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Thursday, November 27, 2014

2009 Game Preview/Thread: Knicks v. Grizzlies

New York (17-24) hosts Memphis (11-30).  New York won over Memphis in their previous meeting 132-103.  In that game, New York hit 19 of 34 three point attempts (55.9%) and had an eFG% of 69.8.  The only blemish in this game was New York allowing Memphis to post an eFG% 51.8.  Absent New York’s hot shooting and huge advantage in three point makes (+14), New York could have lost this game.

TEAM POSS EFF eFG TO OREB% FT/FG
New York Knicks-Offense 97 105.8 49.4 15.6 23.9 20.6
Rank 2 20 14 17 28 28
Memphis Grizzlies-Defense 89.9 109.2 52.3 16.7 25 24.6
Rank 22 21 29 7 5 20
New York Knicks-Defense 97 109.2 51.6 15.1 27.8 20
Rank 2 22 26 18 20 4
Memphis Grizzlies-Offense 89.9 102.3 47.9 16.1 24.5 25
Rank 22 28 26 21 26 6

What to watch for:  Memphis’ response to the Marc Iavaroni firing.  Strange, coaches usually get fired right afterplaying the Knicks (see Theus and Jordan).  It will be interesting to see how the team, particularly such a young team, responds under a new coach on the road.  In the game immediately following the firing of a head coach, teams have compiled a record of 3-3 this season.  The 3 wins came over Minnesota, Golden State, and Milwaukee.  The losses came against Utah and New Orleans.  So what does all this mean?  New York has to be careful in this game.  Do not expect Memphis to come out flat.  To the contrary, Memphis may come out strong looking to prove themselves.  At any rate, New York still is not good enough to take any team lightly. 

What to watch for 2: Efficient offense.  Memphis is very poor defensive team much like Phoenix.  New York should look to exploit Memphis’ poor defense in the same way the team did against Phoenix.  Memphis lacks quality defensive bigs so New York should work the Lee/Duhon two man game just as they did against Phoenix.  Check out Seven Seconds or Mess Episode 15 for more on how the Lee/Duhon two man game gave Phoenix fits. 

What to watch for 3:  Controlling the pace.  Though Memphis is in the bottom third of the NBA in pace (89.9, 22nd), the team has a number of players who are well suited for a running game.  Memphis has some good wing scoring in O.J. Mayo and Rudy Gay.  The team has a two points who can push the ball (Conley and Lowery) though neither is very efficient shooting the ball (46.0 and 44.0 eFG% respectively).  Finally, the team lacks an effective post option.  Yes, they have Gasol but he takes fewer than 10 FGAs per 36 minutes.  Even if Gasol is efficient inside (51.8 eFG%, 56.6 TS%), Memphis does not give him the touches he needs to be a better weapon inside.  The new coach may look to get Memphis running in order to play to their young athletic scorers.  New York needs to be mindful of this and not get caught in a shooting match like they did in the loss to Washington.  Hopefully, New York’s JJ, Chandler, and Q can provide the defense needed to slow Gay and Mayo.

13 comments on “2009 Game Preview/Thread: Knicks v. Grizzlies

  1. TDM

    Love the fact that DMiles is getting some burn. I think that means he only has to play in one more game to eat up Portland’s salary cap space.

    Rudy Gay came out firing in the first half, but looks like he’s cooled off now.

  2. daJudge

    Really enjoyed this game and, frankly, I have enjoyed the year so far. As a general comment, aren’t the Knicks are much easier on the eyes this year. Isn’t it fair to say that with two top free agents, the Knicks are gonna have a very nice team? Is there any doubt? Kudos to Dantoni—At least he has a philosophy, an overall concept and a positive ‘tude with his players. Imagine if Gallinari is really a player? How about Lee, Gallinari, Robinson, Duhon, a couple of youngsters, a real center and maybe Wade or James? I have come to appreciate Jared Jeffries. Simply put, no offense, but there’s something about Jared. By the way, the Blog seems alot better recently. Less acrimonious, but still analytical.

  3. Owen

    Sorry to have missed the game, big win after a horrific start which i saw.

    The +/- numbers are pretty amazing for our bench mob. They tore apart the Memphis reserves in the second quarter.

    Another nice game from Lee, humdrum 19 and 14 on a ts% of 63%, although the four turnovers are a blemish.

    Another good effort from Gallo although shades of Balkman there with six fouls in 17 minutes. He looked a bit off in the first half but must have finished strong.

    Good to see Nate is getting back into the swing of things, saw him take it to the hole at least once, and hit a pretty huge three pointer in the corner, definitely one of those “no no yes” shots….

    Chandler can’t seem to find his game anymore. I can hear the calls to insert Gallo in the starting lineup already. Which probably means he is due to go 10-12 against the sixers.

    All in all, DaJudge, I completely agree with you, this team is way more watchable than last year. Most of that is more winning. And for me, to return to my bete noire, a lot of it has to do with the fact that Eddy C isn’t out there. And also Zach. I feel like I can breath again watching the Knicks.

    When we miss the playoffs and get the 11the pick in the lottery, we will have that going for us.

  4. jon abbey

    “And for me, to return to my bete noire, a lot of it has to do with the fact that Eddy C isn’t out there. And also Zach. I feel like I can breath again watching the Knicks.”

    and Marbury, of course.

    WE DON’T WANT STEPH! WE DON’T WANT STEPH!

    you hate to mess with a winning formula, but I still think Harrington in the starting lineup, maybe for Chandler, would help. so much scoring off the bench, so little in the starting lineup.

  5. daJudge

    “And for me, to return to my bete noire, a lot of it has to do with the fact that Eddy C isn’t out there. And also Zach. I feel like I can breath again watching the Knicks.”
    and Marbury, of course.
    WE DON’T WANT STEPH! WE DON’T WANT STEPH!
    you hate to mess with a winning formula, but I still think Harrington in the starting lineup, maybe for Chandler, would help. so much scoring off the bench, so little in the starting lineup.

    I am having trouble with format…Sorry. Anyway, I think it’s important at this time for Coach to play the hot-hand to some extent. Not particularly for the wins, but to get a real feel for the players. While it appears that Chandler & Harrington are better offensively, they are not consistent. I would go with the match up depending on particular team. I think playing Jeffries on the point guard is really disruptive and often a very good idea.

  6. Cartman

    It seems we are starting with our best defensive line up and keeping most of our best scorers on the bench. It’s hard to criticize something that has produced three wins in a row, but the starters have been getting killed and the scorers off the bench are taking over.

    Gallo won’t play tonight. It was reported that they are going to rest him on back to backs. Tonight is a very big game. They should have rested him yesterday and played him tonight.

  7. Cartman

    By the way, I see that Gallo’s PER is over 17. Given that he basically did nothing in his first two games, I wonder what it is over the last 4 games since he returned. Small sample size of course, but by year end it’s not impossible he’s our second best player.

  8. d-mar

    Nice to see smiling faces on the bench. All the players seem to be pulling for Gallo, which is great for the team chemistry.

    How do we somehow manage to beat the Sixers tonight? We match up terribly with them, we’re on a back-to-back, and were really outclassed the last 2 times we played them. We have to slow down their transition game, and not make Andre Miller look like Oscar Robertson like we usually do.

  9. ess-dog

    I could see starting Lee with Harrington, Duhon and Q. And have Jeffries start as a catch all defensive small forward. That way he can play an opposing tall man or opposing point guard with no problem. And this lineup gives us a lot of man-switching potential, and with enough offense to start the game. Then you have Gallo, Nate and Chandler off the bench for scoring. You could start Chandler for Jeffries if you are playing a small team, but I think it’s good to have Harrington/Chandler/Gallo spread out in the rotation.

    This if a really fun team to watch. What’s up with Memphis? I feel like all those players should be better than they are. I guess that speaks volumes about the coach. I always assume Warrick is 2 seconds from being a beast, but he just isn’t. And Conley although he’s coming on a bit, is pretty flat. Avery Johnson would be a great fit for that team though, too bad for them.

  10. Z-man

    It seems we are starting with our best defensive line up and keeping most of our best scorers on the bench. It’s hard to criticize something that has produced three wins in a row, but the starters have been getting killed and the scorers off the bench are taking over.
    Gallo won’t play tonight. It was reported that they are going to rest him on back to backs. Tonight is a very big game. They should have rested him yesterday and played him tonight.

    Where did you read that Gallo won’t play tonight?

    Duhon is setting the tone for this team and making everyone else better. He is intelligent and cool under pressure, and very tough-minded (especially lately, while obviously playing hurt.) I’m shocked at how good he is, both as a player and as a leader. What a steal.

    Thomas is quietly playing very tough defensively. Not afraid to give the hard foul.

    Gallo is fun to watch. Here’s an interesting forum question: how many guys in the 2008 draft would you trade him for straight up right now? Obviously the back injury is key, maybe the question has to be answered w/ and w/o considering the back.

    Re: Gallo fouling out, Owen, I sense that his fouls are inexperience fouls that will be less of an issue as he matures, but he will be a liability in the post at least until he fills out. He is very log and can probably block some shots, but this seems to be the weakest part of his game. Balkman’s per 36 foul numbers have gone up in his third year, and he should have less reason to foul, being quicker and stronger than Gallo, so it seems to be a basketball IQ issue with him. I ahve more confidence that Gallo will figure it out.

    Sorry to have missed the game, big win after a horrific start which i saw.
    The +/- numbers are pretty amazing for our bench mob. They tore apart the Memphis reserves in the second quarter.
    Another nice game from Lee, humdrum 19 and 14 on a ts% of 63%, although the four turnovers are a blemish.
    Another good effort from Gallo although shades of Balkman there with six fouls in 17 minutes. He looked a bit off in the first half but must have finished strong.
    Good to see Nate is getting back into the swing of things, saw him take it to the hole at least once, and hit a pretty huge three pointer in the corner, definitely one of those “no no yes” shots….
    Chandler can’t seem to find his game anymore. I can hear the calls to insert Gallo in the starting lineup already. Which probably means he is due to go 10-12 against the sixers.
    All in all, DaJudge, I completely agree with you, this team is way more watchable than last year. Most of that is more winning. And for me, to return to my bete noire, a lot of it has to do with the fact that Eddy C isn’t out there. And also Zach. I feel like I can breath again watching the Knicks.
    When we miss the playoffs and get the 11the pick in the lottery, we will have that going for us.

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