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	<title>Comments on: 2010 Season Preview: Optimist vs Pessimist</title>
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	<description>The NBA&#039;s indispensible, premier analytical blog.</description>
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		<title>By: Ted Nelson</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279962</link>
		<dc:creator>Ted Nelson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 05:50:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279962</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think you have a point Robert, but at the same time Crawford and Randolph came in pretty motivated last season. If they weren&#039;t making so much bloody money (and past 2010) I don&#039;t know that Walsh is in a rush to move them.

By the way, there&#039;s still a big &quot;Curry&quot; stain on the slate with a 6&#039;11&quot; string bean on the side... haha]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think you have a point Robert, but at the same time Crawford and Randolph came in pretty motivated last season. If they weren&#8217;t making so much bloody money (and past 2010) I don&#8217;t know that Walsh is in a rush to move them.</p>
<p>By the way, there&#8217;s still a big &#8220;Curry&#8221; stain on the slate with a 6&#8217;11&#8243; string bean on the side&#8230; haha</p>
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		<title>By: mase</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279914</link>
		<dc:creator>mase</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 22:57:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279914</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[thx fir that ted!
hope yr rite]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>thx fir that ted!<br />
hope yr rite</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Silverman</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279903</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Silverman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 20:33:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279903</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You&#039;re right, Ted. As in most team sports, the quickest way to move out of the basement/maximize your assets is via defense (Look at the NJ Devils for the past, I dunno, 20 years). 

W/r/t Crawford/Randolph - whether or not their skills were replaced by the players on the current roster, I think that of greater importance was shedding as many players as possible from the previous regime. Psychologically, it was necessary to instill the belief that things would be different from the Bush...er, I mean...Isiah Thomas years (Sorry. I tend to conflate the two). Cap ramifications notwithstanding, both for the team and their fans, the slate needed to be wiped clean.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re right, Ted. As in most team sports, the quickest way to move out of the basement/maximize your assets is via defense (Look at the NJ Devils for the past, I dunno, 20 years). </p>
<p>W/r/t Crawford/Randolph &#8211; whether or not their skills were replaced by the players on the current roster, I think that of greater importance was shedding as many players as possible from the previous regime. Psychologically, it was necessary to instill the belief that things would be different from the Bush&#8230;er, I mean&#8230;Isiah Thomas years (Sorry. I tend to conflate the two). Cap ramifications notwithstanding, both for the team and their fans, the slate needed to be wiped clean.</p>
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		<title>By: Ted Nelson</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279900</link>
		<dc:creator>Ted Nelson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 17:43:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mase,

You&#039;re right that the Knicks effectively made a two for one trade (especially after sending Tim Thomas for Larry Hughes). Of course, I would say there&#039;s no doubt that the cap space is worth it. However, you&#039;re being irrationally pessimistic on Harrington and optimistic on Crawford/Randolph.

4 of the Knicks 6 early wins came against Charlotte (who started the season 3 and 9), Washington, Memphis, and OKC... A 5th against the Jazz w/o Deron. So, it&#039;s convenient to say that Crawford and Randolph were great in D&#039;Antoni&#039;s system, but that overlooks the fact that the Knicks had a soft opening schedule. They beat Washington, Charlotte, and Memphis again last season without Crawford or Randolph.

&quot;zach was lights out for d’antoni and crawford was solid enough&quot;

Zach had a TS% of .517, while Jamal put up .571 in his 11 games. I would say Jamal was lights out, and Randolph was solid enough. Jamal had already cooled off in his last two games with the Knicks, though.

&quot;if anything harrington/gallo/chandler is the same player at this point…like it or not crawford/zach were the mainstay of the offense&quot;

Crawford/Randolph played in 13.41% of the Knicks&#039; games last season (18.75% of their wins), I would hardly call them the mainstays of the offense. Certainly they were for 11 games, but there were those other 71 games too. 

Harrington is definitely a comparable scorer to either Crawford or Randolph. A better scorer than either, I would say, though clearly an inferior rebounder than Randolph and passer than Crawford by a wide margin. I would say that Harrington is a decent defender, and better than either of those two (at least during their Knicks tenures).

Last season Chandler had a usage rate of 20.5 and a TS% of .515 compared to Harrington&#039;s 26 and .555. Maybe Chandler improves, but I think it&#039;s too early to call them the same player. Outside of scoring and shot blocking they are pretty similar, but they are both primarily scorers so that&#039;s an important category.
We don&#039;t even know what Gallinari can and can&#039;t do yet, but his game doesn&#039;t look too similar to Harrington&#039;s.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mase,</p>
<p>You&#8217;re right that the Knicks effectively made a two for one trade (especially after sending Tim Thomas for Larry Hughes). Of course, I would say there&#8217;s no doubt that the cap space is worth it. However, you&#8217;re being irrationally pessimistic on Harrington and optimistic on Crawford/Randolph.</p>
<p>4 of the Knicks 6 early wins came against Charlotte (who started the season 3 and 9), Washington, Memphis, and OKC&#8230; A 5th against the Jazz w/o Deron. So, it&#8217;s convenient to say that Crawford and Randolph were great in D&#8217;Antoni&#8217;s system, but that overlooks the fact that the Knicks had a soft opening schedule. They beat Washington, Charlotte, and Memphis again last season without Crawford or Randolph.</p>
<p>&#8220;zach was lights out for d’antoni and crawford was solid enough&#8221;</p>
<p>Zach had a TS% of .517, while Jamal put up .571 in his 11 games. I would say Jamal was lights out, and Randolph was solid enough. Jamal had already cooled off in his last two games with the Knicks, though.</p>
<p>&#8220;if anything harrington/gallo/chandler is the same player at this point…like it or not crawford/zach were the mainstay of the offense&#8221;</p>
<p>Crawford/Randolph played in 13.41% of the Knicks&#8217; games last season (18.75% of their wins), I would hardly call them the mainstays of the offense. Certainly they were for 11 games, but there were those other 71 games too. </p>
<p>Harrington is definitely a comparable scorer to either Crawford or Randolph. A better scorer than either, I would say, though clearly an inferior rebounder than Randolph and passer than Crawford by a wide margin. I would say that Harrington is a decent defender, and better than either of those two (at least during their Knicks tenures).</p>
<p>Last season Chandler had a usage rate of 20.5 and a TS% of .515 compared to Harrington&#8217;s 26 and .555. Maybe Chandler improves, but I think it&#8217;s too early to call them the same player. Outside of scoring and shot blocking they are pretty similar, but they are both primarily scorers so that&#8217;s an important category.<br />
We don&#8217;t even know what Gallinari can and can&#8217;t do yet, but his game doesn&#8217;t look too similar to Harrington&#8217;s.</p>
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		<title>By: Ted Nelson</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279898</link>
		<dc:creator>Ted Nelson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 17:11:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279898</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Holy crap, how did those Magic and Pistons team do it? I take it back. Good memory Silverman…..&quot;

They were both top 10 defensive teams. So were the Heat. The Magic weren&#039;t even in the top 20 offensively; although, the Pistons were #12 on O and the Heat 15th. If the Rockets make the playoffs this season (Barkley called them the worst team in the West last night, I tend to agree with Silverman personally) it will also be due primarily to defense. 

In a league where scoring is put at such a premium, the &quot;Money-Ball&quot; approach is to build around defense. It takes better scouting, but less money. 
This is the real value of advanced stats, in my opinion. It&#039;s a whole way of thinking about the game... Looking at the game in terms of possessions, and realizing that there are two equally important sides of the ball.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Holy crap, how did those Magic and Pistons team do it? I take it back. Good memory Silverman…..&#8221;</p>
<p>They were both top 10 defensive teams. So were the Heat. The Magic weren&#8217;t even in the top 20 offensively; although, the Pistons were #12 on O and the Heat 15th. If the Rockets make the playoffs this season (Barkley called them the worst team in the West last night, I tend to agree with Silverman personally) it will also be due primarily to defense. </p>
<p>In a league where scoring is put at such a premium, the &#8220;Money-Ball&#8221; approach is to build around defense. It takes better scouting, but less money.<br />
This is the real value of advanced stats, in my opinion. It&#8217;s a whole way of thinking about the game&#8230; Looking at the game in terms of possessions, and realizing that there are two equally important sides of the ball.</p>
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		<title>By: steveoh</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279897</link>
		<dc:creator>steveoh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 17:01:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279897</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[36 wins. Noticeable defensive improvement. Big games from Nate, Lee and Harrington. Gallo becomes a much bigger weapon as the season goes on. We challenge for a playoff spot until the final weeks. And, most importantly, our team and organization comes across like a fun place to play, and the system proves to be one which can succeed with the right players, especially one involving a 6&#039;9&quot; 270 lb. point forward.

If we can manage that, I&#039;d be ecstatic.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>36 wins. Noticeable defensive improvement. Big games from Nate, Lee and Harrington. Gallo becomes a much bigger weapon as the season goes on. We challenge for a playoff spot until the final weeks. And, most importantly, our team and organization comes across like a fun place to play, and the system proves to be one which can succeed with the right players, especially one involving a 6&#8217;9&#8243; 270 lb. point forward.</p>
<p>If we can manage that, I&#8217;d be ecstatic.</p>
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		<title>By: mase</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279895</link>
		<dc:creator>mase</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 16:40:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279895</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Harrington is a strong scorer, poor rebounder and poor defender. So what did we lose really?&quot;

harrington is timthomas improved...i dont see the Zach comparasion...zach is a big who can shoot out to 20 ft

&quot;I’ll give a little on Crawford, probably the best on the team at creating his own shot, but man, how many 5 for 18 nights were there? &quot;

d&#039;antoni&#039;s system allowed crawford to go 5-18 and not suffer a loss...we didnt replace either of those 2 players production]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Harrington is a strong scorer, poor rebounder and poor defender. So what did we lose really?&#8221;</p>
<p>harrington is timthomas improved&#8230;i dont see the Zach comparasion&#8230;zach is a big who can shoot out to 20 ft</p>
<p>&#8220;I’ll give a little on Crawford, probably the best on the team at creating his own shot, but man, how many 5 for 18 nights were there? &#8221;</p>
<p>d&#8217;antoni&#8217;s system allowed crawford to go 5-18 and not suffer a loss&#8230;we didnt replace either of those 2 players production</p>
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		<title>By: Nick C.</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279894</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick C.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 16:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279894</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mase I picked 34 so close enough to your mark, I hope, I meant the wistfulness regarding Crawford and Zach.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mase I picked 34 so close enough to your mark, I hope, I meant the wistfulness regarding Crawford and Zach.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: mase</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279893</link>
		<dc:creator>mase</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 16:31:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279893</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[im not a pessimist or an optimist...realist

anyone who thinks we win more than 32 games is crazy]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>im not a pessimist or an optimist&#8230;realist</p>
<p>anyone who thinks we win more than 32 games is crazy</p>
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		<title>By: Nick C.</title>
		<link>http://KnickerBlogger.Net/2010-season-preview-optimist-vs-pessimist/#comment-279891</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick C.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 15:43:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knickerblogger.net/?p=2397#comment-279891</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mase you keep having those thoughts and the real Mase is gonna ask for his name back.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mase you keep having those thoughts and the real Mase is gonna ask for his name back.</p>
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