, Lawson, Teague, etc.</p>
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		<title>By: Doug</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331584</link>
		<dc:creator>Doug</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 02:59:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331584</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[@latke - Nogueira pulled out of the draft a few days ago.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@latke &#8211; Nogueira pulled out of the draft a few days ago.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: latke</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331583</link>
		<dc:creator>latke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 02:29:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331583</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[@Frank, Good point. If you expand it out to all post up threats, it&#039;s harder to make my argument.  If you think about it though, Amir Johnson might be a good comparison player for Faried. I can see him having problems with noncenters like Zach Randolph and Pau Gasol, but I think against Amir Johnson, Lebron, even up to guys like KG who aren&#039;t that weighty, he could be a good solution.

As far as the trade you suggested, that sounds cool. Flynn for just Walker would be nice as well. These mocks are so random. The two guys I hoped for in the late 1st early 2nd -- Noguiera and Reggie Jackson -- had jumped into the teens on DX and are now not even projected to go in the 1st round.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Frank, Good point. If you expand it out to all post up threats, it&#8217;s harder to make my argument.  If you think about it though, Amir Johnson might be a good comparison player for Faried. I can see him having problems with noncenters like Zach Randolph and Pau Gasol, but I think against Amir Johnson, Lebron, even up to guys like KG who aren&#8217;t that weighty, he could be a good solution.</p>
<p>As far as the trade you suggested, that sounds cool. Flynn for just Walker would be nice as well. These mocks are so random. The two guys I hoped for in the late 1st early 2nd &#8212; Noguiera and Reggie Jackson &#8212; had jumped into the teens on DX and are now not even projected to go in the 1st round.</p>
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		<title>By: Frank</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331582</link>
		<dc:creator>Frank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 01:39:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331582</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Would anyone here trade TD, Walker, Balkman , and cash for Flynn and the 20th pick?  That would work under the current cap rules. Walker is a FA after this year anyway, and even though he has some upside I don&#039;t imagine we would be bringing him back. 

That way we could draft a 2 and a big. Then buy a 2nd rounder or two and draft a couple more flyers.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Would anyone here trade TD, Walker, Balkman , and cash for Flynn and the 20th pick?  That would work under the current cap rules. Walker is a FA after this year anyway, and even though he has some upside I don&#8217;t imagine we would be bringing him back. </p>
<p>That way we could draft a 2 and a big. Then buy a 2nd rounder or two and draft a couple more flyers.</p>
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		<title>By: ess-dog</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331581</link>
		<dc:creator>ess-dog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 01:12:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331581</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think by any measurement, Markeiff Morris had a great junior year.  Vucevic had a good year too, but isn&#039;t as good a shooter as Morris and probably a worse post defender.  I can&#039;t imagine we take a project like Tyler.  He won&#039;t help this year.  I don&#039;t feel good about Brooks or most of the guards.  Burks isn&#039;t a need, but he would be a good pick if he&#039;s there.  Hamilton is dropping like a rock, but I still think he could be pretty good.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think by any measurement, Markeiff Morris had a great junior year.  Vucevic had a good year too, but isn&#8217;t as good a shooter as Morris and probably a worse post defender.  I can&#8217;t imagine we take a project like Tyler.  He won&#8217;t help this year.  I don&#8217;t feel good about Brooks or most of the guards.  Burks isn&#8217;t a need, but he would be a good pick if he&#8217;s there.  Hamilton is dropping like a rock, but I still think he could be pretty good.</p>
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		<title>By: Frank</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/dirk-the-daring-cliche-slayer/#comment-331580</link>
		<dc:creator>Frank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 01:00:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://KnickerBlogger.Net/?p=7362#comment-331580</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[@151- I guess let me rephrase- we need someone that can keep the Amir Johnsons of the world from getting a new career high every time they play us. Anyone regardless of their offensive threatening-ness that was guarded by Amare established a new career high. So we need someone that we can use to hide Amare, which means someone that can credibly guard the other team&#039;s best interior threat.  To me that means someone who has enough beef to deal with 4s and 5s. 

Or the easy thing would be if AMARE JUST PLAYED DEFENSE. Or if we had a coherent defensive plan EVER.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@151- I guess let me rephrase- we need someone that can keep the Amir Johnsons of the world from getting a new career high every time they play us. Anyone regardless of their offensive threatening-ness that was guarded by Amare established a new career high. So we need someone that we can use to hide Amare, which means someone that can credibly guard the other team&#8217;s best interior threat.  To me that means someone who has enough beef to deal with 4s and 5s. </p>
<p>Or the easy thing would be if AMARE JUST PLAYED DEFENSE. Or if we had a coherent defensive plan EVER.</p>
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