Statistical Analysis. Humor. Knicks.

Thursday, April 24, 2014

Author: Caleb

Recent Articles

Computers vs. Scouts, Updated

Erich Doerr and John Hollinger have each published new analyses, looking at the 2008 draft from a purely statistical standpoint.  Doerr’s piece at DraftExpress nicely summarizes some of his previous work, for a new audience.  He’s extremely cautious. The article is not, strictly speaking, a ranking system. Doerr uses his ratings to give essentially a thumbs up/thumbs down (or at least a caution) for each of the high-profile players.  Of note: Don’t get too excited about any of the guards… don’t sleep on Mareese Speights.  Hollinger, unlike Doerr, thinks he has it nailed.  He’s also totally revamped his method since last year. …continue reading

Computers vs. Scouts

With 16 days left before the draft, teams are busily working out prospects, haggling with agents and breaking down game tape. Could there be an easier way? Last week we were talking about computer rating systems that purport to identify the best draft prospects, without the messy work of actually watching games, administering brain profile tests and trekking through rundown former Soviet airports.  The two systems that have garnered the most attention were designed by Erich Doerr, a David Berri disciple, and ESPN’s John Hollinger. A good summation and explanation of the systems was posted here last year:  http://www.knickerblogger.net/index.php/2007/06/26/draft-analysis-by-the-numbers/ The …continue reading