Statistical Analysis. Humor. Knicks.

Sunday, November 23, 2014

2009 Game Preview/Thread: Knicks vs. Lakers

With apologies to Rakim, the greatest MC of his era…

It’s been a long time, I shouldn’t have left you
Without previews to step to
Think of how many games you shlept through
Time’s up, I’m sorry I kept you
Waiting on this, analytical blitz
The previews from the game thread soloist
As you sit by the CPU, hand on the keyboard
Click on the link, this is your reward
Read with the brother that is in the know,
I got the stats, so here they go
It’s a 4 factor world, ya heard? They control
when you got stats, you know you got soul.

Enough of that.   I’m just so happy to be back. 

New York (21-25) hosts Los Angeles (37-9) tonight.  New York dropped a tough one in Los Angeles 116-114 on December 16, 2008. 

Injury report: Andrew Bynum (knee) out 8-12 weeks with a tear to his MCL.  Second long term knee injury to Bynum in as many years.  Tough break for Bynum but good news for New York.  But don’t fret L.A. fans, New York lost Jerome James (knee, ankle, diet take your pick) for the season and New York found ways to adjust.

TEAM POSS EFF eFG TO OREB% FT/FG
New York Knicks-Offense 97.2 106.9 50.1 15.5 24 21
Rank 2 17 13 18 28 27
Los Angeles Lakers-Defense 94.4 105 49.2 16.3 27 20.6
Rank 5 6 10 10 16 5
New York Knicks-Defense 97.2 108.9 51.2 14.9 27.3 20.5
Rank 2 18 26 21 19 4
Los Angeles Lakers-Offense 94.4 114.2 52 14.5 29.7 25
Rank 5 1 5 6 3.5 7

What to watch for:  Attack L.A.’s defense.  L.A. is pretty fair team on defense ranking 6th in defensive efficiency (105), 10th in defensive eFG% (49.2), and 10th in defensive turnovers (16.3).  However, L.A.’s interior defense will be somewhat diminished with Bynum’s 2.3 blocks per 36 minutes unavailable.  Gasol is not a very strong interior defender so the Knicks should look to exploit this with the Lee/Duhon two man game.  Fisher is a strong defender but he will have trouble keeping up with either Robinson or Duhon.  New York needs to stay on the attack.

What to watch for 2: Gasol.  New York would do well to attack Gasol early.  Gasol picks up about 2 fouls per 36 minutes, so he is either a very smart defensive center or a center who sees a player coming and says “Ole”.  Given that Gasol blocks fewer than 1 block per 36 minutes (0.9), I’m going to say the Spaniard plays as they say in Spain, “la defensa del matador.”  New York really does not have a defensive player talented enough to stop Gasol, so getting him into foul trouble is a good approach.

What to watch for 3:  Kobe Bryant.  This is just my opinion, but I say Kobe Bryant is the best all around player in the NBA.  He can score at will and even on the rare night that his shots are not falling , he knows how to share the ball.  L.A. likes to let Kobe dictate on offense (USG-r 29.7) and make good decisions.  I think New York could distrupt that by showing Kobe different looks on defense.  I think you’ll see D’antoni throw Q, Wilson Chandler, and JJ at Kobe in an effort to keep him off balance-good luck.

Inquiring minds want to know: Whether New York’s second unit led by Robinson and Chandler can keep pushing the pace set by the first team.  For L.A., its whether Odom can step in and fill the rebounding and shot blocking void left by Bynum.

28 comments on “2009 Game Preview/Thread: Knicks vs. Lakers

  1. Frank O.

    I don’t know how to feel about this game. On one hand, I’m excited about the Knicks’ play recently; on the other, I find myself anticipating a let down.
    I think if the Knicks can attack Gasol and either get him in foul trouble or light him up, they can weather Kobe and win. The Knicks are deep (when was the last time you could say that without cringing) and they should wear the Lakers down.
    Kobe will get his, but by the third period Gasol will be tired and in foul trouble, or else they Knicks will score tons in the paint because Gasol’s ineffective D.
    Of course, any one of the Knicks shooters could have a dismal night and that could change the whole dynamic…will Nate and Harrington continue to score? Which Q will show up tonight? Will Jeffries be effective tonight…?
    You never know with this bunch…I want to feel they have turned a corner and have identity…
    David Lee average 18.6 pts and 13.2 rebounds in January…!

  2. Owen

    Love the way Chandler took it to the rack…

    Don’t know why gallinari didn’t just finish that layup there, but he is looking good on defense, I might be inclined to concur with Jon’s assesment of him, suprisingly good on defense….

  3. Thomas B. Post author

    $2,000 for this tv and it doesn’t come with a “mute Clyde Frazier” option?! Arrrgg!!

  4. Jcon

    Two halftime thoughts:
    1)It makes me sick to hear Laker fans chant MVP in our house
    2)I can’t believe we can’t get calls at home

  5. Thomas B. Post author

    Is Kobe going for 70 in our building?

    Right now the only thing that can keep Kobe from finishing in the 70s is if he hits the 80s. Screw LBJ, when is Kobe a free agent?

  6. Frank O.

    The knicks are inconsistent as hell.
    Too much one on one.
    Different team with Lee out. Although I like Galinari hitting the boards.
    Nate is having trouble with layups

  7. BigBlueAL

    Somebody shouldve put Kobe on his f***ing ass tonight. Oakley is turning over in his grave right now….

  8. Owen

    Let the record note that Kobe didn’t have a rebound. What kind of player scores 61 points without getting a rebound?

    Mamba, I am not impressed….

    (Alright, a little bit…)

    It made me sick hearing them chant MVP also…

  9. jon abbey

    I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone go for 60+ in a game before, maybe Jordan in the playoffs? maybe Bernard King? I remember watching some of Kobe’s 81 game, but not the whole thing.

    anyway, in case it wasn’t clear to anyone before, that’s why you build around two superstars if possible. two superstars on their game trumps the other team almost every time in the NBA.

    Don’t know why gallinari didn’t just finish that layup there, but he is looking good on defense, I might be inclined to concur with Jon’s assesment of him, suprisingly good on defense….

    he has specific matchup problems at times, and he’s really gotten screwed by the refs so far (at least one dreadfully unfair call against him per game), but I’m impressed with his desire and skills on that end.

  10. Owen

    I was impressed by the +10 he posted tonight. We may have something there, Wins Produced loves him so far…

  11. Z

    “What kind of player scores 61 points without getting a rebound?”

    A really good one…

    He also only had 2 turnovers, posted a +19, and when Gasol and Odom combine for 28 rebounds, there’s not a whole lot else that needs to be done to win.

    “I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone go for 60+”

    I definitely have never seen a game where two players combined for 92 points on the same team. As crazy as it sounds, I thought it was actually Gasol that beat us out there. Kobe you expect to go to the line 20 times and rack up a ton of points; but Gasol seemed to score when we desperately needed a stop, grabbed rebounds, and had some big blocks. Sort of like last year when LeBron scored a ton of points but Daniel Gibson hit all the big shots…

  12. jon abbey

    “I definitely have never seen a game where two players combined for 92 points on the same team. ”

    I was wondering how long it had been since this happened, but then I realized that of course it would be Kobe’s 81 point game (and it was, Smush Parker had 13 for 94 total).

  13. d-mar

    “What kind of player scores 61 points without getting a rebound?”
    A really good one…
    He also only had 2 turnovers, posted a +19, and when Gasol and Odom combine for 28 rebounds, there’s not a whole lot else that needs to be done to win.
    “I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone go for 60+”
    I definitely have never seen a game where two players combined for 92 points on the same team. As crazy as it sounds, I thought it was actually Gasol that beat us out there. Kobe you expect to go to the line 20 times and rack up a ton of points; but Gasol seemed to score when we desperately needed a stop, grabbed rebounds, and had some big blocks. Sort of like last year when LeBron scored a ton of points but Daniel Gibson hit all the big shots…

    I agree about Gasol. We’re not gonna beat LA when Kobe is unconscious like last night, but we had no answers for Gasol either. As much as I like Lee, he was really exposed last night at the 5, Gasol absolutely torched him.

    BTW, I don’t think it was just Laker fans chanting MVP, which really pisses me off. I know there were a few diehards trying to drown out the MVP’s with boos, but I cannot understand the mentality of a Knick fan cheering for an opposing player that is destroying us.

  14. Owen

    Saw that Jameer Nelson might be out for the season. What odds should we put on Steph ending up in the Magic Kingdom?

  15. Owen

    And on the topic of all star games….

    “Mike Kurylo, Knickerblogger: I’d like to see the freshmen play the NBDL All Stars. It’s become apparent that the NBDL is a viable source of NBA level talent. I think this would be a competitive game, since each has something valuable to play for. The D-Leaguers will be fighting to show that they belong in the league, and they may have an extra chip on their shoulder playing millionaire rookies.”

    That is why he gets paid the big bucks….

  16. xduckshoex

    Saw that Jameer Nelson might be out for the season. What odds should we put on Steph ending up in the Magic Kingdom?

    I think the odds are slim to none, just judging by the contracts they have. They would have to gut their bench or send one of their rotation players to make it happen unless Marbury is bought out, and I don’t see that happening.

  17. Thomas B. Post author

    And on the topic of all star games….

    “Mike Kurylo, Knickerblogger: I’d like to see the freshmen play the NBDL All Stars. It’s become apparent that the NBDL is a viable source of NBA level talent. I think this would be a competitive game, since each has something valuable to play for. The D-Leaguers will be fighting to show that they belong in the league, and they may have an extra chip on their shoulder playing millionaire rookies.”

    That is why he gets paid the big bucks….

    Freshmen? NCAA might not agree with that.

  18. TDM

    No game thread for the Knicks v LBJ? Well, it looks like LeBron is pissing for distance with Kobe – 18 points in the first quarter with over a minute left. Uggg.

  19. OndreBa

    I’m looking forward to what becomes of this, I’m all over the Knicks, and sometimes a step ahead. Playoff ’09, not likely for the Knicks, just plain numbers.

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