Statistical Analysis. Humor. Knicks.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

2009 Game Preview: Knicks @ Thunder

A slight change to the Knicks’ Week in Advance that you have come to depend upon.  Instead of the weekly article, I will provide a preview/game thread as often as I can.  This will give you up to date info on the match ups rather than week old data.  This also gives me more air time on the site so it’s a win-win for us all.

 

New York won the first of two meetings against Oklahoma City 116-106 at MSG on November 14, 2008.  New York prevailed due to a large edge in 3 point field goals made (7 vs. 1) and free throws made (29-40 vs. 17-24).

 

TEAM

POSS

EFF

eFG

TO

OREB%

FT/FG

New York Knicks-Offense

98.5

105.5

49.7

15.9

23.6

20.7

Rank

1

20

12

20

28

28

Oklahoma City Thunder-Defense

94.7

108.8

51.4

15.8

26.8

24.4

Rank

5

19

25

13

14

17

New York Knicks-Defense

98.5

109.1

51.9

15

27

19.7

Rank

1

22

28

23

16

4

Oklahoma City Thunder-Offense

94.7

97.6

44.8

16.9

25.7

22.9

Rank

5

30

30

25

22

18.5

 

 

What to watch for: Defense.  While Oklahoma City comes into this game with a 4-30 record, the match up against New York could be favorable for them.  What little success Oklahoma City has enjoyed this season came against poor defensive teams.  Oklahoma City earned wins against the Raptors, Grizzlies, Timber wolves, and Warriors who are 23rd, 21st, 26th, and 30th in defensive efficiency respectively.  New York is 22nd in defensive efficiency so that put us within Oklahoma City’s reach.  The Knicks need a strong defensive effort to win tonight.  Furthermore, Oklahoma City is last in offensive efficiency (97.6) and eFG% (44.8) so a strong defensive effort should be an effective win strategy.  The Knicks played with a good deal of defensive energy against the Celtics but we need to see that energy on a consistent basis.  Speaking of consistency…

 

What to watch for 2: Wilson Chandler.  Much has been made of Chandler’s recent productivity so it will be nice to see if he sticks with what worked for him against Boston (getting to the line, drives to the basket, good shot selection) or if he reverts to his old form (too many 3 pointers and long jumpers).  Chandler-and the rest of the team- needs to make a conscience effort to get in the paint.  Oklahoma City lacks a player that can block shots and stay on the court for more than 15 minutes.  This should cue New York to drive early and often.

 

What to watch for 3:  High Pick and Roll.  I have not watched many of New York’s recent games (thank you very much RCN cable for not carrying NBA TV) but it seems that I haven’t heard much about the high pick and roll lately.  If New York has gone away from that play, I think this would be a good game to bring it back.  Oklahoma City’s corps of centers (Sene, Petro, Swift, and Collison) is largely inexperienced, ineffective, and foul prone.  Because Lee and Duhon run the pick and roll effectively, it would be nice if they brought that back against Oklahoma City’s slow front line.

 

 

 

 

 

6 comments on “2009 Game Preview: Knicks @ Thunder

  1. Brian Cronin

    Good stuff, Thomas, but what about Curry? What’s the current update on the chances of him playing tonight?

  2. Thomas B. Post author

    Good stuff, Thomas, but what about Curry? What’s the current update on the chances of him playing tonight?

    Thanks for the kind words.

    I read a few reports that Curry is practicing and might get some court time tonight. I did not want to rely on that since it was in the NY Post and they have been telling us since summer league that “sources” say a Marbury buy out will occur in the next few days.

    I doubt D’antoni would play Curry unless Curry showed coach something in practice. I don’t know that Curry could have done that being back at practice only a week or so. I cant think Curry is close to being in game shape either.

    Conversely, the Thunder front line would be a good place to get broken in. Curry has to be at least twice the girth of Petro or Sene. Good luck pushing Curry out of the post. We shall see.

  3. jon abbey

    “I doubt D’antoni would play Curry unless Curry showed coach something in practice.”

    D’Antoni said in the Post he’d be working Curry in in short bursts, 3 to 5 minutes, likely starting tonight depending on how close a game it is.

  4. TDM

    Perhaps Curry will get some burn if garbage time is available, either way.

    Before a Knick’s game, I always check sportsline’s scoreboard where they give a game preview by Accuscore with a projection of who will win the game, shown in percentages. Humorously, I don’t think I’ve seen the Knicks projected to win a game this entire season. For example, the projection for tonights game favors OKC 57% to NYC 43%. Even assuming OKC plays stronger against weak defensive teams as Thomas B indicates above, shouldn’t the Knicks be favored. Honestly, I really don’t care either way, but I just find this funny. I wonder how much of this “projection” is based upon numbers.

    http://www.sportsline.com/nba/gamecenter/preview/NBA_20090106_NY@OKC

  5. Thomas B. Post author

    “I doubt D’antoni would play Curry unless Curry showed coach something in practice.”

    D’Antoni said in the Post he’d be working Curry in in short bursts, 3 to 5 minutes, likely starting tonight depending on how close a game it is.

    No Curry last night. You really can’t trust the Post or D’antoni. But you can trust me.

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