Thomas B. Said:
Maybe you and I are not looking at the same stats when it comes to Denver’s defense.
Denver gives up 104 per game, that is good for 25th place in the NBA, that means only 5 teams give up more points. They only score 2.4 more points than their opponents, which is good for 10th place in the NBA.
Three teams score more points per game than Denver and none of those teams allow as many points as Denver….
Mike K. (KnickerBlogger) Said:
By points per possession allowed, Denver is 6th….
Thomas B. Said:
So does that mean Denver is actually a good defensive team? What would happen to the Knicks if they played at Denver’s pace? Would they give up 110 per because they now give the other team more chances to score?
1. So does that mean Denver is actually a good defensive team?
Up to this point, the Nuggets have allowed an average of 105.2 points for every 100 possessions. So yes, Denver is a good defensive team despite allowing the 6th most points per game in the league. I don’t want to get into the specifics, because I think A Layman’s Guide to Advanced NBA Statistics does a good job at it. I’ll just say, a team’s pace can affect the amount of points scored or allowed per game, so points per game isn’t a good measure of a team’s quality.
2. What would happen to the Knicks if they played at Denver’s pace?
Most likely Eddy Curry would have a heart attack and Zach Randolph would stop running back on defense altogether.
3. Would they give up 110 per because they now give the other team more chances to score?
Up to this point in the season, the Knicks have allowed 112.5 points per 100 possessions, they’ve averaged 89.4 possessions per game, and they’ve allowed 100.4 pts/g. In other words, they’re the worst defensive teams in the league (30th), but since they play at a slightly slow pace they’re only the 20th worst team on defense. So what if they played at Denver’s pace?
The Nuggets average 97.9 possessions per game, the most in the league. By simple arithmetic the Knicks would allow an average of 110.1 points per game if they played at that pace (97.9*112.5/100). That mark would be 5 points per game worse than the Nuggets are currently averaging now. It would easily be the worst in the league, more than the Warriors 107.1.