Statistical Analysis. Humor. Knicks.

Thursday, August 21, 2014

2009 Game Preview/Thread: Knicks vs. Bulls

Happy MLK day!  [This MLK day think about sharing your time and/or resources with those in need.]

New York (15-24) hosts Chicago (18-23) in the traditional MLK matinee today.

Chicago won the last meeting at home 105-100 in a game that featured some very poor shooting from New York. New York’s 45.2 eFG% was well below their current season average of 49.4%. New york also struggled from deep hitting only 6 of 28 three point attempts (21%). The three point shot is on of New York’s best offensive weapons so New York needs to get good looks from deep.

 

TEAM POSS EFF eFG TO OREB% FT/FG
New York Knicks-Offense 97 105.8 49.4 15.7 24.2 20.5
Rank 2 20 14 17.5 27 28
Chicago Bulls-Defense 93.4 108.1 48.8 15.4 28.8 25.3
Rank 8 18 8 15 27 21
New York Knicks-Defense 97 109.5 51.8 15.1 27.6 20.1
Rank 2 25 26 18 19 4
Chicago Bulls-Offense 93.4 104.8 48 15.8 26.9 22.4
Rank 8 24 25 19 14 22

What to watch for: Danillo Gallanari.  This is the only reason I’ll be watching the game.  Gallanari shot the ball well in his return from the sore back and if his shooting is as good as advertised, he should help the team.  Strong outside shooters often benefit from playing with a strong post player that can draw doubles.  New York lacks a strong post option, but New York does have a post player that makes good decisions with the ball in David Lee.  New York should use the strong 2 man game of Lee and Duhon to move the ball for open shots to strong outside shooters.

 

What to watch for 2: Defense.  Chicago is not a strong offensive team ranking 24th in offensive efficiency (104.8 point per 100 possessions) and 25th in field goal percentage (48%). Of course, New York’s defense gives up 109.5 points per 100 possessions (25th) and allows a 51.8 eFG% (26th).  So, what happens when the resistible object meets the movable force?  Seriously, New York needs to focus on Derrick Rose in the same manner that disrupted Rajon Rando in the win over Boston.  Chicago’s offense starts with Rose so keep him moving laterally and do not let him gt into the paint where he can finish, draw a foul or dish.  Force Rose to play a long range/mid range game which he is not comfortable doing (0.3 3PA/ per 36 minutes).  New York also needs to stay with Ben Gordon and Andres \”The nose\” Nocioni as they each take 2.2 three pointers per 36 and they each connect at over 38%.

 

What to watch for 3: Drew Gooden.  The poor man’s Carlos Boozer really tore into New York last time out with 22 points and 16 boards.  Perhaps having JJ for significant minutes can slow Gooden down.